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Regal Real Estate Investment Trust Net Income dropped on 741% in 2015 and EBITDA Margin dropped on 175 pp from 56.7% to -118%

22/03/2016 • About Regal Real Estate Investment Trust ($1881) • By InTwits

Regal Real Estate Investment Trust reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Regal Real Estate Investment Trust doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -5.2%
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: -118.2% in 2015 vs. 56.7% in 2014 vs. 437.8% in 2011
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -118.2% in 2015, 56.7% in 2014, 73.8% in 2013, 447.8% in 2012, 437.8% in 2011
  • Regal Real Estate Investment Trust has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 74.3%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 26.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 101 in 2015, 3,315 in 2014, 179 in 2013, 70.0 in 2012, 85.7 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -5.2%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Regal Real Estate Investment Trust ($1881) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue7438459041,0291,002-2.7%
EBITDA3,2553,783668584-1,184-302.7%
Net Income2,9973,549343238-1,528-740.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash2425485937-37.0%
Short Term Debt4,5635155637011.1%
Long Term Debt2094,7766,6858,0978,1160.2%
Cash flow
Capex86701793,315101-96.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth-18.3%13.6%7.0%13.8%-2.7%
EBITDA growth16.2%-82.4%-12.5%-302.7%
EBITDA Margin437.8%447.8%73.8%56.7%-118.2%-175.0%
Net Income Margin403.2%420.1%37.9%23.2%-152.5%-175.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue11.5%8.3%19.8%322.0%10.1%-311.9%
ROIC19.9%19.4%3.0%2.4%-5.2%-7.6%
ROE26.6%24.8%2.2%1.5%-10.6%-12.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.5x1.3x10.2x13.9x-13.9x

Revenue and profitability


Regal Real Estate Investment Trust's Revenue decreased on 2.7% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 175 pp from 56.7% to -118% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 176 pp from 23.2% to -153% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Regal Real Estate Investment Trust's CAPEX/Revenue was 10.1% in 2015. Regal Real Estate Investment Trust's CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 1.8 pp from 8.3% in 2012 to 10.1% in 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 117%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-5.16%) and ROE (-10.58%). ROIC decreased on 7.6 pp from 2.4% to -5.2% in 2015. ROE dropped on 12.1 pp from 1.5% to -10.6% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -4.8x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 13.9x from 13.9x to in 2015. Debt showed almost no change in 2015 while cash dropped on 37.0% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in REITS


Below you can find Regal Real Estate Investment Trust benchmarking vs. other companies in REITS industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Fortune Real Estate Investment Trust ($778)22.1%28.6%15.6%13.7%
Sunlight Real Estate Investment Trust ($435)9.2%8.3%9.3%9.5%
Yuexiu Real Estate Investment Trust ($405)36.4%92.5%14.6%8.8%
Prosperity REIT ($808)10.8%10.8%18.0%8.8%
Link REIT/The ($823)10.8%9.7%10.0%7.9%
 
Median (7 companies)12.5%10.8%10.3%12.3%8.8%
Regal Real Estate Investment Trust ($1881)13.6%7.0%13.8%-2.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Link REIT/The ($823)304.6%179.0%340.1%257.8%362.0%
Sunlight Real Estate Investment Trust ($435)343.7%202.4%293.6%203.4%275.0%
Yuexiu Real Estate Investment Trust ($405)59.2%56.0%50.4%50.7%46.9%
 
Median (3 companies)304.6%117.5%50.4%142.9%275.0%
Regal Real Estate Investment Trust ($1881)437.8%447.8%73.8%56.7%-118.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Link REIT/The ($823)13.5%43.9%13.4%14.0%107.2%
Fortune Real Estate Investment Trust ($778)4.8%180.5%400.4%9.4%99.9%
Sunlight Real Estate Investment Trust ($435)1.2%1.4%0.7%5.1%3.1%
Prosperity REIT ($808)4.6%4.3%4.5%6.4%3.0%
Yuexiu Real Estate Investment Trust ($405)2.3%1.8%0.6%1.4%2.9%
 
Median (7 companies)1.8%1.6%3.5%5.4%3.0%
Regal Real Estate Investment Trust ($1881)11.5%8.3%19.8%322.0%10.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Link REIT/The ($823)27.2%14.8%25.5%17.7%22.3%
Sunlight Real Estate Investment Trust ($435)15.7%9.2%13.3%9.2%12.6%
Fortune Real Estate Investment Trust ($778)24.2%13.6%16.0%14.0%8.6%
Champion REIT ($2778)11.5%8.9%4.0%4.0%6.2%
Spring Real Estate Investment Trust ($1426)3.6%3.4%3.7%3.8%3.9%
 
Median (7 companies)7.9%6.5%3.7%4.0%6.2%
Regal Real Estate Investment Trust ($1881)19.9%19.4%3.0%2.4%-5.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Yuexiu Real Estate Investment Trust ($405)4.7x19.0x10.4x8.9x12.8x
New Century Real Estate Investment Trust ($1275)5.4x4.3x6.5x6.1x
Sunlight Real Estate Investment Trust ($435)2.2x3.3x2.1x2.7x1.9x
Link REIT/The ($823)0.6x1.2x0.5x0.6x0.6x
 
Median (4 companies)2.2x3.8x4.3x4.4x1.9x
Regal Real Estate Investment Trust ($1881)1.5x1.3x10.2x13.9x