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Blue Sky Power Holdings Ltd reports 262% CAPEX growth and 6.3% Revenue growth

23/03/2016 • About Blue Sky Power Holdings Ltd ($6828) • By InTwits

Blue Sky Power Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Blue Sky Power Holdings Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -6.1%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -27.5%
  • Blue Sky Power Holdings Ltd spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2011-2015 is 0.0%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was -8.7%0
  • Blue Sky Power Holdings Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 20.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 9.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 101 in 2015, 27.9 in 2014, 13.9 in 2013, 40.8 in 2012, 29.7 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -6.1%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is -2.0x while industry average is -20.6x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Blue Sky Power Holdings Ltd ($6828) key annual financial indicators

mln. 201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue257.9191.9154.5200.4213.16.3%
Gross Profit56.229.519.524.82.7-89.0%
SG&A36.435.470.3111.157.9%
EBITDA28.10.7-7.3-51.4-58.613.9%
Net Income1.1-14.7-58.6-70.817.2-124.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash46.317.530.318.6102.7452.0%
Short Term Debt65.335.523.624.1100.2316.5%
Long Term Debt0.00.00.024.7319.01,192.2%
Cash flow
Capex29.740.813.927.9101.0262.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth27.9%-25.6%-19.5%29.7%6.3%
EBITDA growth-31.4%-97.7%-1,208.9%609.1%13.9%
Gross Margin21.8%15.4%12.6%12.4%1.3%-11.1%
EBITDA Margin10.9%0.3%-4.7%-25.7%-27.5%-1.8%
Net Income Margin0.4%-7.7%-37.9%-35.3%8.1%43.4%
SG&A, % of revenue19.0%22.9%35.1%52.1%17.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue11.5%21.3%9.0%13.9%47.4%33.5%
ROIC5.9%-4.3%-8.0%-10.5%-6.1%4.3%
ROE0.6%-6.9%-28.5%-13.5%1.4%15.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.7x27.4x0.0x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased on 6.3% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.6 pp from -9.1% to -7.5% in FY2015.

Gross Margin dropped on 11.1 pp from 12.4% to 1.3% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue surged on 17.0 pp from 35.1% to 52.1% in 2015.

Net Income marign jumped on 43.4 pp from -35.3% to 8.1% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 47.4%. Blue Sky Power Holdings Ltd showed fast CAPEX/Revenue growth of 26.1 pp from 21.3% in 2012 to 47.4% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 23.4%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-6.13%) and low but positive ROE (1.44%). ROIC increased on 4.3 pp from -10.5% to -6.1% in 2015. ROE surged on 15.0 pp from -13.5% to 1.4% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -2.0x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in 2015. Debt surged on 760% in 2015 while cash surged on 452% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Commercial Services


Below you can find Blue Sky Power Holdings Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Commercial Services industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Global Energy Resources International Group Ltd ($8192)-61.9%-27.8%2,912.9%19.7%
Dingyi Group Investment Ltd ($508)8.8%-95.9%1,361.2%-32.6%
Zuoli Kechuang Micro-Finance Co Ltd ($6866)34.6%86.9%37.2%
China Smartpay Group Holdings Ltd ($8325)60.0%274.7%75.6%124.5%
Goldpac Group Ltd ($3315)52.3%64.4%36.8%10.8%
 
Median (61 companies)23.2%8.9%4.8%8.9%6.7%
Blue Sky Power Holdings Ltd ($6828)-25.6%-19.5%29.7%6.3%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
HC International Inc ($2280)84.7%87.5%91.9%92.5%
Fu Shou Yuan International Group Ltd ($1448)81.6%80.5%80.4%80.0%77.6%
China Communication Telecom Services Co Ltd ($8206)-56.6%61.6%58.6%69.1%70.2%
Dingyi Group Investment Ltd ($508)76.5%75.8%64.5%86.0%
Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd ($1052)67.1%66.2%66.8%62.8%65.2%
 
Median (56 companies)33.0%31.5%30.5%30.9%30.1%
Blue Sky Power Holdings Ltd ($6828)21.8%15.4%12.6%12.4%1.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Shenzhen International Holdings Ltd ($152)69.3%60.2%65.8%97.1%73.6%
Shenzhen Expressway Co Ltd ($548)80.4%74.3%79.4%76.6%53.0%
Zuoli Kechuang Micro-Finance Co Ltd ($6866)61.6%84.9%75.9%80.9%
Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd ($1052)74.3%78.3%74.5%74.0%71.6%
Anhui Expressway Co Ltd ($995)62.7%56.9%54.1%60.4%
 
Median (61 companies)17.1%17.6%14.9%11.2%8.1%
Blue Sky Power Holdings Ltd ($6828)10.9%0.3%-4.7%-25.7%-27.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Kai Yuan Holdings Ltd ($1215)16.8%3.9%7.0%59.8%
COSCO Pacific Ltd ($1199)111.3%96.6%66.6%43.3%
Finet Group Ltd ($8317)3.9%10.3%9.1%26.0%8.4%
HC International Inc ($2280)15.1%8.5%28.7%24.7%
Dragon Crown Group Holdings Ltd ($935)2.5%37.2%52.0%23.0%
 
Median (60 companies)3.8%3.1%4.0%3.4%2.7%
Blue Sky Power Holdings Ltd ($6828)11.5%21.3%9.0%13.9%47.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Mega Expo Holdings Ltd ($1360)270.5%481.1%54.4%10.1%
China Packaging Holdings Development Ltd ($1439)50.0%52.0%46.6%34.1%
Wonderful Sky Financial Group Holdings Ltd ($1260)136.8%51.5%26.6%30.0%29.5%
PPS International Holdings Ltd ($8201)101.6%35.6%23.8%-13.7%
1010 Printing Group Ltd ($1127)14.4%13.5%20.8%17.8%19.9%
 
Median (61 companies)5.0%6.0%5.5%5.2%3.7%
Blue Sky Power Holdings Ltd ($6828)5.9%-4.3%-8.0%-10.5%-6.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Dalian Port PDA Co Ltd ($2880)5.7x5.7x4.8x4.7x
Sichuan Expressway Co Ltd ($107)1.8x2.7x3.8x4.3x
Anxian Yuan China Holdings Ltd ($922)4.6x3.8x0.8x
Eagle Legend Asia Ltd ($936)4.3x4.0x4.0x3.3x6.2x
Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd ($1052)2.9x4.5x3.1x2.7x5.3x
 
Median (41 companies)-0.1x-0.0x-0.7x-0.5x-0.6x