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AVIC Joy Holdings HK Ltd EBITDA dropped on 164% in 2015 and Revenue dropped on 23.7%

28/03/2016 • About AVIC Joy Holdings HK Ltd ($260) • By InTwits

AVIC Joy Holdings HK Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • AVIC Joy Holdings HK Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -1.8%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -1.6% in 2015, 1.9% in 2014, 4.9% in 2013, 4.7% in 2012, 9.1% in 2011
  • AVIC Joy Holdings HK Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.7%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 17.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 22.8 in 2015, 59.1 in 2014, 75.9 in 2013, 87.9 in 2012, 47.8 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -1.8%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is -4.2x while industry average is -37.4x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

AVIC Joy Holdings HK Ltd ($260) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue1,0251,1781,2831,6201,236-23.7%
Gross Profit209229268227202-10.9%
SG&A1732222742712855.3%
EBITDA93556331-20-164.1%
Net Income8-26-25-80-295269.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash183354382649447-31.1%
Short Term Debt1361431,07833256771.0%
Long Term Debt02212469231,78192.9%
Cash flow
Capex4888765923-61.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth26.7%14.9%8.9%26.3%-23.7%
EBITDA growth540.4%-40.3%13.5%-50.8%-164.1%
Gross Margin20.4%19.5%20.9%14.0%16.3%2.3%
EBITDA Margin9.1%4.7%4.9%1.9%-1.6%-3.5%
Net Income Margin0.8%-2.2%-2.0%-4.9%-23.9%-18.9%
SG&A, % of revenue16.8%18.8%21.4%16.7%23.0%6.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.7%7.5%5.9%3.6%1.8%-1.8%
ROIC4.2%0.3%0.4%-0.9%-1.8%-0.9%
ROE1.3%-3.2%-2.5%-7.3%-24.6%-17.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.5x0.2x15.0x19.6x-19.6x

Revenue and profitability


AVIC Joy Holdings HK Ltd's Revenue dropped on 23.7% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 3.5 pp from 1.9% to -1.6% in 2015.

Gross Margin increased on 2.3 pp from 14.0% to 16.3% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 6.3 pp from 16.7% to 23.0% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 18.9 pp from -4.9% to -23.9% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 AVIC Joy Holdings HK Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.8%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 5.6 pp from 7.5% in 2012 to 1.8% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.8%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-1.80%) and ROE (-24.64%). ROIC decreased slightly on 0.91 pp from -0.89% to -1.8% in 2015. ROE dropped on 17.4 pp from -7.3% to -24.6% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -4.2x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 19.6x from 19.6x to in 2015. Debt jumped on 87.1% in 2015 while cash dropped on 31.1% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Investment Companies


Below you can find AVIC Joy Holdings HK Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Investment Companies industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
DT Capital Ltd ($356)-49.8%1,065.5%132.7%
Capital VC Ltd ($2324)489.2%861.9%
Oriental Explorer Holdings Ltd ($430)-62.7%414.5%
China Merchants China Direct Investments Ltd ($133)59.1%255.9%
Eternity Investment Ltd ($764)1.2%-14.8%-61.8%243.8%
 
Median (24 companies)1.2%-10.9%3.2%3.4%130.2%
AVIC Joy Holdings HK Ltd ($260)14.9%8.9%26.3%-23.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Eternity Investment Ltd ($764)100.0%86.6%
City e-Solutions Ltd ($557)69.0%81.1%81.5%81.6%79.1%
China Properties Investment Holdings Ltd ($736)10.6%47.5%40.8%46.2%87.2%
Infinity Financial Group Holdings Ltd ($1152)24.3%19.0%17.5%22.4%15.8%
Harmonic Strait Financial Holdings Ltd ($33)16.9%40.8%8.4%11.8%
 
Median (6 companies)24.3%40.8%17.5%34.3%47.5%
AVIC Joy Holdings HK Ltd ($260)20.4%19.5%20.9%14.0%16.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Capital VC Ltd ($2324)-2,944.6%36.7%93.1%99.3%
Unity Investments Holdings Ltd ($913)89.0%90.8%95.7%
Oriental Explorer Holdings Ltd ($430)93.6%100.5%90.4%
China Merchants China Direct Investments Ltd ($133)68.6%82.2%89.3%
Langham Hospitality Investments and Langham Hospitality Investments Ltd ($1270)39.4%101.3%85.9%85.8%
 
Median (27 companies)4.6%7.9%-28.8%0.2%19.3%
AVIC Joy Holdings HK Ltd ($260)9.1%4.7%4.9%1.9%-1.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
CK Hutchison Holdings Ltd ($1)3.9%0.7%1.0%503.6%13.5%
Opes Asia Development Ltd ($810)11.3%76.1%
Cosmopolitan International Holdings Ltd ($120)0.0%0.4%1.8%55.2%
Great China Properties Holdings Ltd ($21)1.7%6.8%0.9%30.9%
China Properties Investment Holdings Ltd ($736)215.9%55.3%3.0%20.8%58.1%
 
Median (29 companies)2.3%0.9%0.6%0.2%0.3%
AVIC Joy Holdings HK Ltd ($260)4.7%7.5%5.9%3.6%1.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Unity Investments Holdings Ltd ($913)-69.6%-36.2%26.4%47.4%17.5%
China Merchants China Direct Investments Ltd ($133)-3.2%4.8%8.8%28.6%
Capital VC Ltd ($2324)-5.0%21.8%100.7%
Shanghai International Shanghai Growth Investment Ltd ($770)9.7%-15.9%-51.2%18.4%-37.7%
Oriental Explorer Holdings Ltd ($430)-8.5%9.3%3.2%14.4%
 
Median (37 companies)-5.0%-3.1%-2.4%-5.3%-0.2%
AVIC Joy Holdings HK Ltd ($260)4.2%0.3%0.4%-0.9%-1.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Langham Hospitality Investments and Langham Hospitality Investments Ltd ($1270)9.3x12.5x9.5x11.2x
CK Hutchison Holdings Ltd ($1)1.8x1.9x0.6x7.2x5.5x
China Financial International Investments Ltd ($721)-2.0x2.4x
Capital VC Ltd ($2324)2.2x-1.2x-0.2x
Unity Investments Holdings Ltd ($913)0.0x-0.0x-0.3x
 
Median (12 companies)-0.6x-1.2x0.0x-1.0x-2.8x