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GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Ltd CAPEX jumped on 83.9% in 2015 and Revenue increased slightly on 1.1%

23/03/2016 • About GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Ltd ($3800) • By InTwits

GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 35.8% in 2015, 31.3% in 2014, 20.1% in 2013, 13.3% in 2012, 35.6% in 2011
  • GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 31.7%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 45.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 9,311 in 2015, 5,063 in 2014, 2,758 in 2013, 3,611 in 2012, 12,444 in 2011
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is at 7.2%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 5.0x while industry average is 4.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Ltd ($3800) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue21,17718,17920,23621,52321,7661.1%
Gross Profit7,0301,4232,4094,9755,77616.1%
SG&A1,4581,6231,4491,5051,66010.3%
EBITDA7,5332,4264,0656,7327,79415.8%
Net Income3,549-2,860-5271,5492,42556.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash5,5833,6164,8154,36210,260135.2%
Short Term Debt10,35717,90524,64125,59228,82312.6%
Long Term Debt16,87113,46711,28714,82620,31037.0%
Cash flow
Capex12,4443,6112,7585,0639,31183.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth31.6%-14.2%11.3%6.4%1.1%
EBITDA growth13.4%-67.8%67.6%65.6%15.8%
Gross Margin33.2%7.8%11.9%23.1%26.5%3.4%
EBITDA Margin35.6%13.3%20.1%31.3%35.8%4.5%
Net Income Margin16.8%-15.7%-2.6%7.2%11.1%3.9%
SG&A, % of revenue6.9%8.9%7.2%7.0%7.6%0.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue58.8%19.9%13.6%23.5%42.8%19.3%
ROIC15.8%0.3%2.8%6.9%7.2%0.3%
ROE23.3%-19.1%-4.1%11.4%16.0%4.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.9x11.4x7.7x5.4x5.0x-0.4x

Revenue and profitability


GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Ltd's Revenue increased slightly on 1.1% in 2015. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased on 3.0 pp from 7.9% to 10.9% in 2015.

Gross Margin increased on 3.4 pp from 23.1% to 26.5% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.63 pp from 7.0% to 7.6% in 2015.

Net Income marign increased on 3.9 pp from 7.2% to 11.1% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 42.8% in 2015. The company showed fast CAPEX/Revenue growth of 22.9 pp from 19.9% in 2012 to 42.8% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 26.6%.The company maintained rich investment policy and has spent a lot to CAPEX (119% of EBITDA).

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (15.97%) while ROIC is low (7.18%). ROIC showed almost no change in 2015. ROE increased on 4.6 pp from 11.4% to 16.0% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 5.0x Net Debt / EBITDA and 6.3x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.4x from 5.4x to 5.0x in 2015. Debt surged on 21.6% in 2015 while cash jumped on 135% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Energy-Alternate Sources


Below we provide GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Energy-Alternate Sources industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
United Photovoltaics Group Ltd ($686)221.6%-74.0%-83.5%1,168.8%
HaiTian Hydropower International Ltd ($8261)26.6%8.5%114.0%220.2%
Canvest Environment Protection Group Co Ltd ($1381)150.6%0.8%103.5%49.2%
Concord New Energy Group Ltd ($182)-22.4%14.7%71.2%88.5%
Beijing Jingneng Clean Energy Co Ltd ($579)11.2%2.5%50.7%39.6%
 
Median (10 companies)26.3%12.7%20.1%36.5%42.9%
GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Ltd ($3800)-14.2%11.3%6.4%1.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
United Photovoltaics Group Ltd ($686)17.9%-29.8%99.3%90.7%
HaiTian Hydropower International Ltd ($8261)70.0%74.2%74.3%79.3%64.6%
Canvest Environment Protection Group Co Ltd ($1381)61.5%53.4%51.9%43.1%37.1%
Xinyi Solar Holdings Ltd ($968)35.9%17.2%30.1%31.6%36.0%
China Suntien Green Energy Corp Ltd ($956)28.8%33.5%31.3%25.2%
 
Median (7 companies)35.9%22.9%37.1%31.6%36.0%
GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Ltd ($3800)33.2%7.8%11.9%23.1%26.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
United Photovoltaics Group Ltd ($686)13.0%-42.6%-230.5%92.9%
HaiTian Hydropower International Ltd ($8261)86.2%61.9%75.9%80.2%69.0%
China Renewable Energy Investment Ltd ($987)28.1%54.1%66.1%64.3%74.3%
China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ($916)48.8%56.3%54.4%63.5%64.5%
Canvest Environment Protection Group Co Ltd ($1381)71.0%59.3%56.6%50.3%41.8%
 
Median (10 companies)40.6%47.5%43.9%46.1%53.2%
GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Ltd ($3800)35.6%13.3%20.1%31.3%35.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Renewable Energy Investment Ltd ($987)44.5%23.4%118.5%126.1%32.4%
China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ($916)83.1%79.5%54.9%100.2%77.7%
Xinyi Solar Holdings Ltd ($968)71.2%22.7%12.2%98.8%75.4%
Beijing Jingneng Clean Energy Co Ltd ($579)90.6%98.0%110.8%65.4%
Concord New Energy Group Ltd ($182)199.2%64.2%19.0%52.7%
 
Median (10 companies)75.1%46.5%22.3%44.3%50.9%
GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Ltd ($3800)58.8%19.9%13.6%23.5%42.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Xinyi Solar Holdings Ltd ($968)33.6%13.8%21.6%16.9%18.7%
Canvest Environment Protection Group Co Ltd ($1381)27.0%18.1%12.4%10.0%
HaiTian Hydropower International Ltd ($8261)9.5%6.4%7.5%7.5%11.9%
China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ($916)7.0%6.9%6.3%6.3%6.2%
Beijing Jingneng Clean Energy Co Ltd ($579)7.0%5.8%6.8%6.3%
 
Median (10 companies)7.0%6.1%6.5%6.0%8.1%
GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Ltd ($3800)15.8%0.3%2.8%6.9%7.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
HaiTian Hydropower International Ltd ($8261)4.5x1.4x2.6x10.5x2.4x
United Photovoltaics Group Ltd ($686)5.1x7.8x
Beijing Jingneng Clean Energy Co Ltd ($579)5.0x6.7x6.3x6.7x
China Renewable Energy Investment Ltd ($987)17.1x8.9x6.2x6.4x3.8x
China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ($916)5.9x5.5x5.3x5.8x5.7x
 
Median (9 companies)4.7x4.1x3.4x5.8x2.4x
GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Ltd ($3800)2.9x11.4x7.7x5.4x5.0x