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Nature Home Holding Co Ltd CAPEX dropped on 46.2% in 2015 while Revenue increased slightly on 1.7%

29/03/2016 • About Nature Home Holding Co Ltd ($2083) • By InTwits

Nature Home Holding Co Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Nature Home Holding Co Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is 1.8%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 6.2% in 2015, 9.8% in 2014, 14.7% in 2013, 6.1% in 2012, 15.7% in 2011
  • Nature Home Holding Co Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 10.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 5.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 129 in 2015, 239 in 2014, 236 in 2013, 120 in 2012, 88.1 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 1.8%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 0.4x while industry average is -0.5x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Nature Home Holding Co Ltd ($2083) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue1,5611,1181,4891,9792,0121.7%
Gross Profit516355501620568-8.3%
SG&A2743274125015326.1%
EBITDA24668219194124-36.1%
Net Income306123138-75-268255.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash86681639947360327.5%
Short Term Debt20119013544261539.0%
Long Term Debt57160935289.3%
Cash flow
Capex88120236239129-46.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth-3.9%-28.4%33.2%32.9%1.7%
EBITDA growth-33.4%-72.3%222.4%-11.5%-36.1%
Gross Margin33.0%31.7%33.6%31.3%28.3%-3.1%
EBITDA Margin15.7%6.1%14.7%9.8%6.2%-3.6%
Net Income Margin19.6%11.0%9.3%-3.8%-13.3%-9.5%
SG&A, % of revenue17.5%29.2%27.7%25.3%26.4%1.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue5.6%10.8%15.8%12.1%6.4%-5.7%
ROIC9.2%1.0%6.1%4.8%1.8%-3.0%
ROE15.9%4.8%5.5%-3.1%-11.7%-8.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA-2.5x-9.0x-1.2x-0.1x0.4x0.5x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased slightly on 1.7% in 2015. Revenue growth was financed by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 3.6 pp from 9.8% to 6.2% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 3.1 pp from 31.3% to 28.3% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.1 pp from 25.3% to 26.4% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 9.5 pp from -3.8% to -13.3% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 6.4% in 2015. Nature Home Holding Co Ltd showed decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 4.4 pp from 10.8% in 2012 to 6.4% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 11.4%.Nature Home Holding Co Ltd investments to CAPEX were large: 104% of EBITDA.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (1.77%) and negative ROE (-11.74%). ROIC decreased on 3.0 pp from 4.8% to 1.8% in 2015. ROE decreased on 8.7 pp from -3.1% to -11.7% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 0.4x Net Debt / EBITDA and 5.2x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.5x from -0.1x to 0.4x in 2015. Debt jumped on 44.0% in 2015 while cash surged on 27.5% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Retail


Below we provide Nature Home Holding Co Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Retail industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Nuclear Industry 23 International Corp Ltd ($611)1.4%85.6%-42.1%419.8%
Noble House China Holdings Ltd ($8246)-5.0%-20.2%-24.8%117.2%
Vongroup Ltd ($318)-46.9%23.7%-80.2%90.3%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)45.6%29.5%29.6%57.3%
Shanghai La Chapelle Fashion Co Ltd ($6116)54.9%72.8%23.0%48.3%
 
Median (95 companies)28.7%10.9%6.1%3.1%-0.7%
Nature Home Holding Co Ltd ($2083)-28.4%33.2%32.9%1.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Vongroup Ltd ($318)95.1%99.1%
Modern Beauty Salon Holdings Ltd ($919)97.3%97.4%95.9%96.8%96.7%
Moiselle International Holdings Ltd ($130)81.4%81.2%83.8%80.6%83.2%
Embry Holdings Ltd ($1388)82.3%81.2%80.4%82.3%81.6%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)80.6%86.5%89.3%90.9%80.6%
 
Median (84 companies)40.0%37.7%38.0%35.6%42.0%
Nature Home Holding Co Ltd ($2083)33.0%31.7%33.6%31.3%28.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)47.8%51.6%56.9%54.4%44.8%
Lifestyle International Holdings Ltd ($1212)49.6%47.5%47.0%44.7%43.4%
China Dongxiang Group Co Ltd ($3818)5.6%6.0%5.6%58.3%41.4%
Maoye International Holdings Ltd ($848)45.5%47.4%46.3%73.2%39.6%
Intime Retail Group Co Ltd ($1833)36.0%36.7%55.4%36.2%35.7%
 
Median (95 companies)13.1%10.3%7.3%8.8%7.4%
Nature Home Holding Co Ltd ($2083)15.7%6.1%14.7%9.8%6.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Culture Landmark Investment Ltd ($674)4.6%11.6%19.4%15.7%47.2%
Springland International Holdings Ltd ($1700)20.7%31.9%17.4%26.5%36.9%
Merry Garden Holdings Ltd ($1237)22.7%18.6%28.6%15.1%34.2%
Future Bright Holdings Ltd ($703)6.2%2.6%3.7%36.8%24.9%
Parkson Retail Group Ltd ($3368)8.9%7.5%9.7%6.7%20.8%
 
Median (95 companies)3.9%4.0%3.6%3.5%3.1%
Nature Home Holding Co Ltd ($2083)5.6%10.8%15.8%12.1%6.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Modern Beauty Salon Holdings Ltd ($919)48.1%50.7%-4.6%81.3%71.8%
Starbucks Corp ($4337)36.4%36.4%-6.0%52.8%51.4%
Sa Sa International Holdings Ltd ($178)45.7%53.5%52.7%49.0%39.8%
Noble House China Holdings Ltd ($8246)60.3%17.7%-67.7%-113.8%35.6%
Fairwood Holdings Ltd ($52)27.4%28.0%29.1%28.6%32.1%
 
Median (95 companies)17.2%12.4%8.5%8.4%5.8%
Nature Home Holding Co Ltd ($2083)9.2%1.0%6.1%4.8%1.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Sparkle Roll Group Ltd ($970)-0.8x0.6x4.0x9.3x23.5x
Trinity Ltd ($891)-0.6x-0.2x0.2x0.6x18.2x
Parkson Retail Group Ltd ($3368)0.4x0.8x2.3x3.6x9.8x
Maoye International Holdings Ltd ($848)1.7x2.9x3.3x3.4x9.0x
Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Ltd ($162)6.5x2.0x2.5x4.8x7.3x
 
Median (74 companies)-0.8x-0.5x-0.8x-0.2x-0.5x
Nature Home Holding Co Ltd ($2083)-2.5x-9.0x-1.2x-0.1x0.4x