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Dan Form Holdings Co Ltd reports 24.0% EBITDA decline and 6.7 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 26.2% to 19.5%

30/03/2016 • About Dan Form Holdings Co Ltd ($271) • By InTwits

Dan Form Holdings Co Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Dan Form Holdings Co Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is 0.1%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 19.5% in 2015, 26.2% in 2014, 44.3% in 2013, 15.7% in 2012, 159.2% in 2011
  • Dan Form Holdings Co Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 27.0%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 194.4%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 0.99 in 2015, 0.13 in 2014, 4.8 in 2013, 13.2 in 2012, 38.5 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 0.1%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Dan Form Holdings Co Ltd ($271) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue42.08742.53847.50549.74550.7592.0%
SG&A9.9469.9680.2%
EBITDA66.9866.65921.04913.0199.894-24.0%
Net Income527.488924.307234.997247.203195.718-20.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash214.922304.561325.906368.887875.190137.3%
Short Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Long Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Cash flow
Capex38.52913.1774.7850.1260.991686.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth9.2%1.1%11.7%4.7%2.0%
EBITDA growth672.0%-90.1%216.1%-38.1%-24.0%
EBITDA Margin159.2%15.7%44.3%26.2%19.5%-6.7%
Net Income Margin1,253.3%2,172.9%494.7%496.9%385.6%-111.4%
SG&A, % of revenue20.0%19.6%-0.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue91.5%31.0%10.1%0.3%2.0%1.7%
ROIC1.8%0.0%0.3%0.1%0.1%-0.0%
ROE15.6%22.5%5.0%5.0%3.8%-1.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA-3.2x-45.7x-15.5x-28.3x-88.5x-60.1x

Revenue and profitability


Dan Form Holdings Co Ltd's Revenue increased on 2.0% in 2015. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin jumped on 28.4 pp from -16.7% to 11.7% in FY2015.

SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 111 pp from 497% to 386% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Dan Form Holdings Co Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 2.0% in 2015. CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 29.0 pp from 31.0% in 2012 to 2.0% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.1%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (0.09%) and ROE (3.81%). ROIC showed almost no change in 2015. ROE decreased slightly on 1.2 pp from 5.0% to 3.8% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


The company has no debt. Cash jumped on 137% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below we provide Dan Form Holdings Co Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Real Estate industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd ($124)24,971.2%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)-51.4%-86.2%1,071.2%
Henderson Investment Ltd ($97)-78.9%737.1%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)-70.5%-95.2%75.7%678.6%
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)30.5%-53.9%-83.4%662.4%
 
Median (167 companies)34.7%16.1%14.0%5.4%4.2%
Dan Form Holdings Co Ltd ($271)1.1%11.7%4.7%2.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)71.1%79.0%95.2%97.9%99.9%
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.9%96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)91.5%94.4%96.6%96.7%97.6%
Wah Ha Realty Co Ltd ($278)88.7%96.3%96.0%93.2%95.9%
Soundwill Holdings Ltd ($878)35.6%53.1%74.5%46.9%95.7%
 
Median (149 companies)43.8%41.8%41.8%39.1%41.1%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)340.9%356.2%91.6%195.5%397.4%
SOHO China Ltd ($410)113.8%113.6%80.8%104.0%201.9%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)33.2%-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%186.5%
Swire Properties Ltd ($1972)283.7%154.5%114.6%73.2%100.3%
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)82.9%103.0%112.8%78.4%86.9%
 
Median (167 companies)35.4%29.3%28.3%27.3%24.6%
Dan Form Holdings Co Ltd ($271)159.2%15.7%44.3%26.2%19.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%0.0%18.0%27,965.5%4,834.8%
China Oceanwide Holdings Ltd ($715)0.4%0.8%0.3%2.0%880.6%
Madex International Holdings Ltd ($231)586.8%174.5%519.7%205.3%350.6%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)6.5%2.9%323.1%351.2%340.6%
Hon Kwok Land Investment Co Ltd ($160)90.6%20.6%157.3%144.5%296.3%
 
Median (168 companies)5.5%5.4%6.1%4.7%3.9%
Dan Form Holdings Co Ltd ($271)91.5%31.0%10.1%0.3%2.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Hydoo International Holding Ltd ($1396)88.4%44.3%62.0%12.9%16.6%
Gemdale Properties & Investment Corp Ltd ($535)8.9%15.3%19.6%10.8%15.9%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)18.0%18.4%15.1%18.5%15.4%
Colour Life Services Group Co Ltd ($1778)44.2%47.9%29.3%14.5%
Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd ($3699)26.8%19.6%12.3%14.4%
 
Median (169 companies)4.6%4.2%4.2%4.3%2.9%
Dan Form Holdings Co Ltd ($271)1.8%0.0%0.3%0.1%0.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Shui On Land Ltd ($272)7.9x22.1x13.2x17.1x54.2x
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)2.9x7.1x4.6x11.7x49.1x
Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd ($2608)19.8x9.9x12.4x12.9x42.3x
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)3.7x6.2x49.3x38.4x
Wuzhou International Holdings Ltd ($1369)1.1x1.3x1.5x4.3x36.8x
 
Median (128 companies)2.3x2.3x2.7x3.0x3.2x
Dan Form Holdings Co Ltd ($271)-3.2x-45.7x-15.5x-28.3x-88.5x