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LVGEM China Real Estate Invest Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 13.8x from 2.9x to 16.7x in 2015 while Debt decreased on 2.7%

24/03/2016 • About LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95) • By InTwits

LVGEM China Real Estate Invest reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • LVGEM China Real Estate Invest doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is 1.8%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 32.2% in 2015, 43.0% in 2014, -6.0% in 2013, 0.3% in 2012, 2.3% in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 1.8%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue3752722126,6021,493-77.4%
Gross Profit5749323,054784-74.3%
SG&A664928038939.1%
EBITDA81-132,838481-83.1%
Net Income128-152,198515-76.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash2662914361,7671,8092.4%
Short Term Debt1872201272,2112,003-9.4%
Long Term Debt26094967,9017,834-0.8%
Cash flow
Capex01670111-83.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth-0.1%-27.5%-21.9%3,008.3%-77.4%
EBITDA growth-74.0%-89.0%-1,463.3%-22,536.0%-83.1%
Gross Margin15.1%18.0%14.9%46.3%52.5%6.2%
EBITDA Margin2.3%0.3%-6.0%43.0%32.2%-10.8%
Net Income Margin3.2%3.0%-6.9%33.3%34.5%1.2%
SG&A, % of revenue24.1%23.2%4.2%26.0%21.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.1%0.3%10.2%7.5%-2.7%
ROIC0.2%-0.2%-1.1%22.1%1.8%-20.3%
ROE1.4%0.9%-1.5%124.3%21.0%-103.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA21.5x24.4x2.9x16.7x13.8x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 77.4% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.9 pp from 7.5% to 9.4% in 2015.

Gross Margin increased on 6.2 pp from 46.3% to 52.5% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue jumped on 21.8 pp from 4.2% to 26.0% in 2015.

Net Income marign increased slightly on 1.2 pp from 33.3% to 34.5% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 7.5% in 2015. CAPEX/Revenue increased7.5 pp from in 2012 to 7.5% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 6.0%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (21.03%) while ROIC is low (1.79%). ROIC dropped on 20.3 pp from 22.1% to 1.8% in 2015. ROE dropped on 103 pp from 124% to 21.0% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 16.7x Net Debt / EBITDA and 20.5x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 13.8x from 2.9x to 16.7x in 2015. Debt decreased on 2.7% in 2015 while cash increased on 2.4% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below you can find LVGEM China Real Estate Invest benchmarking vs. other companies in Real Estate industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Common Splendor International Health Industry Group Ltd ($286)-0.9%-0.5%1.9%4,120.2%
Landsea Green Properties Co Ltd ($106)-35.1%-51.2%3,097.3%188.5%
Rivera Holdings Ltd ($281)197.1%-89.9%2,067.2%-92.7%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-94.0%-73.9%-49.8%1,922.5%
Rykadan Capital Ltd ($2288)-94.0%91.5%1,252.9%-84.8%
 
Median (177 companies)11.5%16.4%14.0%5.2%4.3%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)-27.5%-21.9%3,008.3%-77.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.9%96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)37.4%39.3%98.2%
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)71.1%79.0%95.2%97.9%99.9%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)91.5%94.4%96.6%96.7%97.6%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)29.8%22.8%92.9%95.2%62.7%
 
Median (159 companies)44.2%41.9%41.9%39.1%42.9%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)15.1%18.0%14.9%46.3%52.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)24.0%-125.5%-2,995.7%1,685.3%-525.1%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)33.2%-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%186.5%
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)340.9%356.2%91.6%195.5%397.4%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)73.6%105.3%133.1%143.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-5.9%-382.7%-1,024.0%126.8%
 
Median (176 companies)35.5%29.7%28.5%26.9%26.9%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)2.3%0.3%-6.0%43.0%32.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%0.0%18.0%27,965.5%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)25.6%56.2%4,202.4%1,304.7%189.7%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)5.9%24.1%1,091.1%190.4%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)6.5%2.9%323.1%351.2%340.6%
Liu Chong Hing Investment Ltd ($194)9.4%18.5%6.1%269.7%0.9%
 
Median (178 companies)5.9%5.6%6.2%4.7%3.9%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)0.1%0.3%10.2%7.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Rykadan Capital Ltd ($2288)17.2%-1.8%-2.6%48.4%-3.7%
Colour Life Services Group Co Ltd ($1778)44.2%47.9%29.3%14.5%
China Vast Industrial Urban Development Co Ltd ($6166)2.2%19.7%19.8%9.1%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)39.0%19.2%17.6%18.7%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)18.0%18.4%15.1%18.5%15.4%
 
Median (181 companies)4.6%4.2%4.1%4.1%2.9%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)0.2%-0.2%-1.1%22.1%1.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Properties Group Ltd ($1838)16.9x43.0x21.4x1,523.0x
SRE Group Ltd ($1207)10.6x14.1x24.7x1,184.6x
Cheuk Nang Holdings Ltd ($131)53.2x177.3x901.7x
Tian An China Investment Co Ltd ($28)2.4x13.2x15.1x486.6x
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)3.7x6.2x49.3x38.4x
 
Median (143 companies)2.1x2.2x2.7x3.0x3.2x
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)21.5x24.4x2.9x16.7x