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Jin Bao Bao Holdings Ltd reports 118% Net Income decline and 13.5% Revenue decline

24/03/2016 • About Jin Bao Bao Holdings Ltd ($1239) • By InTwits

Jin Bao Bao Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Jin Bao Bao Holdings Ltd has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 5.2%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 7.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 10.3 in 2015, 18.0 in 2014, 7.7 in 2013, 10.5 in 2012, 8.0 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 5.4%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 4.2x while industry average is 2.8x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Jin Bao Bao Holdings Ltd ($1239) key annual financial indicators

mln. 201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue212.8199.3234.7218.6189.0-13.5%
Gross Profit61.445.746.546.140.4-12.4%
SG&A20.222.224.924.6-1.1%
EBITDA45.033.932.730.324.4-19.5%
Net Income29.918.819.114.1-2.6-118.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash80.164.556.737.065.777.4%
Short Term Debt3.57.42.02.00.5-75.0%
Long Term Debt0.00.00.00.0167.5
Cash flow
Capex8.010.57.718.010.3-42.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth28.2%-6.4%17.8%-6.9%-13.5%
EBITDA growth-4.8%-24.6%-3.4%-7.6%-19.5%
Gross Margin28.8%23.0%19.8%21.1%21.4%0.3%
EBITDA Margin21.1%17.0%13.9%13.8%12.9%-1.0%
Net Income Margin14.1%9.5%8.1%6.5%-1.4%-7.8%
SG&A, % of revenue10.1%9.4%11.4%13.0%1.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue3.8%5.2%3.3%8.3%5.5%-2.8%
ROIC20.3%12.2%11.2%10.3%5.4%-4.8%
ROE16.6%9.1%9.0%6.9%-1.3%-8.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA-1.7x-1.7x-1.7x-1.2x4.2x5.4x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 13.5% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 0.96 pp from 13.8% to 12.9% in 2015.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.6 pp from 11.4% to 13.0% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 7.8 pp from 6.5% to -1.4% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Jin Bao Bao Holdings Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 5.5% in 2015. The company's CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from 2012 to 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 5.7%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (5.44%) and negative ROE (-1.30%). ROIC decreased on 4.8 pp from 10.3% to 5.4% in 2015. ROE decreased on 8.2 pp from 6.9% to -1.3% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 4.2x and Debt / EBITDA is 6.9x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 5.4x from -1.2x to 4.2x in 2015. Debt surged on 8,302% in 2015 while cash jumped on 77.4% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Packaging&Containers


Below you can find Jin Bao Bao Holdings Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Packaging&Containers industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China For You Group Co Ltd ($572)-46.9%-99.7%36,225.6%-52.5%
China Aluminum Cans Holdings Ltd ($6898)19.6%15.5%-5.0%189.1%
Zhengye International Holdings Co Ltd ($3363)10.5%6.8%16.4%18.6%
Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd ($794)10.7%-0.7%16.8%2.9%
Huajun Holdings Ltd ($377)11.2%3.3%3.4%10.4%
 
Median (18 companies)15.0%4.9%5.0%0.8%3.0%
Jin Bao Bao Holdings Ltd ($1239)-6.4%17.8%-6.9%-13.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Huaxi Holdings Co Ltd ($1689)13.1%19.0%28.2%40.9%37.5%
Sheen Tai Holdings Grp Co Ltd ($1335)36.5%36.4%37.8%39.6%
Jin Cai Holdings Co Ltd ($1250)39.6%36.6%39.1%37.7%
China For You Group Co Ltd ($572)18.7%12.4%34.6%31.9%
Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd ($3366)30.2%34.3%36.5%32.8%31.4%
 
Median (18 companies)18.5%19.0%20.7%23.4%20.3%
Jin Bao Bao Holdings Ltd ($1239)28.8%23.0%19.8%21.1%21.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Sheen Tai Holdings Grp Co Ltd ($1335)35.5%31.9%32.2%32.1%
Jin Cai Holdings Co Ltd ($1250)35.7%33.2%26.1%27.6%
Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd ($3366)25.5%27.9%30.7%27.4%26.3%
Huaxi Holdings Co Ltd ($1689)7.8%14.5%21.2%27.1%29.1%
Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co Ltd ($468)24.1%25.9%23.1%21.6%
 
Median (19 companies)10.8%11.9%15.5%12.2%7.5%
Jin Bao Bao Holdings Ltd ($1239)21.1%17.0%13.9%13.8%12.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Aluminum Cans Holdings Ltd ($6898)1.3%6.9%9.5%20.7%
Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Ltd ($2314)13.5%19.7%13.7%13.1%17.1%
Hao Tian Development Group Ltd ($474)88.2%81.6%13.0%25.4%
CPMC Holdings Ltd ($906)13.7%16.7%19.7%8.6%9.2%
Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co Ltd ($468)30.8%15.8%9.6%7.2%
 
Median (19 companies)5.6%6.9%5.0%4.1%4.3%
Jin Bao Bao Holdings Ltd ($1239)3.8%5.2%3.3%8.3%5.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Huaxi Holdings Co Ltd ($1689)21.4%28.5%26.2%23.6%
Sheen Tai Holdings Grp Co Ltd ($1335)32.5%26.8%26.2%24.7%
China Aluminum Cans Holdings Ltd ($6898)14.8%19.7%14.6%20.2%
Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co Ltd ($468)19.6%20.2%18.9%15.7%
Jin Cai Holdings Co Ltd ($1250)38.7%35.3%18.4%15.4%
 
Median (19 companies)10.0%7.7%6.4%5.4%3.0%
Jin Bao Bao Holdings Ltd ($1239)20.3%12.2%11.2%10.3%5.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Zhengye International Holdings Co Ltd ($3363)4.0x6.2x6.4x7.8x
Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd ($3366)0.7x9.4x6.7x7.4x4.4x
Sino Haijing Holdings Ltd ($1106)4.7x6.4x6.1x6.2x10.1x
Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd ($794)-1.1x3.6x4.1x3.8x3.4x
Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Ltd ($2314)2.5x4.1x3.5x3.4x3.0x
 
Median (18 companies)0.9x1.2x0.9x0.7x2.7x
Jin Bao Bao Holdings Ltd ($1239)-1.7x-1.7x-1.7x-1.2x4.2x