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Qinhuangdao Port Co Ltd reports 56.8% CAPEX decline and 4.6% Revenue decline

23/03/2016 • About Qinhuangdao Port Co Ltd ($3369) • By InTwits

Qinhuangdao Port Co Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Qinhuangdao Port Co Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 41.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 19.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 418 in FY2015, 262 in FY2014, 113 in FY2013, 162 in FY2012, 175 in FY2011
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is at 7.0%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.2x while industry average is 2.7x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Qinhuangdao Port Co Ltd ($3369) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue5,7346,2507,0287,1876,855-4.6%
Gross Profit2,4802,6962,9823,1102,776-10.8%
SG&A6077418218731,07322.8%
EBITDA2,5962,8753,1373,3442,818-15.8%
Net Income1,0841,3851,7641,9801,344-32.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash5,5063,4935,9453,0952,483-19.8%
Short Term Debt4,1942,5653,3952,0232,1295.2%
Long Term Debt6,5237,3557,3688,9879,4565.2%
Cash flow
Capex2,7053,6222,5183,3301,437-56.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth12.2%9.0%12.4%2.3%-4.6%
EBITDA growth15.1%10.7%9.1%6.6%-15.8%
Gross Margin43.2%43.1%42.4%43.3%40.5%-2.8%
EBITDA Margin45.3%46.0%44.6%46.5%41.1%-5.4%
Net Income Margin18.9%22.2%25.1%27.6%19.6%-7.9%
SG&A, % of revenue10.6%11.9%11.7%12.1%15.6%3.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue47.2%57.9%35.8%46.3%21.0%-25.4%
ROIC9.3%9.8%9.6%9.3%7.0%-2.3%
ROE14.0%15.8%16.7%16.4%11.2%-5.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.0x2.2x1.5x2.4x3.2x0.9x

Revenue and profitability


Qinhuangdao Port Co Ltd's Revenue decreased on 4.6% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 0.96 pp from 21.9% to 22.8% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 2.8 pp from 43.3% to 40.5% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 3.5 pp from 12.1% to 15.6% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 7.9 pp from 27.6% to 19.6% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 21.0%. The company showed big decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 37.0 pp from 57.9% in 2012 to 21.0% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 34.4%.The company invested a big chunk of EBITDA (51.0%) to CAPEX which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (7.01%) and ROE (11.18%). ROIC decreased on 2.3 pp from 9.3% to 7.0% in 2015. ROE decreased on 5.2 pp from 16.4% to 11.2% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 3.2x Net Debt / EBITDA and 4.1x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.9x from 2.4x to 3.2x in 2015. Debt increased on 5.2% in 2015 while cash dropped on 19.8% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Transportation


Below you can find Qinhuangdao Port Co Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Transportation industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Frontier Services Group Ltd ($500)-90.5%-10.8%-49.9%1,021.1%
China Best Group Holding Ltd ($370)333.1%202.4%-53.6%459.4%
Guangdong Yueyun Transportation Co Ltd-H ($3399)-4.2%-5.9%60.4%-12.0%
Tianjin Port Development Holdings Ltd ($3382)9.8%8.7%24.9%51.9%
CIG Yangtze Ports PLC ($8233)17.9%30.6%23.5%0.1%
 
Median (29 companies)9.4%3.4%3.5%5.5%-6.2%
Qinhuangdao Port Co Ltd ($3369)9.0%12.4%2.3%-4.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
CIG Yangtze Ports PLC ($8233)51.0%51.3%44.8%46.6%48.7%
Frontier Services Group Ltd ($500)80.7%83.8%65.9%44.8%
Chu Kong Shipping Enterprise Group Co Ltd ($560)21.5%23.1%25.1%24.1%
Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings Ltd ($306)17.6%18.9%20.4%22.7%26.8%
ASR Logistics Holdings Ltd ($1803)30.7%27.4%26.6%18.0%
 
Median (26 companies)17.6%12.7%10.6%10.2%11.6%
Qinhuangdao Port Co Ltd ($3369)43.2%43.1%42.4%43.3%40.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
MTR Corp Ltd ($66)49.1%42.7%37.6%45.2%41.6%
CIG Yangtze Ports PLC ($8233)29.9%30.2%27.6%38.5%39.5%
Great Harvest Maeta Group Holdings Ltd ($3683)61.3%56.3%18.7%32.6%-8.5%
China Shipping Development Co Ltd ($1138)24.7%12.5%3.0%24.7%
Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings Ltd ($306)15.4%13.3%16.1%20.7%26.1%
 
Median (30 companies)15.4%9.4%7.1%7.5%7.8%
Qinhuangdao Port Co Ltd ($3369)45.3%46.0%44.6%46.5%41.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Noble Century Investment Holdings Ltd ($2322)0.0%296.6%1.4%
Frontier Services Group Ltd ($500)5.4%6.3%3.6%63.3%
China Shipping Development Co Ltd ($1138)68.9%55.8%34.0%54.9%
Courage Marine Group Ltd ($1145)78.9%235.0%37.7%50.4%9.2%
Great Harvest Maeta Group Holdings Ltd ($3683)150.5%4.0%6.1%40.7%164.7%
 
Median (30 companies)10.9%7.8%8.7%7.1%9.8%
Qinhuangdao Port Co Ltd ($3369)47.2%57.9%35.8%46.3%21.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics Co Ltd ($1292)34.2%21.1%20.9%19.1%
ASR Logistics Holdings Ltd ($1803)79.6%54.7%38.9%13.4%
CIG Yangtze Ports PLC ($8233)4.3%4.9%5.7%11.0%11.1%
Kerry Logistics Network Ltd ($636)11.3%12.0%13.4%10.5%10.9%
Guangdong Yueyun Transportation Co Ltd-H ($3399)8.9%5.6%7.2%9.6%10.6%
 
Median (30 companies)5.0%3.2%2.8%3.1%3.6%
Qinhuangdao Port Co Ltd ($3369)9.3%9.8%9.6%9.3%7.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Jinhui Holdings Co Ltd ($137)2.8x5.0x4.2x17.5x19.6x
China Shipping Development Co Ltd ($1138)7.2x20.2x92.8x12.8x
Tianjin Binhai Teda Logistics Group Corp Ltd ($8348)-0.5x9.7x9.3x9.5x-1.8x
China COSCO Holdings Co Ltd ($1919)18.8x9.0x
AMS Public Transport Holdings Ltd ($77)0.7x1.2x11.6x7.7x4.5x
 
Median (22 companies)0.2x1.1x1.7x0.8x1.3x
Qinhuangdao Port Co Ltd ($3369)2.0x2.2x1.5x2.4x3.2x