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Golden Wheel Tiandi Holdings Co Ltd CAPEX surged on 155% in 2015 while Revenue dropped on 72.4%

29/03/2016 • About Golden Wheel Tiandi Holdings Co Ltd ($1232) • By InTwits

Golden Wheel Tiandi Holdings Co Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Golden Wheel Tiandi Holdings Co Ltd is a company in decline: 2015 revenue growth was -72.4%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -13.8%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -38.9% in 2015, 27.3% in 2014, 22.7% in 2013, 43.4% in 2012, 35.4% in 2011
  • Golden Wheel Tiandi Holdings Co Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 14.5%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 8.5%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 62.8 in 2015, 24.6 in 2014, 227 in 2013, 24.7 in 2012, 71.4 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -1.4%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Golden Wheel Tiandi Holdings Co Ltd ($1232) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue524.5963.7871.3831.1229.5-72.4%
Gross Profit241.1492.5302.1304.2110.4-63.7%
SG&A59.170.0103.2114.3138.120.9%
EBITDA185.5418.4197.5226.7-89.3-139.4%
Net Income498.5276.9316.1234.413.0-94.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash196.698.7790.6334.1876.3162.3%
Short Term Debt109.1192.3475.21,102.51,533.539.1%
Long Term Debt344.6309.61,348.4979.91,497.552.8%
Cash flow
Capex71.424.7227.524.662.8155.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth8.5%83.7%-9.6%-4.6%-72.4%
EBITDA growth93.1%125.6%-52.8%14.8%-139.4%
Gross Margin46.0%51.1%34.7%36.6%48.1%11.5%
EBITDA Margin35.4%43.4%22.7%27.3%-38.9%-66.2%
Net Income Margin95.0%28.7%36.3%28.2%5.7%-22.5%
SG&A, % of revenue11.3%7.3%11.8%13.8%60.2%46.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue13.6%2.6%26.1%3.0%27.4%24.4%
ROIC6.2%11.2%3.7%3.4%-1.4%-4.8%
ROE28.4%11.8%10.1%6.5%0.4%-6.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.4x1.0x5.2x7.7x-7.7x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 72.4% in 2015. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 66.2 pp from 27.3% to -38.9% in 2015.

Gross Margin jumped on 11.5 pp from 36.6% to 48.1% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue surged on 46.4 pp from 13.8% to 60.2% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 22.5 pp from 28.2% to 5.7% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Golden Wheel Tiandi Holdings Co Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 27.4% in 2015. CAPEX/Revenue surged on 24.8 pp from 2.6% in 2012 to 27.4% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 18.8%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-1.41%) and low but positive ROE (0.35%). ROIC decreased on 4.8 pp from 3.4% to -1.4% in 2015. ROE decreased on 6.1 pp from 6.5% to 0.35% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -13.9x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 7.7x from 7.7x to in 2015. Debt surged on 45.5% in 2015 while cash jumped on 162% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below you can find Golden Wheel Tiandi Holdings Co Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Real Estate industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd ($124)24,971.2%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)-51.4%-86.2%1,071.2%
Henderson Investment Ltd ($97)-78.9%737.1%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)-70.5%-95.2%75.7%678.6%
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)30.5%-53.9%-83.4%662.4%
 
Median (150 companies)12.6%15.8%14.0%5.3%3.9%
Golden Wheel Tiandi Holdings Co Ltd ($1232)83.7%-9.6%-4.6%-72.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)71.1%79.0%95.2%97.9%99.9%
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.9%96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)91.5%94.4%96.6%96.7%97.6%
Wah Ha Realty Co Ltd ($278)88.7%96.3%96.0%93.2%95.9%
Soundwill Holdings Ltd ($878)35.6%53.1%74.5%46.9%95.7%
 
Median (132 companies)43.8%41.8%41.9%39.3%41.7%
Golden Wheel Tiandi Holdings Co Ltd ($1232)46.0%51.1%34.7%36.6%48.1%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)340.9%356.2%91.6%195.5%397.4%
SOHO China Ltd ($410)113.8%113.6%80.8%104.0%201.9%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)33.2%-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%186.5%
Swire Properties Ltd ($1972)283.7%154.5%114.6%73.2%100.3%
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)82.9%103.0%112.8%78.4%86.9%
 
Median (150 companies)35.5%29.1%28.5%27.4%26.5%
Golden Wheel Tiandi Holdings Co Ltd ($1232)35.4%43.4%22.7%27.3%-38.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%0.0%18.0%27,965.5%4,834.8%
China Oceanwide Holdings Ltd ($715)0.4%0.8%0.3%2.0%880.6%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)6.5%2.9%323.1%351.2%340.6%
Hon Kwok Land Investment Co Ltd ($160)90.6%20.6%157.3%144.5%296.3%
Silver Grant International Industries Ltd ($171)100.8%134.5%193.1%204.1%280.7%
 
Median (151 companies)5.8%5.7%6.1%4.8%3.9%
Golden Wheel Tiandi Holdings Co Ltd ($1232)13.6%2.6%26.1%3.0%27.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Gemdale Properties & Investment Corp Ltd ($535)8.9%15.3%19.6%10.8%15.9%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)18.0%18.4%15.1%18.5%15.4%
Colour Life Services Group Co Ltd ($1778)44.2%47.9%29.3%14.5%
Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd ($3699)26.8%19.6%12.3%14.4%
China Vanke Co Ltd ($2202)16.8%17.8%13.5%14.6%14.1%
 
Median (152 companies)4.6%4.1%4.1%4.2%2.9%
Golden Wheel Tiandi Holdings Co Ltd ($1232)6.2%11.2%3.7%3.4%-1.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Shui On Land Ltd ($272)7.9x22.1x13.2x17.1x54.2x
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)2.9x7.1x4.6x11.7x49.1x
Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd ($2608)19.8x9.9x12.4x12.9x42.3x
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)3.7x6.2x49.3x38.4x
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)21.5x24.4x2.9x16.7x
 
Median (118 companies)2.2x2.4x2.7x3.0x3.6x