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Macau Legend Development Ltd Net Income dropped on 156% in 2015 and EBITDA Margin dropped on 30.7 pp from 41.8% to 11.1%

23/03/2016 • About Macau Legend Development Ltd ($1680) • By InTwits

Macau Legend Development Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Macau Legend Development Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -1.4%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 11.1% in 2015, 41.8% in 2014, 39.8% in 2013, 48.6% in 2012, 56.6% in 2011
  • Macau Legend Development Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 34.4%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 20.3%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 983 in 2015, 1,321 in 2014, 427 in 2013, 75.6 in 2012, 17.5 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -1.4%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 7.1x while industry average is -22.0x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Macau Legend Development Ltd ($1680) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue1,3461,5011,7641,8111,436-20.7%
Gross Profit927836987929421-54.7%
SG&A22426248450561121.0%
EBITDA761729702757159-78.9%
Net Income648535510479-269-156.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash721121,0074,0472,918-27.9%
Short Term Debt27233435644965245.4%
Long Term Debt1,4561,4051,0493,7783,395-10.1%
Cash flow
Capex17764271,321983-25.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth22.9%11.5%17.5%2.7%-20.7%
EBITDA growth31.9%-4.2%-3.8%8.0%-78.9%
Gross Margin68.9%55.7%55.9%51.3%29.3%-22.0%
EBITDA Margin56.6%48.6%39.8%41.8%11.1%-30.7%
Net Income Margin48.2%35.7%28.9%26.4%-18.7%-45.1%
SG&A, % of revenue16.6%17.5%27.4%27.9%42.6%14.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.3%5.0%24.2%73.0%68.5%-4.5%
ROIC60.7%11.5%7.3%5.4%-1.4%-6.8%
ROE16.2%9.3%7.3%-3.7%-11.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.2x2.2x0.6x0.2x7.1x6.8x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 20.7% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 5.8 pp from 8.6% to 14.4% in 2015.

Gross Margin dropped on 22.0 pp from 51.3% to 29.3% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue surged on 14.7 pp from 27.9% to 42.6% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 45.1 pp from 26.4% to -18.7% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 68.5% in 2015. Macau Legend Development Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue jumped on 63.4 pp from 5.0% in 2012 to 68.5% in 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 55.2%.Battling declining revenue Macau Legend Development Ltd made large investments to CAPEX (617% of EBITDA) but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-1.38%) and ROE (-3.69%). ROIC decreased on 6.8 pp from 5.4% to -1.4% in 2015. ROE dropped on 11.0 pp from 7.3% to -3.7% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 7.1x Net Debt / EBITDA and 25.4x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 6.8x from 0.2x to 7.1x in 2015. Debt decreased on 4.2% in 2015 while cash dropped on 27.9% in 2015.

Management team


Macau Legend Development Ltd's CEO is Chow Kam Fai "David". Chow Kam Fai "David" has 11 years tenure at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Lodging


Below you can find Macau Legend Development Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Lodging industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Zhuhai Holdings Investment Group Ltd ($908)13.4%229.8%14.5%57.0%
Carrianna Group Holdings Co Ltd ($126)69.3%-36.2%35.4%-33.8%
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)24.6%23.7%17.2%24.6%
Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd ($296)35.9%13.8%11.7%-10.2%
Far East Consortium International Ltd/HK ($35)6.4%111.9%9.0%25.7%
 
Median (23 companies)21.4%14.4%10.2%0.7%-6.8%
Macau Legend Development Ltd ($1680)11.5%17.5%2.7%-20.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
SJM Holdings Ltd ($880)99.7%99.7%99.7%99.7%99.5%
Wynn Macau Ltd ($1128)97.6%97.9%98.3%98.5%
Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd ($296)70.9%77.1%75.6%76.8%70.9%
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)52.5%60.7%73.4%72.1%67.6%
Sino Hotels Holdings Ltd ($1221)69.7%71.3%70.4%68.9%65.8%
 
Median (17 companies)52.5%57.2%46.3%52.0%53.9%
Macau Legend Development Ltd ($1680)68.9%55.7%55.9%51.3%29.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)69.1%-23.9%65.2%49.9%40.4%
Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd ($296)38.7%44.9%46.4%46.9%43.1%
Sino Hotels Holdings Ltd ($1221)42.8%46.5%45.9%43.1%39.6%
Far East Consortium International Ltd/HK ($35)50.1%57.2%34.5%43.0%36.4%
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)49.2%49.8%50.1%42.8%45.3%
 
Median (23 companies)24.2%26.7%26.4%25.8%30.3%
Macau Legend Development Ltd ($1680)56.6%48.6%39.8%41.8%11.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd ($78)4.9%7.4%7.2%60.4%12.0%
Jinmao Investments and Jinmao China Investments Holdings Ltd ($6139)2.4%8.1%28.7%55.4%22.6%
Shangri-La Asia Ltd ($69)26.5%48.5%33.1%41.2%
Wynn Macau Ltd ($1128)3.2%5.2%11.0%28.2%
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)20.3%25.9%17.2%24.0%27.8%
 
Median (23 companies)6.5%7.4%8.9%10.8%13.7%
Macau Legend Development Ltd ($1680)1.3%5.0%24.2%73.0%68.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
MGM China Holdings Ltd ($2282)47.3%46.2%53.8%54.5%24.0%
Wynn Macau Ltd ($1128)66.1%53.9%42.3%29.9%
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ($27)14.7%25.2%30.0%27.5%10.2%
Sands China Ltd ($1928)14.5%14.2%24.4%26.7%15.8%
SJM Holdings Ltd ($880)26.2%29.7%31.0%24.8%8.6%
 
Median (23 companies)5.2%5.7%5.6%3.6%4.2%
Macau Legend Development Ltd ($1680)60.7%11.5%7.3%5.4%-1.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China New City Commercial Development Ltd ($1321)18.7x26.0x7.9x100.1x
Century City International Holdings Ltd ($355)-58.1x6.5x9.3x11.2x12.3x
Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd ($78)5.0x8.7x11.8x11.1x
Jinmao Investments and Jinmao China Investments Holdings Ltd ($6139)7.8x4.5x4.1x10.4x6.3x
Carrianna Group Holdings Co Ltd ($126)7.7x3.9x6.6x2.6x6.2x
 
Median (17 companies)0.6x0.5x0.8x1.0x3.4x
Macau Legend Development Ltd ($1680)2.2x2.2x0.6x0.2x7.1x