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VST Holdings Ltd Debt surged on 58.0% in 2015 and Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.3x from 2.4x to 2.7x

23/03/2016 • About VST Holdings Ltd ($856) • By InTwits

VST Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • VST Holdings Ltd is a growth stock: 2015 revenue growth was 8.8%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 11.7% at 2015 ROIC 10.2%
  • EBITDA Margin is relatively stable: 1.9% in 2015 vs. 2.1% in 2014 vs. 2.1% in 2011
  • VST Holdings Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.1%.
  • The company has business model with average profitability: ROIC is at 10.2%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 2.7x while industry average is 1.2x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

VST Holdings Ltd ($856) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue32,61737,09840,23941,89345,5768.8%
Gross Profit1,5131,4071,5171,6731,6971.5%
SG&A8178668441,01720.5%
EBITDA6956216838618862.9%
Net Income463444503607450-25.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,5739361,1691,4953,234116.3%
Short Term Debt1,1741,5202,0023,5574,63530.3%
Long Term Debt6977476960986262,081.6%
Cash flow
Capex3114152477226.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth24.4%13.7%8.5%4.1%8.8%
EBITDA growth44.3%-10.6%9.9%26.0%2.9%
Gross Margin4.6%3.8%3.8%4.0%3.7%-0.3%
EBITDA Margin2.1%1.7%1.7%2.1%1.9%-0.1%
Net Income Margin1.4%1.2%1.2%1.4%1.0%-0.5%
SG&A, % of revenue2.2%2.2%2.0%2.2%0.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.2%0.1%
ROIC15.1%11.8%11.2%12.1%10.2%-1.9%
ROE19.6%15.9%15.7%16.5%11.6%-5.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.4x2.1x2.2x2.4x2.7x0.3x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased on 8.8% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 3.7 pp from 26.4% to 30.2% in 2015.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2015.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.17% in 2015. The company showed almost no change in CAPEX/Revenue from 2012 to 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 0.088%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (10.16%) and ROE (11.59%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.9 pp from 12.1% to 10.2% in 2015. ROE decreased on 5.0 pp from 16.5% to 11.6% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 2.7x Net Debt / EBITDA and 6.3x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.3x from 2.4x to 2.7x in 2015. Debt jumped on 58.0% in 2015 while cash surged on 116% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Distribution/Wholesale


Below we provide VST Holdings Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Distribution/Wholesale industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Forefront Group Ltd ($885)504.6%3,871.0%72.0%
China LNG Group Ltd ($931)-84.5%694.8%13.6%1,341.3%
Sheng Yuan Holdings Ltd ($851)-86.1%756.9%567.2%-2.1%
China Infrastructure Investment Ltd ($600)346.9%412.1%-50.9%557.9%
China-Hongkong Photo Products Holdings Ltd ($1123)24.9%9.0%81.2%12.2%
 
Median (37 companies)13.5%2.6%0.0%0.8%-2.0%
VST Holdings Ltd ($856)13.7%8.5%4.1%8.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Goldin Financial Holdings Ltd ($530)67.0%75.3%71.7%74.8%73.8%
Forefront Group Ltd ($885)69.8%39.1%
YGM Trading Ltd ($375)67.1%66.5%67.4%64.0%62.5%
Goldlion Holdings Ltd ($533)57.3%56.4%54.1%55.7%60.0%
Sincere Watch Hong Kong Ltd ($444)34.2%35.6%39.7%38.8%38.3%
 
Median (33 companies)16.4%17.5%18.2%19.3%22.5%
VST Holdings Ltd ($856)4.6%3.8%3.8%4.0%3.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Goldin Financial Holdings Ltd ($530)-134.6%163.7%613.4%285.7%364.1%
China LNG Group Ltd ($931)195.2%95.1%76.4%97.9%
Forefront Group Ltd ($885)-2,113.8%-803.1%57.7%4.9%
China Infrastructure Investment Ltd ($600)-1,171.2%-274.9%120.0%52.0%
GA Holdings Ltd ($8126)-4.5%8.0%19.7%22.9%
 
Median (37 companies)2.9%2.6%2.5%4.6%2.8%
VST Holdings Ltd ($856)2.1%1.7%1.7%2.1%1.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
C Y Foundation Group Ltd ($1182)9.8%2.5%5.2%82.2%9.3%
Inspur International Ltd ($596)0.9%8.4%12.2%33.6%
SIS International Holdings ($529)0.2%13.4%31.8%14.8%49.8%
HKC International Holdings Ltd ($248)0.9%5.5%0.8%11.4%0.5%
Tan Chong International Ltd ($693)7.6%6.0%7.6%7.0%
 
Median (36 companies)1.5%1.4%1.8%1.7%1.2%
VST Holdings Ltd ($856)0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China LNG Group Ltd ($931)2.2%8.4%7.4%87.0%
Yestar International Holdings Co Ltd ($2393)29.4%28.8%24.1%26.2%25.4%
Powerwell Pacific Holdings Ltd ($8265)27.8%6.4%6.4%23.6%27.1%
Forefront Group Ltd ($885)-37.7%-4.9%-11.0%19.5%1.3%
Sincere Watch Hong Kong Ltd ($444)46.4%51.7%27.7%14.6%5.5%
 
Median (38 companies)2.2%2.1%0.9%3.1%1.9%
VST Holdings Ltd ($856)15.1%11.8%11.2%12.1%10.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Sheng Yuan Holdings Ltd ($851)19.3x15.4x
Takson Holdings Ltd ($918)11.5x11.7x15.7x
Huiyin Household Appliances Holdings Co Ltd ($1280)10.1x10.9x
Pacific Andes International Holdings Ltd ($1174)4.9x5.1x9.1x7.8x
SIS International Holdings ($529)-62.1x-1.8x7.0x7.2x16.8x
 
Median (26 companies)-0.4x-0.3x-0.8x-0.1x0.1x
VST Holdings Ltd ($856)0.4x2.1x2.2x2.4x2.7x