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China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd Net Income dropped on 121% in 2015 while Revenue jumped on 22.4%

30/03/2016 • About China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($2099) • By InTwits

China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is 1.5%
  • China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 84.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 67.4%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 277 in 2015, 266 in 2014, 472 in 2013, 215 in 2012, 71.2 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 1.5%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 7.3x while industry average is 3.4x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($2099) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue311.3332.4302.6277.8339.922.4%
Gross Profit120.8124.9101.999.062.8-36.5%
SG&A17.425.025.725.123.8-4.9%
EBITDA147.4138.7115.8131.5114.4-12.9%
Net Income79.470.955.039.7-8.2-120.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash354.3181.7105.9565.6112.4-80.1%
Short Term Debt44.572.2232.4526.8189.0-64.1%
Long Term Debt183.1140.7272.1658.9763.415.9%
Cash flow
Capex71.2215.1472.3265.6276.74.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth133.7%6.8%-9.0%-8.2%22.4%
EBITDA growth112.7%-5.9%-16.5%13.5%-12.9%
Gross Margin38.8%37.6%33.7%35.6%18.5%-17.1%
EBITDA Margin47.4%41.7%38.3%47.3%33.7%-13.7%
Net Income Margin25.5%21.3%18.2%14.3%-2.4%-16.7%
SG&A, % of revenue5.6%7.5%8.5%9.0%7.0%-2.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue22.9%64.7%156.1%95.6%81.4%-14.2%
ROIC6.8%5.9%4.0%3.0%1.5%-1.6%
ROE6.4%5.4%4.0%2.8%-0.6%-3.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.9x0.2x3.4x4.7x7.3x2.6x

Revenue and profitability


China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd's Revenue surged on 22.4% in 2015. Revenue growth was financed by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 13.7 pp from 47.3% to 33.7% in 2015.

Gross Margin dropped on 17.1 pp from 35.6% to 18.5% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 2.0 pp from 9.0% to 7.0% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 16.7 pp from 14.3% to -2.4% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 81.4% in 2015. CAPEX/Revenue jumped on 16.7 pp from 64.7% in 2012 to 81.4% in 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 111%.To fuel this fast growth China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd made large investments to CAPEX (242% of EBITDA).

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (1.46%) and negative ROE (-0.57%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.6 pp from 3.0% to 1.5% in 2015. ROE decreased on 3.3 pp from 2.8% to -0.57% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 7.3x Net Debt / EBITDA and 8.3x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 2.6x from 4.7x to 7.3x in 2015. Debt dropped on 19.7% in 2015 while cash dropped on 80.1% in 2015.

Management team


Bing Liu is a China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd's CEO. Bing Liu has spent 4 years at the company. Derrick Zhang is a The company's CFO. Derrick Zhang has spent 7 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Mining


Below we provide China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Mining industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Mongolia Energy Corp Ltd ($276)89.7%-95.8%2,361.6%
REX Global Entertainment Holdings Ltd ($164)-12.3%81.6%-15.5%96.4%
Hengxing Gold Holding Co Ltd ($2303)3,467.3%78.0%
Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd ($2899)21.6%2.5%18.1%26.9%
China Hongqiao Group Ltd ($1378)5.0%18.5%22.7%22.2%
 
Median (40 companies)68.5%5.2%2.4%-5.1%-13.6%
China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($2099)-9.0%-8.2%22.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Sino Prosper Group Holdings Ltd ($766)-6.5%2.5%5.1%39.6%93.0%
REX Global Entertainment Holdings Ltd ($164)15.4%-15.8%-7.8%-0.8%88.6%
China Billion Resources Ltd ($274)20.3%71.4%47.2%73.4%79.7%
Sun International Resources Ltd ($8029)77.6%83.2%73.1%64.8%69.4%
Timeless Software Ltd ($8028)19.2%17.7%48.5%29.4%42.1%
 
Median (41 companies)19.2%13.4%13.8%15.4%26.9%
China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($2099)37.6%33.7%35.6%18.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
G-Resources Group Ltd ($1051)54.5%53.4%58.3%
China Precious Metal Resources Holdings Co Ltd ($1194)73.1%70.0%64.6%59.6%51.3%
Timeless Software Ltd ($8028)-70.8%-113.1%24.7%-13.7%46.1%
Hengxing Gold Holding Co Ltd ($2303)-766.2%24.5%43.9%
Sino Prosper Group Holdings Ltd ($766)-127.2%-138.6%-138.2%-378.4%42.9%
 
Median (41 companies)6.4%4.7%7.5%4.7%5.5%
China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($2099)41.7%38.3%47.3%33.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Mongolia Energy Corp Ltd ($276)8,006.5%1,061.7%30,555.4%1,973.0%
Kaz Minerals ($847)19.8%36.6%136.5%168.8%168.7%
Chinalco Mining Corp International ($3668)115.6%
China Dynamics Holdings Ltd ($476)1.6%1.8%0.0%1.0%113.8%
MMG Ltd ($1208)17.1%25.7%22.6%41.9%100.4%
 
Median (41 companies)15.6%17.0%15.7%13.4%11.9%
China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($2099)64.7%156.1%95.6%81.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
CGN Mining Co Ltd ($1164)-6.4%2.6%3.3%7.9%16.7%
United Co RUSAL PLC ($486)7.5%0.3%-9.0%6.3%12.3%
Timeless Software Ltd ($8028)-18.0%-29.1%7.3%-4.6%11.6%
China Hongqiao Group Ltd ($1378)44.6%24.8%17.0%14.1%10.6%
Hengxing Gold Holding Co Ltd ($2303)-7.2%-8.1%0.0%8.6%
 
Median (42 companies)3.3%0.9%2.7%0.0%1.2%
China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($2099)5.9%4.0%3.0%1.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Chinalco Mining Corp International ($3668)25.0x
MMG Ltd ($1208)-0.0x2.1x2.0x10.2x20.2x
Kaz Minerals ($847)0.6x2.4x2.9x5.5x18.7x
Aluminum Corp of China Ltd ($2600)7.7x139.2x8.5x18.0x
China Precious Metal Resources Holdings Co Ltd ($1194)1.5x1.5x4.1x6.4x13.5x
 
Median (27 companies)1.1x2.1x1.9x4.4x3.4x
China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($2099)0.2x3.4x4.7x7.3x