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China Conch Venture Holdings Ltd reports 60.2% CAPEX decline while 17.7% Revenue growth

24/03/2016 • About China Conch Venture Holdings Ltd ($586) • By InTwits

China Conch Venture Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China Conch Venture Holdings Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 12.4%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 8.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 155 in 2015, 390 in 2014, 90.6 in 2013, 173 in 2012, 197 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 3.6%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is -2.4x while industry average is -20.5x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Conch Venture Holdings Ltd ($586) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue1,5821,2501,5911,7482,05717.7%
Gross Profit52140249357478236.3%
SG&A666910711916942.0%
EBITDA41334641353968527.0%
Net Income2,2281,2991,8372,2391,944-13.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash3172763,6982,0582,33213.3%
Short Term Debt328527580809228-71.8%
Long Term Debt0301,104130480269.2%
Cash flow
Capex19717391390155-60.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth-12.7%-21.0%27.3%9.8%17.7%
EBITDA growth-26.6%-16.2%19.4%30.5%27.0%
Gross Margin33.0%32.2%31.0%32.8%38.0%5.2%
EBITDA Margin26.1%27.7%26.0%30.8%33.3%2.4%
Net Income Margin140.8%103.9%115.4%128.1%94.5%-33.6%
SG&A, % of revenue4.2%5.6%6.7%6.8%8.2%1.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue12.5%13.8%5.7%22.3%7.6%-14.8%
ROIC4.9%3.3%2.9%3.1%3.6%0.5%
ROE30.4%15.1%16.8%16.2%12.5%-3.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.0x0.8x-4.9x-2.1x-2.4x-0.3x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue surged on 17.7% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.8 pp from 21.6% to 23.4% in 2015.

Gross Margin increased on 5.2 pp from 32.8% to 38.0% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.4 pp from 6.8% to 8.2% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 33.6 pp from 128% to 94.5% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


China Conch Venture Holdings Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 7.6% in 2015. CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 6.3 pp from 13.8% in 2012 to 7.6% in 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 11.9%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (12.50%) while ROIC is low (3.63%). ROIC increased slightly on 0.54 pp from 3.1% to 3.6% in 2015. ROE decreased on 3.7 pp from 16.2% to 12.5% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -2.4x and Debt / EBITDA is 1.0x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.3x from -2.1x to -2.4x in 2015. Debt dropped on 24.6% in 2015 while cash jumped on 13.3% in 2015.

Management team


Ji Qinying is a the company's CEO. Ji Qinying has spent 11 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Commercial Services


Below you can find China Conch Venture Holdings Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Commercial Services industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Global Energy Resources International Group Ltd ($8192)-61.9%-27.8%2,912.9%19.7%
Dingyi Group Investment Ltd ($508)8.8%-95.9%1,361.2%-32.6%
Zuoli Kechuang Micro-Finance Co Ltd ($6866)34.6%86.9%37.2%
China Smartpay Group Holdings Ltd ($8325)60.0%274.7%75.6%124.5%
Goldpac Group Ltd ($3315)52.3%64.4%36.8%10.8%
 
Median (62 companies)34.2%9.0%4.7%9.4%6.1%
China Conch Venture Holdings Ltd ($586)-21.0%27.3%9.8%17.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
HC International Inc ($2280)84.7%87.5%91.9%92.5%
Fu Shou Yuan International Group Ltd ($1448)81.6%80.5%80.4%80.0%77.6%
U Banquet Group Holding Ltd ($8107)76.5%74.5%
China Communication Telecom Services Co Ltd ($8206)-56.6%61.6%58.6%69.1%70.2%
Dingyi Group Investment Ltd ($508)76.5%75.8%64.5%86.0%
 
Median (57 companies)32.9%31.0%29.2%30.9%30.9%
China Conch Venture Holdings Ltd ($586)33.0%32.2%31.0%32.8%38.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Shenzhen International Holdings Ltd ($152)69.3%60.2%65.8%97.1%73.6%
Shenzhen Expressway Co Ltd ($548)80.4%74.3%79.4%76.6%53.0%
Zuoli Kechuang Micro-Finance Co Ltd ($6866)61.6%84.9%75.9%80.9%
Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd ($1052)74.3%78.3%74.5%74.0%71.6%
Anhui Expressway Co Ltd ($995)62.7%56.9%54.1%60.4%
 
Median (62 companies)16.0%16.0%13.4%11.0%8.5%
China Conch Venture Holdings Ltd ($586)26.1%27.7%26.0%30.8%33.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Kai Yuan Holdings Ltd ($1215)16.8%3.9%7.0%59.8%
COSCO Pacific Ltd ($1199)111.3%96.6%66.6%43.3%
Finet Group Ltd ($8317)3.9%10.3%9.1%26.0%8.4%
HC International Inc ($2280)15.1%8.5%28.7%24.7%
Dragon Crown Group Holdings Ltd ($935)2.5%37.2%52.0%23.0%13.0%
 
Median (61 companies)3.7%3.1%4.0%3.6%4.3%
China Conch Venture Holdings Ltd ($586)12.5%13.8%5.7%22.3%7.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Mega Expo Holdings Ltd ($1360)270.5%481.1%54.4%10.1%
China Packaging Holdings Development Ltd ($1439)50.0%52.0%46.6%34.1%
Wonderful Sky Financial Group Holdings Ltd ($1260)136.8%51.5%26.6%30.0%29.5%
U Banquet Group Holding Ltd ($8107)98.5%23.9%28.0%-3.7%
PPS International Holdings Ltd ($8201)101.6%35.6%23.8%-13.7%
 
Median (62 companies)5.2%6.2%5.7%5.5%3.5%
China Conch Venture Holdings Ltd ($586)4.9%3.3%2.9%3.1%3.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Dalian Port PDA Co Ltd ($2880)5.7x5.7x4.8x4.7x4.1x
Sichuan Expressway Co Ltd ($107)1.8x2.7x3.8x4.3x
Anxian Yuan China Holdings Ltd ($922)4.6x3.8x0.8x
Eagle Legend Asia Ltd ($936)4.3x4.0x4.0x3.3x6.2x
Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd ($1052)2.9x4.5x3.1x2.7x5.3x
 
Median (41 companies)-0.1x-0.1x-0.7x-0.4x-0.5x
China Conch Venture Holdings Ltd ($586)0.0x0.8x-4.9x-2.1x-2.4x