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Xingye Copper International Group Ltd CAPEX dropped on 41.5% in 2015 and Revenue dropped on 12.7%

29/03/2016 • About Xingye Copper International Group Ltd ($505) • By InTwits

Xingye Copper International Group Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Xingye Copper International Group Ltd has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 5.0%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 7.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 177 in 2015, 302 in 2014, 131 in 2013, 126 in 2012, 91.1 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 4.9%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 4.1x while industry average is 2.5x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Xingye Copper International Group Ltd ($505) key annual financial indicators

mln. 201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue3,5093,2293,6043,3712,943-12.7%
Gross Profit181148217269258-4.1%
SG&A101991961962044.3%
EBITDA160129981491500.3%
Net Income9032919190.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash240885712321070.6%
Short Term Debt844766776841488-42.0%
Long Term Debt011928533718.3%
Cash flow
Capex91126131302177-41.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth21.2%-8.0%11.6%-6.5%-12.7%
EBITDA growth-40.3%-19.2%-24.1%52.2%0.3%
Gross Margin5.1%4.6%6.0%8.0%8.8%0.8%
EBITDA Margin4.5%4.0%2.7%4.4%5.1%0.7%
Net Income Margin2.6%1.0%0.2%0.6%0.6%0.1%
SG&A, % of revenue2.9%3.1%5.5%5.8%6.9%1.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.6%3.9%3.6%8.9%6.0%-2.9%
ROIC7.2%5.4%3.0%5.0%4.9%-0.1%
ROE13.6%4.8%1.3%2.8%2.6%-0.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA3.8x5.3x7.5x6.7x4.1x-2.6x

Revenue and profitability


Xingye Copper International Group Ltd's Revenue dropped on 12.7% in 2015. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 0.66 pp from 4.4% to 5.1% in 2015.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 0.79 pp from 8.0% to 8.8% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.1 pp from 5.8% to 6.9% in 2015.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 6.0% in 2015. The company's CAPEX/Revenue increased on 2.1 pp from 3.9% in 2012 to 6.0% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 6.2%.The company has spent a lot to CAPEX (118% of EBITDA) which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (4.88%) and ROE (2.58%). ROIC showed almost no change in 2015. ROE showed almost no change in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 4.1x Net Debt / EBITDA and 5.5x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 2.6x from 6.7x to 4.1x in 2015. Debt dropped on 26.8% in 2015 while cash surged on 70.6% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Mining


Below we provide Xingye Copper International Group Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Mining industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Hengxing Gold Holding Co Ltd ($2303)3,467.3%78.0%
Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry Co Ltd ($3833)24.0%4.8%-44.7%303.0%
Huili Resources Group Ltd ($1303)-33.6%-91.6%219.4%-8.8%
North Mining Shares Co Ltd ($433)-5.5%-57.1%187.0%-45.9%
China Kingstone Mining Holdings Ltd ($1380)4,275.3%-94.5%-55.6%155.2%
 
Median (48 companies)61.5%5.4%0.6%-5.1%-8.1%
Xingye Copper International Group Ltd ($505)-8.0%11.6%-6.5%-12.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Billion Resources Ltd ($274)20.3%71.4%47.2%73.4%
Sun International Resources Ltd ($8029)77.6%83.2%73.1%64.8%69.4%
China Polymetallic Mining Ltd ($2133)76.9%81.8%74.2%51.8%38.9%
China Precious Metal Resources Holdings Co Ltd ($1194)64.7%63.9%54.9%51.2%
Hengshi Mining Investments Ltd ($1370)54.6%32.4%55.3%50.1%
 
Median (48 companies)19.2%14.4%14.4%15.5%19.4%
Xingye Copper International Group Ltd ($505)5.1%4.6%6.0%8.0%8.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Precious Metal Resources Holdings Co Ltd ($1194)73.1%70.0%64.6%59.6%
China Polymetallic Mining Ltd ($2133)-322.0%62.8%58.5%54.1%2.8%
G-Resources Group Ltd ($1051)54.5%53.4%58.3%
China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($2099)41.7%38.3%47.3%33.7%
Hengshi Mining Investments Ltd ($1370)45.7%22.8%52.0%45.4%
 
Median (48 companies)7.0%4.9%7.9%5.2%12.4%
Xingye Copper International Group Ltd ($505)4.5%4.0%2.7%4.4%5.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Mongolia Energy Corp Ltd ($276)8,006.5%1,061.7%30,555.4%1,973.0%
Huili Resources Group Ltd ($1303)3.9%181.0%1,508.6%279.5%42.5%
Kaz Minerals ($847)19.8%36.6%136.5%168.8%168.7%
China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($2099)64.7%156.1%95.6%81.4%
IRC Ltd ($1029)129.7%102.1%70.6%82.5%
 
Median (48 companies)16.3%17.4%16.8%15.8%12.4%
Xingye Copper International Group Ltd ($505)2.6%3.9%3.6%8.9%6.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Silver Group Ltd ($815)48.0%57.6%31.6%35.8%
Hengshi Mining Investments Ltd ($1370)153.0%50.1%60.1%20.7%
China Hongqiao Group Ltd ($1378)44.6%24.8%17.0%14.1%10.6%
China Nonferrous Mining Corp Ltd ($1258)10.9%14.7%10.8%11.8%3.5%
Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd ($98)3.8%7.6%8.8%11.7%
 
Median (49 companies)2.9%0.9%2.7%0.0%1.5%
Xingye Copper International Group Ltd ($505)7.2%5.4%3.0%5.0%4.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Hengxing Gold Holding Co Ltd ($2303)10.5x2.2x
Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry Co Ltd ($3833)0.9x8.4x39.4x10.3x
MMG Ltd ($1208)-0.0x2.1x2.0x10.2x20.2x
China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd ($661)5.8x9.2x9.7x9.2x
Midas Holdings Ltd ($1021)1.4x4.3x6.5x8.7x8.0x
 
Median (27 companies)0.9x1.5x1.9x4.4x3.4x
Xingye Copper International Group Ltd ($505)3.8x5.3x7.5x6.7x4.1x