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Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd CAPEX surged on 1,073% in 2015 while Revenue decreased on 9.6%

28/03/2016 • About Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd ($2608) • By InTwits

Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is 1.4%
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: 6.8% in 2015 vs. 13.6% in 2014 vs. 11.7% in 2011
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 6.8% in 2015, 13.6% in 2014, 17.8% in 2013, 20.9% in 2012, 11.7% in 2011
  • Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.3%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 7.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 602 in 2015, 51.3 in 2014, 213 in 2013, 127 in 2012, 146 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 1.4%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 42.3x while industry average is 22.6x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd ($2608) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue2,9404,4555,7697,1046,418-9.6%
Gross Profit8581,4121,6501,5061,168-22.4%
SG&A49445361777998025.9%
EBITDA3459311,028969436-55.0%
Net Income24301672767601-21.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash5641,1081,2172,5581,325-48.2%
Short Term Debt3,8646,7525,0508,0047,578-5.3%
Long Term Debt3,5263,5608,9617,06112,19172.6%
Cash flow
Capex146127213516021,073.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth0.2%51.5%29.5%23.1%-9.6%
EBITDA growth-32.0%170.3%10.4%-5.7%-55.0%
Gross Margin29.2%31.7%28.6%21.2%18.2%-3.0%
EBITDA Margin11.7%20.9%17.8%13.6%6.8%-6.8%
Net Income Margin0.8%6.8%11.6%10.8%9.4%-1.4%
SG&A, % of revenue16.8%10.2%10.7%11.0%15.3%4.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue5.0%2.9%3.7%0.7%9.4%8.7%
ROIC4.0%8.6%6.5%4.6%1.4%-3.1%
ROE2.4%25.8%40.6%23.2%11.1%-12.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA19.8x9.9x12.4x12.9x42.3x29.4x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 9.6% in 2015. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 6.8 pp from 13.6% to 6.8% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 3.0 pp from 21.2% to 18.2% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 4.3 pp from 11.0% to 15.3% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased slightly on 1.4 pp from 10.8% to 9.4% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 9.4%. The company showed CAPEX/Revenue growth of 6.5 pp from 2.9% in 2012 to 9.4% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 4.6%.The company has spent a lot to CAPEX (138% of EBITDA) which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (1.43%) and ROE (11.11%). ROIC decreased on 3.1 pp from 4.6% to 1.4% in 2015. ROE dropped on 12.1 pp from 23.2% to 11.1% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 42.3x Net Debt / EBITDA and 45.3x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 29.4x from 12.9x to 42.3x in 2015. Debt jumped on 31.2% in 2015 while cash dropped on 48.2% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below you can find Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Real Estate industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Common Splendor International Health Industry Group Ltd ($286)-0.9%-0.5%1.9%4,120.2%
Landsea Green Properties Co Ltd ($106)-35.1%-51.2%3,097.3%188.5%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)-27.5%-21.9%3,008.3%-77.4%
Rivera Holdings Ltd ($281)197.1%-89.9%2,067.2%-92.7%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-94.0%-73.9%-49.8%1,922.5%
 
Median (177 companies)12.0%15.8%13.1%5.2%4.2%
Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd ($2608)51.5%29.5%23.1%-9.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.9%96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)37.4%39.3%98.2%
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)71.1%79.0%95.2%97.9%99.9%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)91.5%94.4%96.6%96.7%97.6%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)29.8%22.8%92.9%95.2%62.7%
 
Median (159 companies)44.2%41.9%41.9%39.3%43.0%
Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd ($2608)29.2%31.7%28.6%21.2%18.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)340.9%356.2%91.6%195.5%397.4%
SOHO China Ltd ($410)113.8%113.6%80.8%104.0%201.9%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)33.2%-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%186.5%
Swire Properties Ltd ($1972)283.7%154.5%114.6%73.2%100.3%
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)82.9%103.0%112.8%78.4%86.9%
 
Median (141 companies)35.5%29.7%28.5%27.8%26.9%
Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd ($2608)11.7%20.9%17.8%13.6%6.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%0.0%18.0%27,965.5%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)25.6%56.2%4,202.4%1,304.7%189.7%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)5.9%24.1%1,091.1%190.4%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)6.5%2.9%323.1%351.2%340.6%
Liu Chong Hing Investment Ltd ($194)9.4%18.5%6.1%269.7%0.9%
 
Median (178 companies)5.9%5.7%6.2%4.8%4.2%
Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd ($2608)5.0%2.9%3.7%0.7%9.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Rykadan Capital Ltd ($2288)17.2%-1.8%-2.6%48.4%-3.7%
Colour Life Services Group Co Ltd ($1778)44.2%47.9%29.3%14.5%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)0.2%-0.2%-1.1%22.1%1.8%
China Vast Industrial Urban Development Co Ltd ($6166)2.2%19.7%19.8%9.1%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)39.0%19.2%17.6%18.7%
 
Median (181 companies)4.6%4.1%4.0%4.1%2.9%
Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd ($2608)4.0%8.6%6.5%4.6%1.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Properties Group Ltd ($1838)16.9x43.0x21.4x1,523.0x
SRE Group Ltd ($1207)10.6x14.1x24.7x1,184.6x
Cheuk Nang Holdings Ltd ($131)53.2x177.3x901.7x
Tian An China Investment Co Ltd ($28)2.4x13.2x15.1x486.6x
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)3.7x6.2x49.3x38.4x
 
Median (143 companies)2.1x2.2x2.7x3.0x3.2x
Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd ($2608)19.8x9.9x12.4x12.9x42.3x