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Allied Group Ltd Net Income surged on 80.2% in 2015 and Revenue showed almost no change

23/03/2016 • About Allied Group Ltd ($373) • By InTwits

Allied Group Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Allied Group Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.7%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 50.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 95.3 in 2015, 196 in 2014, 130 in 2013, 92 in 2012, 98.5 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 2.4%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 1.4x while industry average is 0.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Allied Group Ltd ($373) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue4,1124,1625,0384,6934,7010.2%
Gross Profit3,8843,9564,7554,3934,333-1.4%
SG&A1,4321,5421,7361,5071,6086.7%
EBITDA1,7422,2412,4312,3121,247-46.0%
Net Income1,2581,3951,3331,6562,98380.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash2,4535,9845,7536,3878,42732.0%
Short Term Debt3,0984,7353,2844,5952,653-42.3%
Long Term Debt3,9614,5256,3956,7137,54712.4%
Cash flow
Capex999213019695-51.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth15.3%1.2%21.1%-6.9%0.2%
EBITDA growth-18.5%28.7%8.5%-4.9%-46.0%
Gross Margin94.5%95.1%94.4%93.6%92.2%-1.4%
EBITDA Margin42.4%53.8%48.3%49.3%26.5%-22.7%
Net Income Margin30.6%33.5%26.5%35.3%63.5%28.2%
SG&A, % of revenue34.8%37.1%34.4%32.1%34.2%2.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.4%2.2%2.6%4.2%2.0%-2.2%
ROIC5.1%5.8%5.8%5.1%2.4%-2.6%
ROE10.2%10.2%8.8%10.0%16.3%6.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.6x1.5x1.6x2.1x1.4x-0.7x

Revenue and profitability


Allied Group Ltd's Revenue showed almost no change in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 5.6 pp from 19.1% to 13.6% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 1.4 pp from 93.6% to 92.2% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 2.1 pp from 32.1% to 34.2% in 2015.

Net Income marign jumped on 28.2 pp from 35.3% to 63.5% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 2.0% in 2015. CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from 2012 to 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.9%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (16.34%) while ROIC is low (2.45%). ROIC decreased on 2.6 pp from 5.1% to 2.4% in 2015. ROE increased on 6.3 pp from 10.0% to 16.3% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 1.4x Net Debt / EBITDA and 8.2x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.7x from 2.1x to 1.4x in 2015. Debt decreased on 9.8% in 2015 while cash surged on 32.0% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Diversified Finan Serv


Below we provide Allied Group Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Diversified Finan Serv industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China New Energy Power Group Ltd ($1041)100.0%0.0%64,246.0%
ReOrient Group Ltd ($376)112.8%75.1%1,106.9%-90.8%
Global Strategic Group Ltd ($8007)-3.9%2.1%806.3%681.2%
AID Partners Capital Holdings Ltd ($8088)0.9%-79.5%655.2%162.0%
Willie International Holdings Ltd ($273)543.9%-89.6%
 
Median (64 companies)-3.7%3.6%14.7%27.6%27.2%
Allied Group Ltd ($373)1.2%21.1%-6.9%0.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Roma Group Ltd ($8072)99.4%98.7%
Freeman Financial Corp Ltd ($279)97.1%52.3%99.3%98.5%
Chinese Strategic Holdings Ltd ($8089)97.9%99.1%97.9%97.0%96.6%
First China Financial Network Holdings Ltd ($8123)98.6%93.4%94.5%97.4%
China Fortune Financial Group Ltd ($290)86.7%91.4%93.7%91.6%89.0%
 
Median (12 companies)75.0%57.7%72.7%81.8%91.7%
Allied Group Ltd ($373)94.5%95.1%94.4%93.6%92.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Styland Holdings Ltd ($211)68.6%198.6%91.5%161.0%17.9%
Roma Group Ltd ($8072)81.4%18.1%36.8%143.0%44.7%
First China Financial Network Holdings Ltd ($8123)-231.6%-329.2%-211.2%124.3%-25.5%
Willie International Holdings Ltd ($273)75.3%95.2%-3.7%
China Aircraft Leasing Group Holdings Ltd ($1848)89.3%91.3%86.4%92.9%107.0%
 
Median (65 companies)29.5%16.4%36.2%47.2%32.4%
Allied Group Ltd ($373)42.4%53.8%48.3%49.3%26.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd ($174)14.9%479.1%37.3%216.0%10.0%
China Assurance Finance Group Ltd ($8090)94.7%68.9%53.3%
China Aircraft Leasing Group Holdings Ltd ($1848)0.4%351.0%0.1%33.3%64.6%
Chinese Strategic Holdings Ltd ($8089)93.2%376.0%5.7%32.6%5.8%
AID Partners Capital Holdings Ltd ($8088)196.3%4.1%2.9%28.4%26.6%
 
Median (65 companies)2.2%1.9%1.7%1.1%1.5%
Allied Group Ltd ($373)2.4%2.2%2.6%4.2%2.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
ReOrient Group Ltd ($376)-24.9%-45.6%-53.5%128.6%-2.8%
Roma Group Ltd ($8072)19.6%43.7%107.8%13.3%
Convoy Financial Holdings Ltd ($1019)31.1%3.4%39.3%47.3%
Willie International Holdings Ltd ($273)-28.1%-9.5%4.7%30.9%-0.2%
Value Partners Group Ltd ($806)8.7%16.8%16.5%26.8%9.6%
 
Median (67 companies)4.6%3.4%4.0%4.8%3.6%
Allied Group Ltd ($373)5.1%5.8%5.8%5.1%2.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
South China Financial Holdings Ltd ($619)56.9x
Bright Smart Securities & Commodities Group Ltd ($1428)7.3x2.1x10.3x9.3x39.3x
Quam Ltd ($952)4.9x58.9x15.9x4.1x14.8x
China Aircraft Leasing Group Holdings Ltd ($1848)13.9x14.7x19.0x17.5x14.6x
Crown International Corp Ltd ($727)9.9x
 
Median (39 companies)-1.1x-1.3x-0.0x-0.1x-0.8x
Allied Group Ltd ($373)2.6x1.5x1.6x2.1x1.4x