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GA Holdings Ltd reports 70.8% Net Income growth while 2.6 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 22.9% to 20.3%

28/03/2016 • About GA Holdings Ltd ($8126) • By InTwits

GA Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • GA Holdings Ltd is a growth stock: 2015 revenue growth was 17.2%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 15.1% at 2015 ROIC 11.9%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 20.3% in 2015, 22.9% in 2014, 19.7% in 2013, 8.0% in 2012, -4.5% in 2011
  • GA Holdings Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.4%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 7.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 7.4 in 2015, 15.0 in 2014, 12.8 in 2013, 1.7 in 2012, 10.7 in 2011
  • The company has business model with average profitability: ROIC is at 11.9%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

GA Holdings Ltd ($8126) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue301.8394.2408.3422.9495.517.2%
EBITDA-13.631.580.397.0100.83.9%
Net Income29.534.275.256.296.070.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash54.986.154.034.386.4152.1%
Short Term Debt115.1147.859.490.7105.716.5%
Long Term Debt7.110.06.66.96.3-8.4%
Cash flow
Capex10.71.712.815.07.4-50.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth23.3%30.6%3.6%3.6%17.2%
EBITDA growth568.4%-331.5%155.3%20.8%3.9%
EBITDA Margin-4.5%8.0%19.7%22.9%20.3%-2.6%
Net Income Margin9.8%8.7%18.4%13.3%19.4%6.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue3.6%0.4%3.1%3.6%1.5%-2.1%
ROIC-6.1%3.3%12.0%13.5%11.9%-1.5%
ROE10.7%10.9%20.1%12.7%19.4%6.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.3x0.1x0.7x0.3x-0.4x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue surged on 17.2% in 2015. Revenue growth was financed by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 2.6 pp from 22.9% to 20.3% in 2015.

Net Income marign increased on 6.1 pp from 13.3% to 19.4% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 1.5% in 2015. The company's CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 1.1 pp from 0.42% in 2012 to 1.5% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.7%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (19.41%) while ROIC is low (11.92%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.5 pp from 13.5% to 11.9% in 2015. ROE increased on 6.7 pp from 12.7% to 19.4% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 0.3x Net Debt / EBITDA and 1.1x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.4x from 0.7x to 0.3x in 2015. Debt surged on 14.8% in 2015 while cash jumped on 152% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Distribution/Wholesale


Below we provide GA Holdings Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Distribution/Wholesale industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Forefront Group Ltd ($885)504.6%3,871.0%72.0%
China LNG Group Ltd ($931)-84.5%694.8%13.6%1,341.3%
Sheng Yuan Holdings Ltd ($851)-86.1%756.9%567.2%-2.1%
China Infrastructure Investment Ltd ($600)346.9%412.1%-50.9%557.9%
China-Hongkong Photo Products Holdings Ltd ($1123)24.9%9.0%81.2%12.2%
 
Median (37 companies)7.9%2.6%0.0%0.8%-2.1%
GA Holdings Ltd ($8126)30.6%3.6%3.6%17.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Yunnan Tin Minerals Group Co Ltd ($263)32.6%79.6%66.3%98.7%
Goldin Financial Holdings Ltd ($530)67.0%75.3%71.7%74.8%73.8%
YGM Trading Ltd ($375)67.1%66.5%67.4%64.0%62.5%
Goldlion Holdings Ltd ($533)57.3%56.4%54.1%55.7%60.0%
E.Bon Holdings Ltd ($599)36.6%40.3%37.4%35.8%39.6%
 
Median (28 companies)16.1%17.4%17.8%18.7%21.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Goldin Financial Holdings Ltd ($530)-134.6%163.7%613.4%285.7%364.1%
China LNG Group Ltd ($931)195.2%95.1%76.4%97.9%
Forefront Group Ltd ($885)-2,113.8%-803.1%57.7%4.9%
China Infrastructure Investment Ltd ($600)-1,171.2%-274.9%120.0%52.0%
Goldlion Holdings Ltd ($533)27.8%25.8%23.4%22.5%22.8%
 
Median (37 companies)2.9%2.1%1.9%4.5%2.8%
GA Holdings Ltd ($8126)-4.5%8.0%19.7%22.9%20.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
C Y Foundation Group Ltd ($1182)9.8%2.5%5.2%82.2%9.3%
Inspur International Ltd ($596)0.9%8.4%12.2%33.6%
SIS International Holdings ($529)0.2%13.4%31.8%14.8%49.8%
HKC International Holdings Ltd ($248)0.9%5.5%0.8%11.4%0.5%
Tan Chong International Ltd ($693)7.6%6.0%7.6%7.0%
 
Median (36 companies)1.3%1.4%1.7%1.6%1.2%
GA Holdings Ltd ($8126)3.6%0.4%3.1%3.6%1.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China LNG Group Ltd ($931)2.2%8.4%7.4%87.0%
Yestar International Holdings Co Ltd ($2393)29.4%28.8%24.1%26.2%25.4%
Powerwell Pacific Holdings Ltd ($8265)27.8%6.4%6.4%23.6%27.1%
Forefront Group Ltd ($885)-37.7%-4.9%-11.0%19.5%1.3%
Sincere Watch Hong Kong Ltd ($444)46.4%51.7%27.7%14.6%5.5%
 
Median (38 companies)2.9%2.1%0.9%3.1%2.4%
GA Holdings Ltd ($8126)-6.1%3.3%12.0%13.5%11.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
SIS International Holdings ($529)-62.1x-1.8x7.0x7.2x16.8x
Leeport Holdings Ltd ($387)3.1x16.1x
Takson Holdings Ltd ($918)11.5x11.7x15.7x
Sheng Yuan Holdings Ltd ($851)19.3x15.4x
Forefront Group Ltd ($885)-0.0x15.3x
 
Median (21 companies)-0.2x-0.3x-0.8x-0.1x-0.2x
GA Holdings Ltd ($8126)2.3x0.1x0.7x0.3x