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Goodbaby International Holdings Ltd EBITDA surged on 57.3% in 2015 and EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.9 pp from 4.9% to 6.8%

29/03/2016 • About Goodbaby International Holdings Ltd ($1086) • By InTwits

Goodbaby International Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Goodbaby International Holdings Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.0%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 17.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 268 in 2015, 111 in 2014, 285 in 2013, 267 in 2012, 928 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 6.1%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 2.1x while industry average is -3.4x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Goodbaby International Holdings Ltd ($1086) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue3,9424,5544,1896,1166,95113.7%
Gross Profit6748729611,5282,05034.2%
SG&A4545876921,2361,51222.3%
EBITDA22832131230147457.3%
Net Income17718117157197243.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash78863360848570845.9%
Short Term Debt3262214471,496692-53.8%
Long Term Debt0007621,00632.0%
Cash flow
Capex15213011816018415.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth5.9%15.5%-8.0%46.0%13.7%
EBITDA growth-38.3%40.8%-3.1%-3.4%57.3%
Gross Margin17.1%19.1%22.9%25.0%29.5%4.5%
EBITDA Margin5.8%7.1%7.4%4.9%6.8%1.9%
Net Income Margin4.5%4.0%4.1%0.9%2.8%1.9%
SG&A, % of revenue11.5%12.9%16.5%20.2%21.8%1.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue3.9%2.9%2.8%2.6%2.6%0.0%
ROIC7.3%10.7%8.8%3.9%6.1%2.1%
ROE11.1%10.3%9.0%2.7%8.5%5.8%
Net Debt/EBITDA-2.0x-1.3x-0.5x5.9x2.1x-3.8x

Revenue and profitability


Goodbaby International Holdings Ltd's Revenue jumped on 13.7% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 14.2 pp from -1.4% to -15.6% in 2015.

Gross Margin increased on 4.5 pp from 25.0% to 29.5% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.5 pp from 20.2% to 21.8% in 2015.

Net Income marign increased slightly on 1.9 pp from 0.94% to 2.8% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 2.6%. The company showed almost no change in CAPEX/Revenue from 2012 to 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.7%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (6.08%) and ROE (8.47%). ROIC increased on 2.1 pp from 3.9% to 6.1% in 2015. ROE increased on 5.8 pp from 2.7% to 8.5% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 2.1x Net Debt / EBITDA and 3.6x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 3.8x from 5.9x to 2.1x in 2015. Debt dropped on 24.8% in 2015 while cash surged on 45.9% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Household Products/Wares


Below we provide Goodbaby International Holdings Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Household Products/Wares industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Lisi Group Holdings Ltd ($526)2.5%-23.5%160.0%47.9%
Tempus Holdings Ltd ($6880)17.3%5.5%31.1%14.7%
Samsonite International SA ($1910)13.2%15.0%15.4%3.5%
eForce Holdings Ltd ($943)-3.2%9.1%11.0%11.3%
Carpenter Tan Holdings Ltd ($837)11.5%3.3%6.2%-7.4%
 
Median (8 companies)-3.2%10.3%4.6%8.7%3.5%
Goodbaby International Holdings Ltd ($1086)15.5%-8.0%46.0%13.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Carpenter Tan Holdings Ltd ($837)68.4%66.9%67.0%65.8%64.5%
Tempus Holdings Ltd ($6880)71.5%68.4%64.8%64.6%65.5%
Biostime International Holdings Ltd ($1112)66.5%65.9%65.2%61.9%
Samsonite International SA ($1910)54.8%53.7%53.4%52.9%52.6%
eForce Holdings Ltd ($943)14.0%21.2%24.3%25.6%
 
Median (8 companies)38.6%39.1%38.8%39.3%52.6%
Goodbaby International Holdings Ltd ($1086)17.1%19.1%22.9%25.0%29.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Carpenter Tan Holdings Ltd ($837)52.8%49.0%48.1%48.6%46.7%
Biostime International Holdings Ltd ($1112)30.0%30.4%27.6%24.3%
Lerado Group Holding Co Ltd ($1225)6.6%8.6%25.2%20.9%
Samsonite International SA ($1910)15.9%15.9%16.0%14.9%15.1%
Lisi Group Holdings Ltd ($526)11.7%11.8%-0.3%4.4%10.0%
 
Median (8 companies)15.2%13.8%11.6%9.7%10.0%
Goodbaby International Holdings Ltd ($1086)5.8%7.1%7.4%4.9%6.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Lerado Group Holding Co Ltd ($1225)4.3%3.0%75.4%18.8%
Lisi Group Holdings Ltd ($526)7.9%7.1%11.3%6.1%13.1%
Samsonite International SA ($1910)2.4%2.1%2.8%3.0%2.8%
Biostime International Holdings Ltd ($1112)1.8%1.2%3.0%2.8%
Tempus Holdings Ltd ($6880)1.0%0.9%4.0%2.8%2.4%
 
Median (8 companies)2.3%1.8%2.9%2.8%2.4%
Goodbaby International Holdings Ltd ($1086)3.9%2.9%2.8%2.6%2.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Biostime International Holdings Ltd ($1112)34.3%41.7%39.9%24.7%
Samsonite International SA ($1910)18.5%20.8%21.8%21.1%20.3%
Carpenter Tan Holdings Ltd ($837)35.2%30.3%24.6%20.7%17.6%
Tempus Holdings Ltd ($6880)34.9%18.2%1.3%2.5%4.2%
Lisi Group Holdings Ltd ($526)8.0%6.4%-4.7%0.1%1.8%
 
Median (8 companies)18.7%14.4%4.0%1.3%4.2%
Goodbaby International Holdings Ltd ($1086)7.3%10.7%8.8%3.9%6.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Lisi Group Holdings Ltd ($526)2.9x3.4x36.8x9.6x
Samsonite International SA ($1910)-0.5x-0.4x-0.6x-0.2x-0.3x
Carpenter Tan Holdings Ltd ($837)-1.9x-2.5x-2.1x-0.9x-1.5x
Kenford Group Holdings Ltd ($464)-0.6x-0.8x-1.3x-2.4x
Tempus Holdings Ltd ($6880)-2.0x-5.2x-25.8x-14.3x-9.6x
 
Median (5 companies)-0.8x-0.4x-1.0x-0.5x-1.5x
Goodbaby International Holdings Ltd ($1086)-2.0x-1.3x-0.5x5.9x2.1x