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Jin Cai Holdings Co Ltd CAPEX surged on 5,726% in 2015 and Revenue jumped on 40.8%

29/03/2016 • About Jin Cai Holdings Co Ltd ($1250) • By InTwits

Jin Cai Holdings Co Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Jin Cai Holdings Co Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 25.0%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 12.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 286 in 2015, 4.9 in 2014, 0 in 2013, 0 in 2012, 0 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 3.4%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Jin Cai Holdings Co Ltd ($1250) key annual financial indicators

mln. 201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue179.5183.3171.8166.4234.240.8%
Gross Profit71.167.167.162.7104.667.0%
SG&A17.313.019.624.166.5175.8%
EBITDA64.260.844.845.946.30.9%
Net Income32.631.021.222.931.236.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash26.530.9102.1102.9919.2793.5%
Short Term Debt20.029.651.524.4151.7522.8%
Long Term Debt0.00.00.00.0123.4
Cash flow
Capex0.00.00.04.9286.45,726.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth10.4%2.1%-6.3%-3.1%40.8%
EBITDA growth-0.5%-5.2%-26.4%2.5%0.9%
Gross Margin39.6%36.6%39.1%37.7%44.7%7.0%
EBITDA Margin35.7%33.2%26.1%27.6%19.8%-7.8%
Net Income Margin18.2%16.9%12.4%13.7%13.3%-0.4%
SG&A, % of revenue9.6%7.1%11.4%14.5%28.4%13.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.0%0.0%0.0%3.0%122.3%119.3%
ROIC38.7%35.3%18.4%15.4%3.4%-12.0%
ROE34.2%28.6%13.5%11.3%3.3%-8.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.1x-0.0x-1.1x-1.7x-13.9x-12.2x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 40.8% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 7.1 pp from -11.1% to -4.0% in 2015.

Gross Margin increased on 7.0 pp from 37.7% to 44.7% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue surged on 13.9 pp from 14.5% to 28.4% in 2015.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 Jin Cai Holdings Co Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 122%. Jin Cai Holdings Co Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue jumped122 pp from 0% in 2012 to 122% in 2015.The company has spent a lot to CAPEX (619% of EBITDA) to secure its growth.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (3.43%) and ROE (3.25%). ROIC dropped on 12.0 pp from 15.4% to 3.4% in 2015. ROE decreased on 8.1 pp from 11.3% to 3.3% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -13.9x and Debt / EBITDA is 5.9x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 12.2x from -1.7x to -13.9x in 2015. Debt jumped on 1,030% in 2015 while cash surged on 793% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Packaging&Containers


Below we provide Jin Cai Holdings Co Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Packaging&Containers industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd ($3366)34.9%17.5%-6.5%69.5%
Hao Tian Development Group Ltd ($474)14.8%51.0%
Huaxi Holdings Co Ltd ($1689)25.3%5.0%-5.1%12.5%
Huajun Holdings Ltd ($377)11.2%3.3%3.4%10.4%
Starlite Holdings Ltd ($403)-12.0%5.0%2.0%9.3%
 
Median (16 companies)19.6%4.9%5.3%0.8%3.0%
Jin Cai Holdings Co Ltd ($1250)2.1%-6.3%-3.1%40.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Huaxi Holdings Co Ltd ($1689)13.1%19.0%28.2%40.9%37.5%
China For You Group Co Ltd ($572)18.7%12.4%34.6%31.9%
Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd ($3366)30.2%34.3%36.5%32.8%31.4%
Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co Ltd ($468)30.2%31.6%26.8%24.4%27.8%
Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd ($794)17.7%17.5%20.7%22.3%22.4%
 
Median (15 companies)18.5%19.0%19.8%21.7%20.3%
Jin Cai Holdings Co Ltd ($1250)39.6%36.6%39.1%37.7%44.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Huaxi Holdings Co Ltd ($1689)7.8%14.5%21.2%27.1%29.1%
Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd ($3366)25.5%27.9%30.7%27.4%26.3%
Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co Ltd ($468)24.1%25.9%23.1%21.6%23.4%
Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Ltd ($2314)19.3%14.6%17.2%18.7%21.6%
CPMC Holdings Ltd ($906)10.8%11.9%13.7%13.2%13.3%
 
Median (16 companies)10.8%11.9%13.8%12.2%8.5%
Jin Cai Holdings Co Ltd ($1250)35.7%33.2%26.1%27.6%19.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Hao Tian Development Group Ltd ($474)88.2%81.6%13.0%25.4%
Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Ltd ($2314)13.5%19.7%13.7%13.1%17.1%
CPMC Holdings Ltd ($906)13.7%16.7%19.7%8.6%9.2%
Huajun Holdings Ltd ($377)5.6%18.4%4.0%4.1%7.2%
Sino Haijing Holdings Ltd ($1106)4.9%9.7%7.1%4.1%6.7%
 
Median (16 companies)5.6%6.9%5.0%4.1%5.4%
Jin Cai Holdings Co Ltd ($1250)0.0%0.0%0.0%3.0%122.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Huaxi Holdings Co Ltd ($1689)21.4%28.5%26.2%23.6%
Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co Ltd ($468)19.6%20.2%18.9%15.7%17.7%
Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Ltd ($2314)11.3%7.2%8.7%8.0%9.2%
Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd ($3366)13.3%8.1%6.4%4.9%8.0%
Zhengye International Holdings Co Ltd ($3363)10.0%7.7%6.2%5.4%6.8%
 
Median (16 companies)10.0%7.7%6.4%5.4%4.9%
Jin Cai Holdings Co Ltd ($1250)38.7%35.3%18.4%15.4%3.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Zhengye International Holdings Co Ltd ($3363)4.0x6.2x6.4x7.8x5.5x
Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd ($3366)0.7x9.4x6.7x7.4x4.4x
Sino Haijing Holdings Ltd ($1106)4.7x6.4x6.1x6.2x10.1x
Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd ($794)-1.1x3.6x4.1x3.8x3.4x
Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Ltd ($2314)2.5x4.1x3.5x3.4x3.0x
 
Median (18 companies)0.9x1.2x0.9x0.7x3.0x
Jin Cai Holdings Co Ltd ($1250)-0.1x-0.0x-1.1x-1.7x-13.9x