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Angang Steel Co Ltd Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 24.8x from 4.3x to 29.1x in 2015 while Revenue dropped on 28.8%

30/03/2016 • About Angang Steel Co Ltd ($347) • By InTwits

Angang Steel Co Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Angang Steel Co Ltd is a company in decline: 2015 revenue growth was -28.8%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -10.6%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 1.9% in 2015, 8.3% in 2014, 7.4% in 2013, 2.2% in 2012, 5.3% in 2011
  • Angang Steel Co Ltd has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 5.4%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 6.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 1,569 in 2015, 1,715 in 2014, 3,443 in 2013, 5,292 in 2012, 7,548 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -3.9%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 29.1x while industry average is 6.9x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Angang Steel Co Ltd ($347) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue90,20778,03275,13573,83352,535-28.8%
Gross Profit8802,1408,2068,3433,066-63.3%
SG&A1,7574,1544,7773,7563,8261.9%
EBITDA4,8191,7435,5786,1481,007-83.6%
Net Income-2,163-4,025770928-4,593-594.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash2,3413,1231,1261,7123,601110.3%
Short Term Debt20,83131,97416,55922,72931,89740.3%
Long Term Debt13,1358,3647,0155,354962-82.0%
Cash flow
Capex5,4952,9932,9484,4163,807-13.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth-2.2%-13.5%-3.7%-1.7%-28.8%
EBITDA growth-53.6%-63.8%220.0%10.2%-83.6%
Gross Margin1.0%2.7%10.9%11.3%5.8%-5.5%
EBITDA Margin5.3%2.2%7.4%8.3%1.9%-6.4%
Net Income Margin-2.4%-5.2%1.0%1.3%-8.7%-10.0%
SG&A, % of revenue1.9%5.3%6.4%5.1%7.3%2.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue6.1%3.8%3.9%6.0%7.2%1.3%
ROIC-2.6%-4.7%1.7%3.1%-3.9%-7.0%
ROE-4.1%-8.2%1.6%2.0%-10.1%-12.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA6.6x21.4x4.0x4.3x29.1x24.8x

Revenue and profitability


Angang Steel Co Ltd's Revenue dropped on 28.8% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 6.4 pp from 8.3% to 1.9% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 5.5 pp from 11.3% to 5.8% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 2.2 pp from 5.1% to 7.3% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 10.0 pp from 1.3% to -8.7% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 7.2% in 2015. Angang Steel Co Ltd showed CAPEX/Revenue growth of 3.4 pp from 3.8% in 2012 to 7.2% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 5.7%.The company has spent a lot to CAPEX (378% of EBITDA) which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-3.91%) and ROE (-10.09%). ROIC decreased on 7.0 pp from 3.1% to -3.9% in 2015. ROE dropped on 12.0 pp from 2.0% to -10.1% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 29.1x and Debt / EBITDA is 32.6x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 24.8x from 4.3x to 29.1x in 2015. Debt surged on 17.0% in 2015 while cash surged on 110% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Iron/Steel


Below we provide Angang Steel Co Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Iron/Steel industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
CAA Resources Ltd ($2112)99.6%103.2%38.0%261.2%
Newton Resources Ltd ($1231)-41.6%170.9%
Fosun International Ltd ($656)-8.9%-1.4%21.0%27.6%
Wanguo International Mining Group Ltd ($3939)-1.0%-11.0%-16.2%0.7%
Da Ming International Holdings Ltd ($1090)-2.1%29.3%29.8%-8.1%
 
Median (16 companies)41.1%-7.7%0.6%-6.0%-13.5%
Angang Steel Co Ltd ($347)-13.5%-3.7%-1.7%-28.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Newton Resources Ltd ($1231)63.3%-223.7%15.7%37.5%
Wanguo International Mining Group Ltd ($3939)51.1%47.4%50.7%39.6%29.2%
China Metal International Holdings Inc ($319)21.0%20.9%24.3%24.8%25.5%
China Hanking Holdings Ltd ($3788)66.1%53.6%54.4%35.1%23.8%
Fosun International Ltd ($656)18.6%18.0%20.3%23.7%22.4%
 
Median (16 companies)21.0%17.8%20.3%12.9%16.3%
Angang Steel Co Ltd ($347)1.0%2.7%10.9%11.3%5.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Wanguo International Mining Group Ltd ($3939)46.5%39.7%36.2%31.3%26.7%
Fosun International Ltd ($656)15.8%16.7%23.0%20.9%22.2%
China Metal International Holdings Inc ($319)17.8%19.7%21.3%21.0%22.0%
Xingda International Holdings Ltd ($1899)21.6%17.3%22.2%19.1%13.6%
Tiangong International Co Ltd ($826)22.5%25.1%25.8%19.3%11.6%
 
Median (16 companies)15.7%16.4%21.3%7.1%0.7%
Angang Steel Co Ltd ($347)5.3%2.2%7.4%8.3%1.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Newton Resources Ltd ($1231)690.4%926.9%1,395.7%197.0%
Vale SA ($6210)25.8%34.0%28.1%29.8%34.5%
China Hanking Holdings Ltd ($3788)24.5%38.0%35.7%20.2%30.5%
Pan Asia Mining Ltd ($8173)0.4%1.5%0.4%2.4%24.4%
China Vanadium Titano - Magnetite Mining Co Ltd ($893)14.2%8.9%10.5%20.4%24.1%
 
Median (16 companies)10.8%9.0%10.9%8.1%9.4%
Angang Steel Co Ltd ($347)6.1%3.8%3.9%6.0%7.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Metal International Holdings Inc ($319)11.5%11.0%12.0%12.7%11.4%
Wanguo International Mining Group Ltd ($3939)74.9%38.4%24.4%15.0%11.1%
Golik Holdings Ltd ($1118)9.0%7.0%7.4%10.0%10.8%
CAA Resources Ltd ($2112)33.0%69.2%33.5%2.2%6.9%
Fosun International Ltd ($656)6.7%6.1%7.9%6.8%6.9%
 
Median (16 companies)11.5%6.7%7.9%5.0%-4.2%
Angang Steel Co Ltd ($347)-2.6%-4.7%1.7%3.1%-3.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Fosun International Ltd ($656)4.6x4.4x4.8x5.5x4.4x
Maanshan Iron & Steel Co Ltd ($323)5.0x55.2x7.3x5.3x
China Hanking Holdings Ltd ($3788)0.3x0.4x2.5x4.7x27.3x
China Oriental Group Co Ltd ($581)2.4x4.6x5.3x4.5x
Da Ming International Holdings Ltd ($1090)8.0x8.4x8.5x4.0x
 
Median (13 companies)1.3x2.1x2.5x2.9x0.8x
Angang Steel Co Ltd ($347)6.6x21.4x4.0x4.3x29.1x