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Metallurgical Corp of China Ltd Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 2.5x from 6.5x to 9.0x in 2015 and Revenue increased slightly on 0.79%

29/03/2016 • About Metallurgical Corp of China Ltd ($1618) • By InTwits

Metallurgical Corp of China Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Metallurgical Corp of China Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.2%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 1.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 3,357 in 2015, 2,760 in 2014, 2,902 in 2013, 5,334 in 2012, 9,510 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 3.6%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 9.0x while industry average is 4.8x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Metallurgical Corp of China Ltd ($1618) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue222,113216,242202,241210,073211,7270.8%
Gross Profit21,61616,04021,06822,18922,9093.2%
SG&A12,86812,76612,8877,6087,9033.9%
EBITDA13,6217,57512,77311,5519,734-15.7%
Net Income4,243-6,9432,9813,9654,80221.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash42,72132,08431,24328,57128,7360.6%
Short Term Debt84,67674,43774,34360,23586,01942.8%
Long Term Debt52,48557,06542,22443,66930,760-29.6%
Cash flow
Capex9,5105,3342,9022,7603,35721.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth7.6%-2.6%-6.5%3.9%0.8%
EBITDA growth7.8%-44.4%68.6%-9.6%-15.7%
Gross Margin9.7%7.4%10.4%10.6%10.8%0.3%
EBITDA Margin6.1%3.5%6.3%5.5%4.6%-0.9%
Net Income Margin1.9%-3.2%1.5%1.9%2.3%0.4%
SG&A, % of revenue5.8%5.9%6.4%3.6%3.7%0.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.3%2.5%1.4%1.3%1.6%0.3%
ROIC6.2%2.5%5.5%4.8%3.6%-1.2%
ROE9.1%-15.5%7.0%8.6%8.9%0.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA6.9x13.1x6.7x6.5x9.0x2.5x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased slightly on 0.79% in 2015. Revenue growth was financed by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 0.90 pp from 5.5% to 4.6% in 2015.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2015.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.6%. Metallurgical Corp of China Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 0.88 pp from 2.5% in 2012 to 1.6% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.4%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (3.59%) and ROE (8.90%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.2 pp from 4.8% to 3.6% in 2015. ROE showed almost no change in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 9.0x Net Debt / EBITDA and 12.0x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 2.5x from 6.5x to 9.0x in 2015. Debt jumped on 12.4% in 2015 while cash increased slightly on 0.58% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Engineering&Construction


Below we provide Metallurgical Corp of China Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Engineering&Construction industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
CNQC International Holdings Ltd ($1240)21.6%91.0%103.7%807.4%
China National Culture Group Ltd ($745)-39.1%-76.8%-55.8%592.3%
Vision Fame International Holding Ltd ($1315)-9.9%45.9%-10.5%105.6%
Sino Credit Holdings Ltd ($628)-13.8%97.4%
Grand Ming Group Holdings Ltd ($1271)131.0%-26.9%-37.4%74.8%
 
Median (38 companies)15.7%11.5%21.8%16.8%10.7%
Metallurgical Corp of China Ltd ($1618)-2.6%-6.5%3.9%0.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
HNA Infrastructure Company Ltd ($357)61.6%66.4%62.1%62.4%61.1%
Broad Greenstate International Co Ltd ($1253)16.7%20.1%28.7%35.8%36.7%
China National Culture Group Ltd ($745)-46.6%0.9%12.1%10.3%32.3%
Kingbo Strike Ltd ($1421)22.9%32.4%44.4%40.3%30.7%
Freetech Road Recycling Technology Holdings Ltd ($6888)50.1%54.1%54.3%41.5%30.1%
 
Median (33 companies)13.1%13.5%15.1%14.5%15.6%
Metallurgical Corp of China Ltd ($1618)9.7%7.4%10.4%10.6%10.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
HNA Infrastructure Company Ltd ($357)60.0%62.8%63.7%62.8%61.7%
Cheung Kong Infrastructure Holdings Ltd ($1038)39.8%31.2%20.6%36.2%60.9%
Beijing Capital International Airport Co Ltd ($694)55.1%53.4%52.9%50.3%51.6%
China National Culture Group Ltd ($745)-70.3%-30.4%-72.7%-279.2%45.3%
Chevalier International Holdings Ltd ($25)6.7%10.4%11.9%12.8%37.5%
 
Median (38 companies)9.3%9.8%8.8%8.1%8.3%
Metallurgical Corp of China Ltd ($1618)6.1%3.5%6.3%5.5%4.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
HNA Infrastructure Company Ltd ($357)43.3%36.8%5.7%85.4%155.4%
Grand Ming Group Holdings Ltd ($1271)10.6%0.0%16.1%8.7%33.8%
Beijing Capital International Airport Co Ltd ($694)5.3%3.5%6.6%7.2%28.2%
Louis XIII Holdings Ltd ($577)2.3%1.2%29.5%9.3%16.1%
PYI Corp Ltd ($498)6.6%3.7%4.2%24.5%13.1%
 
Median (38 companies)4.1%2.3%2.5%1.7%2.2%
Metallurgical Corp of China Ltd ($1618)4.3%2.5%1.4%1.3%1.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Chun Sing Engineering Holdings Ltd ($2277)98.3%54.9%43.7%
Ngai Shun Holdings Ltd ($1246)68.8%77.2%45.2%31.0%
Broad Greenstate International Co Ltd ($1253)33.2%85.1%51.2%26.0%
CNQC International Holdings Ltd ($1240)23.1%12.2%22.3%40.4%21.8%
Tysan Holdings Ltd ($687)16.1%4.1%10.6%14.0%21.0%
 
Median (40 companies)7.0%6.5%5.9%4.4%3.1%
Metallurgical Corp of China Ltd ($1618)6.2%2.5%5.5%4.8%3.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Deson Development International Holdings ($262)3.1x3.8x4.9x13.7x47.0x
Hsin Chong Construction Group Ltd ($404)4.3x1.8x8.0x10.2x41.7x
China Resources and Transportation Group Ltd ($269)66.7x29.7x
CNC Holdings Ltd ($8356)-0.7x22.0x21.9x24.3x
Louis XIII Holdings Ltd ($577)-1.6x0.8x-12.5x-23.2x19.1x
 
Median (33 companies)0.5x1.0x0.9x1.5x2.2x
Metallurgical Corp of China Ltd ($1618)6.9x13.1x6.7x6.5x9.0x