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Byd Co Ltd reports 89.7% CAPEX growth and 40.2% Revenue growth

28/03/2016 • About Byd Co Ltd ($1211) • By InTwits

Byd Co Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Byd Co Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 10.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 6.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 4,413 in 2015, 2,326 in 2014, 5,764 in 2013, 5,773 in 2012, 7,515 in 2011
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is at 8.5%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 2.9x while industry average is 0.5x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Byd Co Ltd ($1211) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue46,31244,38151,66055,36677,61240.2%
Gross Profit6,8675,1266,9147,62311,85955.6%
SG&A3,8023,3663,2934,3655,51926.4%
EBITDA5,2154,5184,9426,66511,04465.7%
Net Income1,385815534342,823551.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash3,7373,4874,7113,9506,01152.2%
Short Term Debt11,34211,28829,20619,17326,41337.8%
Long Term Debt7,0797,3418,65210,97911,2302.3%
Cash flow
Capex7,5155,7735,7642,3264,41389.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth-3.1%-4.2%16.4%7.2%40.2%
EBITDA growth-13.4%9.4%34.9%65.7%
Gross Margin14.8%11.6%13.4%13.8%15.3%1.5%
EBITDA Margin11.3%10.2%9.6%12.0%14.2%2.2%
Net Income Margin3.0%0.2%1.1%0.8%3.6%2.9%
SG&A, % of revenue8.2%7.6%6.4%7.9%7.1%-0.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue16.2%13.0%11.2%4.2%5.7%1.5%
ROIC6.1%2.7%2.5%3.9%8.5%4.6%
ROE7.0%0.4%2.6%1.8%10.4%8.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.8x3.4x6.7x3.9x2.9x-1.1x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 40.2% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin jumped on 12.1 pp from 23.6% to 35.7% in 2015.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 1.5 pp from 13.8% to 15.3% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 0.77 pp from 7.9% to 7.1% in 2015.

Net Income marign increased on 2.9 pp from 0.78% to 3.6% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 Byd Co Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 5.7%. CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 7.3 pp from 13.0% in 2012 to 5.7% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 7.0%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (8.50%) and ROE (10.37%). ROIC increased on 4.6 pp from 3.9% to 8.5% in 2015. ROE increased on 8.5 pp from 1.8% to 10.4% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 2.9x and Debt / EBITDA is 3.4x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 1.1x from 3.9x to 2.9x in 2015. Debt jumped on 24.8% in 2015 while cash jumped on 52.2% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Auto Manufacturers


Below we provide Byd Co Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Auto Manufacturers industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
BAIC Motor Corp Ltd ($1958)83.7%263.2%341.0%49.2%
Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd ($175)17.5%16.6%-24.3%38.6%
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd ($2238)18.0%45.2%18.9%31.4%
Great Wall Motor Co Ltd ($2333)43.1%31.7%10.2%21.3%
Wuling Motors Holdings Ltd ($305)8.7%1.5%0.8%10.8%
 
Median (8 companies)-0.2%6.4%12.8%8.9%16.0%
Byd Co Ltd ($1211)-4.2%16.4%7.2%40.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Great Wall Motor Co Ltd ($2333)22.2%24.1%25.9%25.0%22.3%
Qingling Motors Co Ltd ($1122)12.4%12.3%15.2%15.1%18.7%
BAIC Motor Corp Ltd ($1958)1.4%-4.8%3.2%15.9%18.2%
Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd ($175)18.2%18.5%20.1%18.2%18.2%
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd ($2238)3.9%5.3%10.6%11.4%11.7%
 
Median (8 companies)12.8%11.7%12.0%14.0%14.9%
Byd Co Ltd ($1211)14.8%11.6%13.4%13.8%15.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Great Wall Motor Co Ltd ($2333)16.1%18.0%19.5%17.8%15.5%
Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd ($175)14.4%14.6%15.8%15.9%14.4%
Qingling Motors Co Ltd ($1122)8.8%10.3%12.8%11.4%12.2%
BAIC Motor Corp Ltd ($1958)-27.8%9.6%-13.2%5.4%9.7%
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd ($2238)-0.3%-5.9%-1.5%1.4%4.8%
 
Median (8 companies)6.4%5.6%3.8%4.8%7.3%
Byd Co Ltd ($1211)11.3%10.2%9.6%12.0%14.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd ($2238)20.4%22.7%10.1%15.7%14.7%
Brilliance China Automotive Holdings Ltd ($1114)4.8%8.9%10.1%13.4%12.5%
BAIC Motor Corp Ltd ($1958)172.9%132.8%45.0%16.1%11.0%
Great Wall Motor Co Ltd ($2333)12.9%10.7%13.0%12.0%8.0%
Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd ($175)6.8%4.5%3.9%5.0%5.3%
 
Median (8 companies)4.9%5.4%3.2%4.4%6.7%
Byd Co Ltd ($1211)16.2%13.0%11.2%4.2%5.7%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Great Wall Motor Co Ltd ($2333)22.9%27.7%32.2%25.5%22.5%
Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd ($175)15.7%16.2%19.6%13.4%15.0%
Wuling Motors Holdings Ltd ($305)6.2%7.2%7.7%10.0%11.8%
Dah Chong Hong Holdings Ltd ($1828)14.2%11.4%8.5%7.7%6.2%
BAIC Motor Corp Ltd ($1958)0.6%-6.2%1.1%6.0%
 
Median (8 companies)6.2%3.5%4.6%4.5%6.1%
Byd Co Ltd ($1211)6.1%2.7%2.5%3.9%8.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Dah Chong Hong Holdings Ltd ($1828)1.5x1.5x2.8x3.8x3.3x
BAIC Motor Corp Ltd ($1958)26.0x2.6x0.8x
Great Wall Motor Co Ltd ($2333)-0.5x-0.2x-0.1x0.1x0.3x
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd ($2238)13.2x0.3x
Wuling Motors Holdings Ltd ($305)2.8x2.0x1.9x0.8x-0.6x
 
Median (7 companies)1.2x1.8x0.9x0.8x0.3x
Byd Co Ltd ($1211)2.8x3.4x6.7x3.9x2.9x