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Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd Net Income dropped on 19.4% in 2015 and EBITDA Margin dropped on 16.3 pp from 69.2% to 52.8%

24/03/2016 • About Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd ($1115) • By InTwits

Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd is a growth stock: 2015 revenue growth was 7.7%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 18.2% at 2015 ROIC 11.0%
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: 52.8% in 2015 vs. 69.2% in 2014 vs. 72.2% in 2011
  • Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 7.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 23.2 in 2015, 18.2 in 2014, 8.7 in 2013, 44.6 in 2012, 33.3 in 2011
  • The company has business model with average profitability: ROIC is at 11.0%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd ($1115) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue633.2682.1786.9772.5832.37.7%
Gross Profit498.8555.0575.9484.0502.23.7%
SG&A163.4171.0206.2195.7183.2-6.4%
EBITDA457.4499.7576.4534.5439.9-17.7%
Net Income373.1410.7441.3343.5277.0-19.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash137.41,132.3985.4763.4628.1-17.7%
Short Term Debt0.00.0195.799.6200.0100.8%
Long Term Debt0.00.00.091.50.0-100.0%
Cash flow
Capex33.344.68.718.223.227.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth75.6%7.7%15.4%-1.8%7.7%
EBITDA growth204.8%9.2%15.4%-7.3%-17.7%
Gross Margin78.8%81.4%73.2%62.7%60.3%-2.3%
EBITDA Margin72.2%73.3%73.2%69.2%52.8%-16.3%
Net Income Margin58.9%60.2%56.1%44.5%33.3%-11.2%
SG&A, % of revenue25.8%25.1%26.2%25.3%22.0%-3.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue5.3%6.5%1.1%2.4%2.8%0.4%
ROIC41.0%23.3%20.3%14.9%11.0%-4.0%
ROE34.9%20.3%18.8%13.3%10.0%-3.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.3x-2.3x-1.4x-1.1x-1.0x0.1x

Revenue and profitability


Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd's Revenue increased on 7.7% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin jumped on 24.3 pp from -5.7% to 18.6% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 2.3 pp from 62.7% to 60.3% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 3.3 pp from 25.3% to 22.0% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 11.2 pp from 44.5% to 33.3% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 2.8%. Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd showed decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 3.8 pp from 6.5% in 2012 to 2.8% in 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.1%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (10.97%) and ROE (9.97%). ROIC decreased on 4.0 pp from 14.9% to 11.0% in 2015. ROE decreased on 3.3 pp from 13.3% to 10.0% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -1.0x Net Debt / EBITDA and 0.5x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA increased on 0.1x from -1.1x to -1.0x in 2015. Debt increased on 4.6% in 2015 while cash dropped on 17.7% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Beverages


Below we provide Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Beverages industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Tontine Wines Group Ltd ($389)-20.7%-73.3%62.7%2.6%
Silver base Group Holdings Ltd ($886)34.1%-86.9%25.4%-14.4%
Besunyen Holdings Co Ltd ($926)-43.5%2.6%15.7%17.5%
Vitasoy International Holdings Ltd ($345)11.6%9.0%10.9%12.4%
China Tianyi Holdings Ltd ($756)43.0%-19.2%8.3%-17.3%
 
Median (15 companies)15.9%-2.7%-13.0%3.1%-10.3%
Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd ($1115)7.7%15.4%-1.8%7.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Besunyen Holdings Co Ltd ($926)87.8%82.5%83.3%84.3%89.7%
Tenfu Cayman Holdings Co Ltd ($6868)61.6%64.1%61.2%62.2%61.4%
Vitasoy International Holdings Ltd ($345)48.1%47.4%47.5%48.4%49.7%
San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Ltd ($236)43.4%42.8%42.2%42.8%41.7%
JLF Investment Co Ltd ($472)54.4%50.9%48.7%42.4%
 
Median (15 companies)43.4%44.5%34.7%34.7%37.5%
Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd ($1115)78.8%81.4%73.2%62.7%60.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Tianyi Holdings Ltd ($756)17.7%28.4%26.1%29.7%23.0%
Tenfu Cayman Holdings Co Ltd ($6868)27.4%27.5%25.3%26.1%22.5%
Yantai North Andre Juice Co ($2218)16.1%14.1%11.9%15.5%15.7%
China Haisheng Juice Holdings Co Ltd ($359)15.2%5.8%6.6%14.9%
Vitasoy International Holdings Ltd ($345)16.1%14.9%15.2%14.5%14.4%
 
Median (15 companies)16.1%15.2%9.6%10.6%11.6%
Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd ($1115)72.2%73.3%73.2%69.2%52.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Culiangwang Beverages Holdings Ltd ($904)39.1%26.8%52.2%81.8%75.8%
China Tianyi Holdings Ltd ($756)7.5%5.8%6.2%33.6%6.1%
China Tontine Wines Group Ltd ($389)5.3%15.3%129.4%16.7%3.0%
China Haisheng Juice Holdings Co Ltd ($359)3.6%4.8%6.3%15.3%
Tenfu Cayman Holdings Co Ltd ($6868)11.2%18.3%8.8%12.0%9.2%
 
Median (15 companies)7.5%11.1%7.3%8.8%4.5%
Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd ($1115)5.3%6.5%1.1%2.4%2.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Vitasoy International Holdings Ltd ($345)23.8%20.8%20.6%21.7%23.5%
Tenfu Cayman Holdings Co Ltd ($6868)26.1%19.4%17.9%15.7%11.0%
Tsingtao Brewery Co Ltd ($168)16.4%13.4%12.0%12.2%
China Tianyi Holdings Ltd ($756)7.3%12.0%6.1%6.7%3.2%
Yantai North Andre Juice Co ($2218)8.4%6.5%3.2%4.2%4.1%
 
Median (15 companies)10.3%9.6%3.0%2.7%2.6%
Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd ($1115)41.0%23.3%20.3%14.9%11.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Sino Distillery Group Ltd ($39)4.6x17.7x
China Haisheng Juice Holdings Co Ltd ($359)3.0x11.9x16.2x8.9x
China Huiyuan Juice Group Ltd ($1886)8.6x5.4x4.3x7.9x
Yantai North Andre Juice Co ($2218)2.6x2.3x2.4x2.2x3.0x
San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Ltd ($236)2.0x1.0x3.8x
 
Median (10 companies)-1.1x-0.7x1.9x1.0x0.1x
Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd ($1115)-0.3x-2.3x-1.4x-1.1x-1.0x