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China Hanking Holdings Ltd Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 22.6x from 4.7x to 27.3x in 2015 and Debt surged on 31.6%

30/03/2016 • About China Hanking Holdings Ltd ($3788) • By InTwits

China Hanking Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China Hanking Holdings Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -5.4%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 8.7% in 2015, 30.6% in 2014, 40.9% in 2013, 40.4% in 2012, 63.1% in 2011
  • China Hanking Holdings Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 29.8%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 21.5%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 34.8 in 2015, 8.0 in 2014, 10.6 in 2013, 13.0 in 2012, 4.1 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -5.4%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 27.3x while industry average is 6.9x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Hanking Holdings Ltd ($3788) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue1,7261,3971,4561,3691,220-10.9%
Gross Profit1,141749792481291-39.6%
SG&A173303360309269-13.0%
EBITDA1,089565595419106-74.8%
Net Income4532971939-382-4,344.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash31858237030099-66.9%
Short Term Debt6308061,3971,6722,76665.4%
Long Term Debt00483590211-64.1%
Cash flow
Capex42353151927637234.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth33.1%-19.1%4.2%-6.0%-10.9%
EBITDA growth38.5%-48.1%5.3%-29.6%-74.8%
Gross Margin66.1%53.6%54.4%35.1%23.8%-11.3%
EBITDA Margin63.1%40.4%40.9%30.6%8.7%-21.9%
Net Income Margin26.2%21.2%13.2%0.7%-31.3%-31.9%
SG&A, % of revenue10.0%21.7%24.8%22.6%22.1%-0.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue24.5%38.0%35.7%20.2%30.5%10.3%
ROIC63.1%19.0%14.3%5.0%-5.4%-10.4%
ROE54.7%22.5%14.7%0.7%-39.4%-40.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.3x0.4x2.5x4.7x27.3x22.6x

Revenue and profitability


China Hanking Holdings Ltd's Revenue dropped on 10.9% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.9 pp from 7.4% to 9.3% in 2015.

Gross Margin dropped on 11.3 pp from 35.1% to 23.8% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 0.54 pp from 22.6% to 22.1% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 31.9 pp from 0.66% to -31.3% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 30.5%. China Hanking Holdings Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 7.5 pp from 38.0% in 2012 to 30.5% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 28.8%.China Hanking Holdings Ltd has spent a lot to CAPEX (352% of EBITDA) which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-5.40%) and ROE (-39.43%). ROIC dropped on 10.4 pp from 5.0% to -5.4% in 2015. ROE dropped on 40.2 pp from 0.75% to -39.4% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 27.3x Net Debt / EBITDA and 28.2x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 22.6x from 4.7x to 27.3x in 2015. Debt jumped on 31.6% in 2015 while cash dropped on 66.9% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Iron/Steel


Below you can find China Hanking Holdings Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Iron/Steel industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
CAA Resources Ltd ($2112)99.6%103.2%38.0%261.2%
Newton Resources Ltd ($1231)-41.6%170.9%
Fosun International Ltd ($656)-8.9%-1.4%21.0%27.6%
Wanguo International Mining Group Ltd ($3939)-1.0%-11.0%-16.2%0.7%
Da Ming International Holdings Ltd ($1090)-2.1%29.3%29.8%-8.1%
 
Median (16 companies)41.1%-7.7%-1.1%-1.7%-17.9%
China Hanking Holdings Ltd ($3788)-19.1%4.2%-6.0%-10.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Newton Resources Ltd ($1231)63.3%-223.7%15.7%37.5%
Wanguo International Mining Group Ltd ($3939)51.1%47.4%50.7%39.6%29.2%
China Metal International Holdings Inc ($319)21.0%20.9%24.3%24.8%25.5%
Fosun International Ltd ($656)18.6%18.0%20.3%23.7%22.4%
Vale SA ($6210)58.4%45.4%48.3%33.1%19.6%
 
Median (16 companies)18.6%14.8%12.7%11.3%13.7%
China Hanking Holdings Ltd ($3788)66.1%53.6%54.4%35.1%23.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Wanguo International Mining Group Ltd ($3939)46.5%39.7%36.2%31.3%26.7%
Fosun International Ltd ($656)15.8%16.7%23.0%20.9%22.2%
China Metal International Holdings Inc ($319)17.8%19.7%21.3%21.0%22.0%
Xingda International Holdings Ltd ($1899)21.6%17.3%22.2%19.1%13.6%
Tiangong International Co Ltd ($826)22.5%25.1%25.8%19.3%11.6%
 
Median (16 companies)7.6%12.6%11.7%7.1%0.6%
China Hanking Holdings Ltd ($3788)63.1%40.4%40.9%30.6%8.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Newton Resources Ltd ($1231)690.4%926.9%1,395.7%197.0%
Vale SA ($6210)25.8%34.0%28.1%29.8%34.5%
Pan Asia Mining Ltd ($8173)0.4%1.5%0.4%2.4%24.4%
China Vanadium Titano - Magnetite Mining Co Ltd ($893)14.2%8.9%10.5%20.4%24.1%
Wanguo International Mining Group Ltd ($3939)13.2%24.0%39.3%32.5%17.4%
 
Median (16 companies)7.3%8.3%10.5%6.4%8.0%
China Hanking Holdings Ltd ($3788)24.5%38.0%35.7%20.2%30.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Metal International Holdings Inc ($319)11.5%11.0%12.0%12.7%11.4%
Wanguo International Mining Group Ltd ($3939)74.9%38.4%24.4%15.0%11.1%
Golik Holdings Ltd ($1118)9.0%7.0%7.4%10.0%10.8%
CAA Resources Ltd ($2112)33.0%69.2%33.5%2.2%6.9%
Fosun International Ltd ($656)6.7%6.1%7.9%6.8%6.9%
 
Median (16 companies)10.5%6.2%7.5%3.1%-3.4%
China Hanking Holdings Ltd ($3788)63.1%19.0%14.3%5.0%-5.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Fosun International Ltd ($656)4.6x4.4x4.8x5.5x4.4x
Maanshan Iron & Steel Co Ltd ($323)5.0x55.2x7.3x5.3x
China Oriental Group Co Ltd ($581)2.4x4.6x5.3x4.5x
Angang Steel Co Ltd ($347)6.6x21.4x4.0x4.3x29.1x
Da Ming International Holdings Ltd ($1090)8.0x8.4x8.5x4.0x
 
Median (13 companies)2.2x2.3x3.0x2.9x0.8x
China Hanking Holdings Ltd ($3788)0.3x0.4x2.5x4.7x27.3x