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China Oilfield Services Ltd Net Income dropped on 85.7% in 2015 and Revenue dropped on 29.8%

29/03/2016 • About China Oilfield Services Ltd ($2883) • By InTwits

China Oilfield Services Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China Oilfield Services Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 25.5%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 9.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 5,856 in 2015, 9,841 in 2014, 8,456 in 2013, 3,643 in 2012, 4,596 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 2.1%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.9x while industry average is 3.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Oilfield Services Ltd ($2883) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue18,42622,10527,36432,99323,174-29.8%
SG&A156185
EBITDA8,0528,79210,95912,1965,845-52.1%
Net Income4,0394,5596,7167,4921,074-85.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash5,6469,8159,6015,43212,574131.5%
Short Term Debt1,6261,6603,8043,81711,452200.0%
Long Term Debt26,48431,71027,02723,32023,8732.4%
Cash flow
Capex4,5963,6438,4569,8415,856-40.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth4.9%20.0%23.8%20.6%-29.8%
EBITDA growth-3.2%9.2%24.6%11.3%-52.1%
EBITDA Margin43.7%39.8%40.0%37.0%25.2%-11.7%
Net Income Margin21.9%20.6%24.5%22.7%4.6%-18.1%
SG&A, % of revenue0.8%0.8%0.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue24.9%16.5%30.9%29.8%25.3%-4.6%
ROIC8.6%8.9%11.2%11.6%2.1%-9.6%
ROE14.9%15.0%19.3%17.7%2.3%-15.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.8x2.7x1.9x1.8x3.9x2.1x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 29.8% in 2015. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 11.7 pp from 37.0% to 25.2% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 18.1 pp from 22.7% to 4.6% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 China Oilfield Services Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 25.3%. China Oilfield Services Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue increased on 8.8 pp from 16.5% in 2012 to 25.3% in 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 28.7%.China Oilfield Services Ltd has spent a lot to CAPEX (100% of EBITDA) which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (2.05%) and ROE (2.28%). ROIC decreased on 9.6 pp from 11.6% to 2.1% in 2015. ROE dropped on 15.4 pp from 17.7% to 2.3% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 3.9x and Debt / EBITDA is 6.0x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 2.1x from 1.8x to 3.9x in 2015. Debt jumped on 30.2% in 2015 while cash surged on 131% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Oil&Gas Services


Below we provide China Oilfield Services Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Oil&Gas Services industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Yuan Heng Gas Holdings Ltd ($332)196.3%207.4%105.9%-36.4%
CIMC Enric Holdings Ltd ($3899)18.4%-0.3%39.7%-26.9%
TSC Group Holdings Ltd ($206)-2.8%31.7%9.9%34.0%
Sinopec Engineering Group Co Ltd ($2386)25.9%13.1%13.3%-7.8%
Jutal Offshore Oil Services Ltd ($3303)15.3%23.4%46.2%6.9%
 
Median (12 companies)15.3%28.8%9.1%0.5%-11.5%
China Oilfield Services Ltd ($2883)20.0%23.8%20.6%-29.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Hilong Holding Ltd ($1623)41.0%39.5%40.3%39.6%32.6%
Anton Oilfield Services Group/Hong Kong ($3337)41.5%45.0%44.3%31.2%31.8%
TSC Group Holdings Ltd ($206)38.0%30.7%31.6%27.8%
Jutal Offshore Oil Services Ltd ($3303)20.3%21.7%25.1%19.6%
CIMC Enric Holdings Ltd ($3899)18.7%19.5%20.4%18.8%18.6%
 
Median (10 companies)19.5%16.9%17.6%15.8%18.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Hans Energy Co Ltd ($554)-38.3%40.4%45.0%42.8%42.7%
Hilong Holding Ltd ($1623)28.5%25.9%27.8%28.8%22.7%
SPT Energy Group Inc ($1251)24.7%23.8%19.8%14.1%-36.0%
TSC Group Holdings Ltd ($206)11.7%11.4%14.0%13.2%
Anton Oilfield Services Group/Hong Kong ($3337)18.6%24.5%28.0%12.5%17.2%
 
Median (12 companies)12.0%12.4%14.0%11.0%10.6%
China Oilfield Services Ltd ($2883)43.7%39.8%40.0%37.0%25.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Petro-King Oilfield Services Ltd ($2178)8.2%13.3%13.3%75.4%12.3%
Hilong Holding Ltd ($1623)17.1%16.7%18.9%48.1%9.6%
Anton Oilfield Services Group/Hong Kong ($3337)13.3%12.6%32.2%22.8%9.5%
Jutal Offshore Oil Services Ltd ($3303)6.6%12.8%8.4%12.9%
SPT Energy Group Inc ($1251)6.8%7.4%5.6%7.9%23.5%
 
Median (12 companies)6.7%6.4%5.2%6.3%9.5%
China Oilfield Services Ltd ($2883)24.9%16.5%30.9%29.8%25.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Yuan Heng Gas Holdings Ltd ($332)-59.8%-0.0%25.6%3.9%
CIMC Enric Holdings Ltd ($3899)19.4%20.3%20.0%21.3%8.9%
Sinopec Engineering Group Co Ltd ($2386)59.6%77.5%33.3%18.6%15.3%
Hilong Holding Ltd ($1623)19.0%15.5%14.8%12.0%6.0%
TSC Group Holdings Ltd ($206)5.2%6.7%9.1%10.5%
 
Median (12 companies)8.3%10.7%11.1%7.9%3.9%
China Oilfield Services Ltd ($2883)8.6%8.9%11.2%11.6%2.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Hans Energy Co Ltd ($554)14.0x11.9x12.9x11.3x
Anton Oilfield Services Group/Hong Kong ($3337)-0.5x0.0x0.9x7.4x6.4x
Yuan Heng Gas Holdings Ltd ($332)2.7x8.9x
Hilong Holding Ltd ($1623)0.8x0.9x1.1x2.6x3.3x
Sinopec Kantons Holdings Ltd ($934)-1.2x-7.1x-7.4x2.5x2.2x
 
Median (11 companies)-0.3x0.0x-0.4x1.8x3.3x
China Oilfield Services Ltd ($2883)2.8x2.7x1.9x1.8x3.9x