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China Machinery Engineering Corp reports 23.2% EBITDA decline and 12.6% Revenue decline

29/03/2016 • About China Machinery Engineering Corp ($1829) • By InTwits

China Machinery Engineering Corp reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China Machinery Engineering Corp has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.1%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 45.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 459 in 2015, 340 in 2014, 244 in 2013, 304 in 2012, 924 in 2011
  • The company has business model with average profitability: ROIC is at 10.8%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Machinery Engineering Corp ($1829) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue20,51821,29621,42623,74720,757-12.6%
Gross Profit3,6593,7323,7423,8143,391-11.1%
SG&A1,3851,5651,7151,6901,7443.2%
EBITDA2,2062,1502,3982,1751,670-23.2%
Net Income1,4751,9281,9592,1192,052-3.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash5,17112,08914,55017,98620,34513.1%
Short Term Debt160134234206428108.2%
Long Term Debt2261558036039710.4%
Cash flow
Capex92430424434045934.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth7.6%3.8%0.6%10.8%-12.6%
EBITDA growth41.2%-2.5%11.6%-9.3%-23.2%
Gross Margin17.8%17.5%17.5%16.1%16.3%0.3%
EBITDA Margin10.8%10.1%11.2%9.2%8.0%-1.1%
Net Income Margin7.2%9.1%9.1%8.9%9.9%1.0%
SG&A, % of revenue6.7%7.3%8.0%7.1%8.4%1.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.5%1.4%1.1%1.4%2.2%0.8%
ROIC35.5%24.9%20.4%16.0%10.8%-5.2%
ROE31.6%25.2%18.1%17.0%15.0%-2.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA-2.2x-5.5x-5.9x-8.0x-11.7x-3.7x

Revenue and profitability


China Machinery Engineering Corp's Revenue dropped on 12.6% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.2 pp from 13.1% to 14.3% in 2015.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.3 pp from 7.1% to 8.4% in 2015.

Net Income marign increased slightly on 0.96 pp from 8.9% to 9.9% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


China Machinery Engineering Corp's CAPEX/Revenue was 2.2% in 2015. The company's CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 0.78 pp from 1.4% in 2012 to 2.2% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.6%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (15.03%) while ROIC is low (10.82%). ROIC decreased on 5.2 pp from 16.0% to 10.8% in 2015. ROE decreased on 2.0 pp from 17.0% to 15.0% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -11.7x and Debt / EBITDA is 0.5x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 3.7x from -8.0x to -11.7x in 2015. Debt jumped on 45.9% in 2015 while cash surged on 13.1% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Engineering&Construction


Below you can find China Machinery Engineering Corp benchmarking vs. other companies in Engineering&Construction industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
CNQC International Holdings Ltd ($1240)21.6%91.0%103.7%807.4%
China National Culture Group Ltd ($745)-39.1%-76.8%-55.8%592.3%
Vision Fame International Holding Ltd ($1315)-9.9%45.9%-10.5%105.6%
Sino Credit Holdings Ltd ($628)-13.8%97.4%
Grand Ming Group Holdings Ltd ($1271)131.0%-26.9%-37.4%74.8%
 
Median (38 companies)15.7%11.5%21.8%16.8%10.7%
China Machinery Engineering Corp ($1829)3.8%0.6%10.8%-12.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
HNA Infrastructure Company Ltd ($357)61.6%66.4%62.1%62.4%61.1%
Broad Greenstate International Co Ltd ($1253)16.7%20.1%28.7%35.8%36.7%
China National Culture Group Ltd ($745)-46.6%0.9%12.1%10.3%32.3%
Kingbo Strike Ltd ($1421)22.9%32.4%44.4%40.3%30.7%
Freetech Road Recycling Technology Holdings Ltd ($6888)50.1%54.1%54.3%41.5%30.1%
 
Median (33 companies)12.0%13.3%13.7%13.8%15.1%
China Machinery Engineering Corp ($1829)17.8%17.5%17.5%16.1%16.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
HNA Infrastructure Company Ltd ($357)60.0%62.8%63.7%62.8%61.7%
Cheung Kong Infrastructure Holdings Ltd ($1038)39.8%31.2%20.6%36.2%60.9%
Beijing Capital International Airport Co Ltd ($694)55.1%53.4%52.9%50.3%51.6%
China National Culture Group Ltd ($745)-70.3%-30.4%-72.7%-279.2%45.3%
Chevalier International Holdings Ltd ($25)6.7%10.4%11.9%12.8%37.5%
 
Median (38 companies)8.5%9.4%8.3%7.4%8.1%
China Machinery Engineering Corp ($1829)10.8%10.1%11.2%9.2%8.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
HNA Infrastructure Company Ltd ($357)43.3%36.8%5.7%85.4%155.4%
Grand Ming Group Holdings Ltd ($1271)10.6%0.0%16.1%8.7%33.8%
Beijing Capital International Airport Co Ltd ($694)5.3%3.5%6.6%7.2%28.2%
Louis XIII Holdings Ltd ($577)2.3%1.2%29.5%9.3%16.1%
PYI Corp Ltd ($498)6.6%3.7%4.2%24.5%13.1%
 
Median (38 companies)4.1%2.5%2.5%1.7%2.1%
China Machinery Engineering Corp ($1829)4.5%1.4%1.1%1.4%2.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Chun Sing Engineering Holdings Ltd ($2277)98.3%54.9%43.7%
Ngai Shun Holdings Ltd ($1246)68.8%77.2%45.2%31.0%
Broad Greenstate International Co Ltd ($1253)33.2%85.1%51.2%26.0%
CNQC International Holdings Ltd ($1240)23.1%12.2%22.3%40.4%21.8%
Tysan Holdings Ltd ($687)16.1%4.1%10.6%14.0%21.0%
 
Median (40 companies)6.9%6.4%5.6%4.4%3.1%
China Machinery Engineering Corp ($1829)35.5%24.9%20.4%16.0%10.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Deson Development International Holdings ($262)3.1x3.8x4.9x13.7x47.0x
Hsin Chong Construction Group Ltd ($404)4.3x1.8x8.0x10.2x41.7x
China Resources and Transportation Group Ltd ($269)66.7x29.7x
CNC Holdings Ltd ($8356)-0.7x22.0x21.9x24.3x
Louis XIII Holdings Ltd ($577)-1.6x0.8x-12.5x-23.2x19.1x
 
Median (33 companies)0.5x1.2x1.2x2.0x2.4x
China Machinery Engineering Corp ($1829)-2.2x-5.5x-5.9x-8.0x-11.7x