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China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd Net Income dropped on 58.9% in 2015 and EBITDA Margin showed almost no change

24/03/2016 • About China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd ($1088) • By InTwits

China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 19.4%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 14.3%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 3,357 in 2015, 2,760 in 2014, 2,902 in 2013, 5,334 in 2012, 9,510 in 2011
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is at 7.7%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd ($1088) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue204,863254,575283,797253,081171,236-32.3%
Gross Profit81,71179,89881,36674,97260,809-18.9%
SG&A13,5239,16010,1189,62917,50781.8%
EBITDA84,48290,60289,71586,43658,112-32.8%
Net Income44,99149,70845,07939,30116,144-58.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash65,16051,63738,33235,96243,23920.2%
Short Term Debt16,55328,10348,48528,43520,283-28.7%
Long Term Debt45,44339,62442,04269,55288,78527.7%
Cash flow
Capex45,34154,62951,66545,15129,876-33.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth29.9%24.3%11.5%-10.8%-32.3%
EBITDA growth18.6%7.2%-1.0%-3.7%-32.8%
Gross Margin39.9%31.4%28.7%29.6%35.5%5.9%
EBITDA Margin41.2%35.6%31.6%34.2%33.9%-0.2%
Net Income Margin22.0%19.5%15.9%15.5%9.4%-6.1%
SG&A, % of revenue6.6%3.6%3.6%3.8%10.2%6.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue22.1%21.5%18.2%17.8%17.4%-0.4%
ROIC21.0%19.5%17.4%14.6%7.7%-6.9%
ROE20.9%20.3%16.7%13.6%5.4%-8.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.0x0.2x0.6x0.7x1.1x0.4x

Revenue and profitability


China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd's Revenue dropped on 32.3% in 2015. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.3 pp from 50.7% to 53.0% in 2015.

Gross Margin increased on 5.9 pp from 29.6% to 35.5% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 6.4 pp from 3.8% to 10.2% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 6.1 pp from 15.5% to 9.4% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 17.4%. China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 4.0 pp from 21.5% in 2012 to 17.4% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 17.8%.Battling declining revenue the company invested a large share of EBITDA (51.4%) to CAPEX but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (7.72%) and ROE (5.44%). ROIC decreased on 6.9 pp from 14.6% to 7.7% in 2015. ROE decreased on 8.2 pp from 13.6% to 5.4% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 1.1x Net Debt / EBITDA and 1.9x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.4x from 0.7x to 1.1x in 2015. Debt jumped on 11.3% in 2015 while cash jumped on 20.2% in 2015.

Management team


China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd's CEO is Zhang Yuzhuo. Zhang Yuzhuo has 4 years tenure at the company. Zhang Kehui is a The company's CFO. Zhang Kehui has spent 11 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Coal


Below we provide China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Coal industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Kinetic Mines and Energy Ltd ($1277)299.9%563.4%40.0%
Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd ($1738)172.1%34.9%25.8%103.6%
Loudong General Nice Resources China Holdings Ltd ($988)8.5%-12.7%39.1%87.6%
Rosan Resources Holdings Ltd ($578)-19.9%-74.1%71.1%49.1%
Asia Coal Ltd ($835)32.1%-15.3%43.2%133.6%
 
Median (22 companies)17.4%-6.5%-8.6%-9.8%14.8%
China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd ($1088)24.3%11.5%-10.8%-32.3%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Asia Coal Ltd ($835)32.4%56.7%62.6%76.7%5.8%
Shougang Fushan Resources Group Ltd ($639)70.4%63.5%50.9%40.1%24.5%
Agritrade Resources Ltd ($1131)7.6%22.9%29.4%31.8%30.0%
Kinetic Mines and Energy Ltd ($1277)20.6%28.8%30.3%10.9%
Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd ($3948)44.7%35.2%33.7%27.4%
 
Median (22 companies)30.0%19.9%17.3%9.4%6.4%
China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd ($1088)39.9%31.4%28.7%29.6%35.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Agritrade Resources Ltd ($1131)1.4%41.6%37.3%33.4%31.1%
Kinetic Mines and Energy Ltd ($1277)-277.0%-51.9%29.3%15.8%
Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd ($3948)40.9%33.1%30.7%22.8%
Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd ($1738)-9.2%-13.1%-32.9%19.0%
Yanzhou Coal Mining Co Ltd ($1171)32.3%14.9%11.5%12.2%
 
Median (23 companies)11.1%-1.1%-4.3%-8.6%-18.8%
China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd ($1088)41.2%35.6%31.6%34.2%33.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Up Energy Development Group Ltd ($307)279.5%75.2%
Siberian Mining Group Co Ltd ($1142)129.1%4.6%78.8%217.3%279.7%
King Stone Energy Group Ltd ($663)82.7%58.5%135.3%205.7%
Asia Coal Ltd ($835)121.4%12.5%25.8%111.0%0.3%
Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ($1393)74.1%82.3%144.6%92.3%
 
Median (23 companies)21.9%13.7%26.0%20.5%12.3%
China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd ($1088)22.1%21.5%18.2%17.8%17.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Loudong General Nice Resources China Holdings Ltd ($988)11.5%4.1%8.2%9.6%
Kinetic Mines and Energy Ltd ($1277)-2.6%-6.6%-5.7%8.5%3.2%
Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd ($3948)37.6%28.5%15.2%8.5%
Agritrade Resources Ltd ($1131)-2.3%2.7%5.8%6.4%6.9%
Yanzhou Coal Mining Co Ltd ($1171)16.8%5.3%2.0%3.7%
 
Median (23 companies)0.6%-2.6%-2.1%-5.2%-2.4%
China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd ($1088)21.0%19.5%17.4%14.6%7.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd ($1738)24.3x
China Coal Energy Co Ltd ($1898)0.5x1.9x4.9x9.7x14.4x
Loudong General Nice Resources China Holdings Ltd ($988)2.0x5.8x4.4x6.0x
Yanzhou Coal Mining Co Ltd ($1171)1.1x2.9x6.2x4.9x
Kinetic Mines and Energy Ltd ($1277)4.5x5.9x
 
Median (8 companies)1.6x2.9x4.7x4.7x3.6x
China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd ($1088)-0.0x0.2x0.6x0.7x1.1x