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Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd revenue growth decelerated from 9.8% in 2014 to 4.6% in 2015

30/03/2016 • About Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd ($1398) • By InTwits

Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.3%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 3.5%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 44,663 in FY2015, 41,414 in FY2014, 27,668 in FY2013, 23,980 in FY2012, 18,902 in FY2011
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is at 8.1%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is -1.7x while industry average is -5.7x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd ($1398) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue705,482842,571915,0941,005,2301,051,9534.6%
Net Income208,265238,532262,649275,811277,1310.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash2,762,1563,174,9433,294,0073,523,6223,059,633-13.2%
Short Term Debt1,341,3901,487,9381,269,9791,539,8702,266,07047.2%
Long Term Debt204,161232,186253,018279,590306,6229.7%
Cash flow
Capex22,89631,85244,42753,95742,297-21.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth29.3%19.4%8.6%9.8%4.6%
Net Income Margin29.5%28.3%28.7%27.4%26.3%-1.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue3.2%3.8%4.9%5.4%4.0%-1.3%
ROIC10.6%9.9%10.2%9.9%8.1%-1.8%
ROE23.4%22.9%21.9%19.7%16.7%-3.0%

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased on 4.6% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased slightly on 1.1 pp from 27.4% to 26.3% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 4.0% in 2015. CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from 2012 to 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.7%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (16.69%) while ROIC is low (8.07%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.8 pp from 9.9% to 8.1% in 2015. ROE decreased on 3.0 pp from 19.7% to 16.7% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt surged on 41.4% in 2015 while cash dropped on 13.2% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Banks


Below we provide Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Banks industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
KVB Kunlun Financial Group Ltd ($8077)-20.6%43.4%6.8%116.4%
Huishang Bank Corp Ltd ($3698)33.9%22.8%24.3%24.6%
Shengjing Bank Co Ltd ($2066)36.5%36.3%40.1%24.3%
Bank of Chongqing Co Ltd ($1963)38.4%26.6%28.4%18.5%
BOC Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($2388)15.1%11.4%-3.0%11.6%
 
Median (20 companies)51.3%21.6%11.7%14.8%7.2%
Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd ($1398)19.4%8.6%9.8%4.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
KVB Kunlun Financial Group Ltd ($8077)34.2%4.1%29.9%27.0%33.5%
 
Median (1 company)34.2%4.1%29.9%27.0%33.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Dah Sing Banking Group Ltd ($2356)7.8%3.9%4.1%2.2%7.5%
Bank of Communications Co Ltd ($3328)3.1%3.6%5.1%5.3%7.2%
Dah Sing Financial Holdings Ltd ($440)5.4%3.0%3.4%1.7%5.9%
Harbin Bank Co Ltd ($6138)20.0%19.8%9.9%6.5%5.8%
Bank of China Ltd ($3988)6.3%4.7%5.4%4.7%4.8%
 
Median (20 companies)3.2%3.2%3.7%3.1%2.8%
Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd ($1398)3.2%3.8%4.9%5.4%4.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Construction Bank Corp ($939)11.6%11.1%11.7%10.8%8.4%
Hang Seng Bank Ltd ($11)9.0%8.6%9.5%9.0%8.3%
BOC Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($2388)5.1%5.9%6.4%5.8%6.2%
Dah Sing Financial Holdings Ltd ($440)3.2%3.8%5.1%5.2%5.9%
Chong Hing Bank Ltd ($1111)6.3%5.5%5.2%16.4%5.7%
 
Median (20 companies)6.3%6.0%6.3%5.4%4.3%
Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd ($1398)10.6%9.9%10.2%9.9%8.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
KVB Kunlun Financial Group Ltd ($8077)-5.7x-66.3x-7.1x-10.6x-5.7x
 
Median (1 company)-5.7x-66.3x-7.1x-10.6x-5.7x