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AVIC International Holdings Ltd reports 39.3% CAPEX growth and 1.1% Revenue growth

28/03/2016 • About AVIC International Holdings Ltd ($161) • By InTwits

AVIC International Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is relatively stable: 9.6% in 2015 vs. 10.3% in 2014 vs. 8.8% in 2011
  • AVIC International Holdings Ltd has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 7.7%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 6.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 385 in 2015, 667 in 2014, 774 in 2013, 1,195 in 2012, 1,862 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 2.9%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 2.2x while industry average is 1.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

AVIC International Holdings Ltd ($161) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue27,81731,25337,26233,96034,3511.1%
Gross Profit3,2693,9095,0065,6195,7241.9%
SG&A2,6322,9344,1122,9193,30213.1%
EBITDA2,4352,6973,6393,4853,291-5.6%
Net Income6759711,0316421,21288.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash3,2504,0385,0764,83411,781143.7%
Short Term Debt9,56511,31813,2059,4298,772-7.0%
Long Term Debt5,0624,0456,83510,47710,221-2.4%
Cash flow
Capex2,4171,8662,1642,6113,63839.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth299.4%12.3%19.2%-8.9%1.1%
EBITDA growth117.7%10.8%34.9%-4.2%-5.6%
Gross Margin11.8%12.5%13.4%16.5%16.7%0.1%
EBITDA Margin8.8%8.6%9.8%10.3%9.6%-0.7%
Net Income Margin2.4%3.1%2.8%1.9%3.5%1.6%
SG&A, % of revenue9.5%9.4%11.0%8.6%9.6%1.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue8.7%6.0%5.8%7.7%10.6%2.9%
ROIC6.8%6.4%6.5%4.5%2.9%-1.6%
ROE15.7%13.7%15.2%10.0%15.5%5.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA4.7x4.2x4.1x4.3x2.2x-2.1x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased slightly on 1.1% in 2015. Revenue growth was financed by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 0.68 pp from 10.3% to 9.6% in 2015.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.0 pp from 8.6% to 9.6% in 2015.

Net Income marign increased slightly on 1.6 pp from 1.9% to 3.5% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 10.6% in 2015. The company's CAPEX/Revenue increased on 4.6 pp from 6.0% in 2012 to 10.6% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 8.0%.AVIC International Holdings Ltd maintained rich investment policy and has spent a lot to CAPEX (111% of EBITDA).

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (15.52%) while ROIC is low (2.87%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.6 pp from 4.5% to 2.9% in 2015. ROE increased on 5.6 pp from 10.0% to 15.5% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 2.2x and Debt / EBITDA is 5.8x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 2.1x from 4.3x to 2.2x in 2015. Debt decreased on 4.6% in 2015 while cash surged on 144% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Electronics


Below you can find AVIC International Holdings Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Electronics industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
GCL New Energy Holdings Ltd ($451)14.7%-6.8%10.9%53.9%
Tech Pro Technology Development Ltd ($3823)7.4%-44.9%-13.7%52.4%
Nanjing Sample Technology Co Ltd ($1708)36.1%8.0%15.4%34.8%
AAC Technologies Holdings Inc ($2018)54.8%28.9%9.7%32.2%
Ningbo Wanhao Holdings Co Ltd ($8249)5.7%412.4%-6.9%28.9%
 
Median (40 companies)7.0%-1.0%3.6%7.2%0.4%
AVIC International Holdings Ltd ($161)12.3%19.2%-8.9%1.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Advanced Card Systems Holdings Ltd ($8210)51.4%54.0%58.1%49.5%49.6%
AAC Technologies Holdings Inc ($2018)44.0%44.2%42.7%41.4%41.5%
TeleEye Holdings Ltd ($8051)51.6%44.0%42.1%38.5%37.0%
Wasion Group Holdings Ltd ($3393)30.3%32.8%35.1%34.2%30.2%
Datronix Holdings Ltd ($889)41.3%32.9%32.0%34.1%34.6%
 
Median (48 companies)13.6%14.1%13.8%13.9%16.8%
AVIC International Holdings Ltd ($161)11.8%12.5%13.4%16.5%16.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
AAC Technologies Holdings Inc ($2018)35.2%35.8%35.8%34.9%34.8%
GCL New Energy Holdings Ltd ($451)12.1%10.8%11.1%12.6%33.0%
Daiwa Associate Holdings ($1037)1.6%2.4%3.8%2.8%25.6%
Wasion Group Holdings Ltd ($3393)18.9%18.8%21.2%22.0%19.3%
Tongda Group Holdings Ltd ($698)15.3%17.1%16.8%18.4%18.9%
 
Median (40 companies)9.3%6.5%6.0%4.6%6.1%
AVIC International Holdings Ltd ($161)8.8%8.6%9.8%10.3%9.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
GCL New Energy Holdings Ltd ($451)11.1%5.5%5.1%5.4%401.2%
National Electronic Hldgs ($213)14.9%3.4%18.1%7.1%49.7%
Irico Group Electronics Co Ltd ($438)92.0%39.9%30.4%17.4%25.8%
Kingwell Group Ltd ($1195)26.2%8.6%5.4%5.3%21.4%
AAC Technologies Holdings Inc ($2018)25.9%18.7%8.7%19.6%18.4%
 
Median (40 companies)3.3%3.7%3.0%3.7%3.2%
AVIC International Holdings Ltd ($161)8.7%6.0%5.8%7.7%10.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
AAC Technologies Holdings Inc ($2018)22.3%29.1%30.0%26.0%27.8%
Cowell e Holdings Inc ($1415)12.5%27.1%24.4%25.8%
Tongda Group Holdings Ltd ($698)14.3%15.2%13.5%16.5%16.3%
Varitronix International Ltd ($710)11.7%8.7%17.5%11.4%11.6%
Trigiant Group Ltd ($1300)17.9%17.8%18.3%15.2%11.2%
 
Median (40 companies)5.4%4.3%3.5%3.0%2.4%
AVIC International Holdings Ltd ($161)6.8%6.4%6.5%4.5%2.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
National Electronic Hldgs ($213)43.0x16.3x30.2x84.8x19.9x
Sino-Tech International Holdings Ltd ($724)15.7x24.7x
Eyang Holdings Group Co Ltd ($117)4.2x3.3x3.7x17.9x
SAS Dragon Hldg Ltd ($1184)2.8x7.1x2.0x6.4x
Willas-Array Electronics Holdings Ltd ($854)2.8x2.2x2.6x5.7x5.4x
 
Median (36 companies)0.6x1.0x1.1x0.8x0.1x
AVIC International Holdings Ltd ($161)4.7x4.2x4.1x4.3x2.2x