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Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 8.3x from 24.3x to 32.6x in 2015 while Revenue dropped on 34.0%

29/03/2016 • About Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd ($1738) • By InTwits

Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -5.7%
  • Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 177.3%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 45.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 22.9 in 2015, 24.1 in 2014, 30.7 in 2013, 64.8 in 2012, 69.5 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -5.7%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 32.6x while industry average is 7.5x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd ($1738) key annual financial indicators

mln. 201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue105.2141.9178.5363.4239.9-34.0%
Gross Profit30.946.170.387.22.1-97.5%
SG&A52.481.0148.2123.887.1-29.6%
EBITDA-9.7-18.6-58.868.938.1-44.7%
Net Income-64.2-75.3-334.1-223.6-515.0130.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash73.6161.0146.9270.171.9-73.4%
Short Term Debt247.6476.61,066.31,147.8930.2-19.0%
Long Term Debt614.3647.4944.9795.4384.8-51.6%
Cash flow
Capex326.7347.7285.1294.1216.5-26.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth172.1%34.9%25.8%103.6%-34.0%
EBITDA growth-98.6%91.8%216.1%-217.2%-44.7%
Gross Margin29.4%32.4%39.4%24.0%0.9%-23.1%
EBITDA Margin-9.2%-13.1%-32.9%19.0%15.9%-3.1%
Net Income Margin-61.0%-53.1%-187.2%-61.5%-214.7%-153.1%
SG&A, % of revenue49.8%57.1%83.0%34.1%36.3%2.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue310.5%244.9%159.7%80.9%90.2%9.3%
ROIC-1.4%-2.0%-3.8%-1.8%-5.7%-3.9%
ROE-12.4%-16.9%-116.1%-195.2%195.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA24.3x32.6x8.3x

Revenue and profitability


Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd's Revenue dropped on 34.0% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 3.1 pp from 19.0% to 15.9% in 2015.

Gross Margin dropped on 23.1 pp from 24.0% to 0.90% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 2.3 pp from 34.1% to 36.3% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 153 pp from -61.5% to -215% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 90.2%. The company showed big decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 155 pp from 245% in 2012 to 90.2% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 110%.Battling declining revenue Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd made large investments to CAPEX (568% of EBITDA) but that didn't help at least in this year.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 32.6x and Debt / EBITDA is 34.5x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 8.3x from 24.3x to 32.6x in 2015. Debt dropped on 32.3% in 2015 while cash dropped on 73.4% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Coal


Below you can find Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Coal industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Kinetic Mines and Energy Ltd ($1277)299.9%563.4%40.0%
Loudong General Nice Resources China Holdings Ltd ($988)8.5%-12.7%39.1%87.6%
Rosan Resources Holdings Ltd ($578)-19.9%-74.1%71.1%49.1%
Asia Coal Ltd ($835)32.1%-15.3%43.2%133.6%
Agritrade Resources Ltd ($1131)97.2%64.1%37.2%28.4%
 
Median (22 companies)5.2%-6.5%-8.6%-12.5%-16.1%
Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd ($1738)34.9%25.8%103.6%-34.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Asia Coal Ltd ($835)32.4%56.7%62.6%76.7%5.8%
Shougang Fushan Resources Group Ltd ($639)70.4%63.5%50.9%40.1%24.5%
Agritrade Resources Ltd ($1131)7.6%22.9%29.4%31.8%30.0%
Kinetic Mines and Energy Ltd ($1277)20.6%28.8%30.3%10.9%
China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd ($1088)39.9%31.4%28.7%29.6%35.5%
 
Median (22 companies)31.5%19.9%17.3%9.4%6.9%
Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd ($1738)29.4%32.4%39.4%24.0%0.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd ($1088)41.2%35.6%31.6%34.2%33.9%
Agritrade Resources Ltd ($1131)1.4%41.6%37.3%33.4%31.1%
Kinetic Mines and Energy Ltd ($1277)-277.0%-51.9%29.3%15.8%
Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd ($3948)40.9%33.1%30.7%22.8%
Yanzhou Coal Mining Co Ltd ($1171)32.3%14.9%11.5%12.2%14.1%
 
Median (23 companies)17.4%7.2%0.2%-8.6%-18.0%
Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd ($1738)-9.2%-13.1%-32.9%19.0%15.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Up Energy Development Group Ltd ($307)279.5%75.2%
Siberian Mining Group Co Ltd ($1142)129.1%4.6%78.8%217.3%279.7%
King Stone Energy Group Ltd ($663)82.7%58.5%135.3%205.7%
Asia Coal Ltd ($835)121.4%12.5%25.8%111.0%0.3%
Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ($1393)74.1%82.3%144.6%92.3%
 
Median (23 companies)21.9%13.7%23.0%17.8%18.4%
Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd ($1738)310.5%244.9%159.7%80.9%90.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd ($1088)21.0%19.5%17.4%14.6%7.7%
Loudong General Nice Resources China Holdings Ltd ($988)11.5%4.1%8.2%9.6%
Kinetic Mines and Energy Ltd ($1277)-2.6%-6.6%-5.7%8.5%3.2%
Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd ($3948)37.6%28.5%15.2%8.5%
Agritrade Resources Ltd ($1131)-2.3%2.7%5.8%6.4%6.9%
 
Median (23 companies)4.8%-1.9%-0.4%-5.2%-0.9%
Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd ($1738)-1.4%-2.0%-3.8%-1.8%-5.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Coal Energy Co Ltd ($1898)0.5x1.9x4.9x9.7x14.4x
Yanzhou Coal Mining Co Ltd ($1171)1.1x2.9x6.2x4.9x9.0x
Kinetic Mines and Energy Ltd ($1277)4.5x5.9x
Capital Finance Holdings Ltd ($8239)3.6x
China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd ($1088)-0.0x0.2x0.6x0.7x1.1x
 
Median (7 companies)1.1x2.4x4.4x4.0x3.6x
Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd ($1738)24.3x32.6x