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China ZhengTong Auto Services Holdings Ltd EBITDA decreased on 8.6% in 2015 and Revenue decreased on 5.0%

24/03/2016 • About China ZhengTong Auto Services Holdings Ltd ($1728) • By InTwits

China ZhengTong Auto Services Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is relatively stable: 6.1% in 2015 vs. 6.4% in 2014 vs. 6.4% in 2011
  • China ZhengTong Auto Services Holdings Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.0%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 5.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 1,025 in 2015, 1,714 in 2014, 1,141 in 2013, 1,101 in 2012, 459 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 6.8%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 5.5x while industry average is -0.5x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China ZhengTong Auto Services Holdings Ltd ($1728) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue14,44427,64929,84030,91029,361-5.0%
Gross Profit1,3862,4522,5882,7262,587-5.1%
SG&A6501,4221,2791,5881,75910.8%
EBITDA9181,6681,8891,9671,798-8.6%
Net Income524604837804619-23.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,1091,2071,4871,4661,5999.1%
Short Term Debt7,0866,5486,1968,6949,0824.5%
Long Term Debt01,2052,3532,0322,34615.5%
Cash flow
Capex4591,1011,1411,7141,025-40.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth79.8%91.4%7.9%3.6%-5.0%
EBITDA growth103.2%81.7%13.3%4.1%-8.6%
Gross Margin9.6%8.9%8.7%8.8%8.8%-0.0%
EBITDA Margin6.4%6.0%6.3%6.4%6.1%-0.2%
Net Income Margin3.6%2.2%2.8%2.6%2.1%-0.5%
SG&A, % of revenue4.5%5.1%4.3%5.1%6.0%0.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue3.2%4.0%3.8%5.5%3.5%-2.1%
ROIC8.0%8.5%9.5%8.5%6.8%-1.7%
ROE10.3%9.4%11.8%10.2%7.4%-2.8%
Net Debt/EBITDA6.5x3.9x3.7x4.7x5.5x0.8x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 5.0% in 2015. EBITDA Margin showed almost no change in 2015.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.85 pp from 5.1% to 6.0% in 2015.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


China ZhengTong Auto Services Holdings Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 3.5% in 2015. CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from 2012 to 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.3%.Battling declining revenue China ZhengTong Auto Services Holdings Ltd invested a large share of EBITDA (57.0%) to CAPEX but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (6.77%) and ROE (7.38%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.7 pp from 8.5% to 6.8% in 2015. ROE decreased on 2.8 pp from 10.2% to 7.4% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 5.5x Net Debt / EBITDA and 6.4x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.8x from 4.7x to 5.5x in 2015. Debt increased on 6.5% in 2015 while cash increased on 9.1% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Retail


Below you can find China ZhengTong Auto Services Holdings Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Retail industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Household Holdings Ltd ($692)-87.0%-32.8%5,357.9%76.2%
Ming Fung Jewellery Group Ltd ($860)3.3%-14.9%54.3%-70.8%
Merry Garden Holdings Ltd ($1237)53.9%37.1%12.8%47.6%
Luk Fook Holdings International Ltd ($590)47.2%12.6%43.3%-17.1%
NewOcean Energy Holdings Ltd ($342)23.1%15.9%36.0%-21.0%
 
Median (112 companies)29.9%10.4%6.0%3.1%-0.8%
China ZhengTong Auto Services Holdings Ltd ($1728)91.4%7.9%3.6%-5.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Culture Landmark Investment Ltd ($674)77.5%91.1%99.4%99.5%
Modern Beauty Salon Holdings Ltd ($919)97.3%97.4%95.9%96.8%96.7%
Vongroup Ltd ($318)95.1%99.1%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)80.6%86.5%89.3%90.9%
Embry Holdings Ltd ($1388)82.3%81.2%80.4%82.3%81.6%
 
Median (101 companies)40.0%37.7%38.0%35.6%42.3%
China ZhengTong Auto Services Holdings Ltd ($1728)9.6%8.9%8.7%8.8%8.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Maoye International Holdings Ltd ($848)45.5%47.4%46.3%73.2%39.6%
China Dongxiang Group Co Ltd ($3818)5.6%6.0%5.6%58.3%41.4%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)47.8%51.6%56.9%54.4%
Lifestyle International Holdings Ltd ($1212)49.6%47.5%47.0%44.7%43.4%
Golden Eagle Retail Group Ltd ($3308)52.1%48.5%47.3%42.8%
 
Median (111 companies)13.2%9.9%7.3%8.8%6.8%
China ZhengTong Auto Services Holdings Ltd ($1728)6.4%6.0%6.3%6.4%6.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Intime Retail Group Co Ltd ($1833)58.4%28.3%55.4%37.0%17.6%
Future Bright Holdings Ltd ($703)6.2%2.6%3.7%36.8%24.9%
Sage International Group Ltd ($8082)20.4%236.6%28.2%35.4%9.3%
Maoye International Holdings Ltd ($848)30.9%32.8%24.1%31.5%17.7%
Tsui Wah Holdings Ltd ($1314)5.2%8.3%9.3%30.5%10.6%
 
Median (112 companies)3.9%4.0%3.6%3.4%3.0%
China ZhengTong Auto Services Holdings Ltd ($1728)3.2%4.0%3.8%5.5%3.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Modern Beauty Salon Holdings Ltd ($919)48.1%50.7%-4.6%81.3%71.8%
Starbucks Corp ($4337)36.4%36.4%-6.0%52.8%51.4%
Sa Sa International Holdings Ltd ($178)45.7%53.5%52.7%49.0%39.8%
Coach Inc ($6388)82.0%82.3%68.7%45.0%20.8%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)57.4%67.3%68.1%32.2%
 
Median (112 companies)17.2%12.3%8.2%8.4%5.7%
China ZhengTong Auto Services Holdings Ltd ($1728)8.0%8.5%9.5%8.5%6.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Sparkle Roll Group Ltd ($970)-0.8x0.6x4.0x9.3x23.5x
China Yongda Automobiles Services Holdings Ltd ($3669)3.3x3.4x4.7x5.5x3.4x
Zhongsheng Group Holdings Ltd ($881)2.2x4.6x4.5x5.3x
NewOcean Energy Holdings Ltd ($342)35.2x6.2x6.1x5.3x2.6x
Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Ltd ($162)6.5x2.0x2.5x4.8x7.3x
 
Median (87 companies)-0.8x-0.5x-0.8x-0.2x-0.5x
China ZhengTong Auto Services Holdings Ltd ($1728)6.5x3.9x3.7x4.7x5.5x