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Modern Land China Co Ltd revenue surged on 55.7% in 2015 while EBITDA Margin decreased on 7.0 pp from 30.7% to 23.7%

22/03/2016 • About Modern Land China Co Ltd ($1107) • By InTwits

Modern Land China Co Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Modern Land China Co Ltd is a fast growth stock: 2015 revenue growth was 55.7%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 32.6% at 2015 ROIC 14.8%
  • Modern Land China Co Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 0.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 15.4 in 2015, 17.9 in 2014, 112 in 2013, 116 in 2012, 175 in 2011
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 14.8%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 1.9x while industry average is -0.4x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Modern Land China Co Ltd ($1107) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue3,1531,9653,4694,0796,35055.7%
Gross Profit1,3488731,3701,6551,96418.7%
SG&A3132723754494561.5%
EBITDA1,0527811,0201,2521,50720.4%
Net Income43247152952157810.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash2837882,7442,7982,521-9.9%
Short Term Debt1,1481092571,3141,75733.7%
Long Term Debt8751,0011,9023,1933,63513.9%
Cash flow
Capex1751161121815-14.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth103.7%-37.7%76.5%17.6%55.7%
EBITDA growth152.1%-25.7%30.5%22.8%20.4%
Gross Margin42.8%44.4%39.5%40.6%30.9%-9.6%
EBITDA Margin33.4%39.8%29.4%30.7%23.7%-7.0%
Net Income Margin13.7%24.0%15.2%12.8%9.1%-3.7%
SG&A, % of revenue9.9%13.8%10.8%11.0%7.2%-3.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue5.5%5.9%3.2%0.4%0.2%-0.2%
ROIC28.6%20.5%21.4%16.4%14.8%-1.6%
ROE40.7%37.0%26.6%19.5%17.4%-2.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.7x0.4x-0.6x1.4x1.9x0.5x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 55.7% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 2.2 pp from 5.3% to 3.1% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 9.6 pp from 40.6% to 30.9% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 3.8 pp from 11.0% to 7.2% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 3.7 pp from 12.8% to 9.1% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 0.24%. Modern Land China Co Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 5.7 pp from 5.9% in 2012 to 0.24% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.3%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROIC (14.85%) and ROE (17.44%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.6 pp from 16.4% to 14.8% in 2015. ROE decreased on 2.1 pp from 19.5% to 17.4% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 1.9x and Debt / EBITDA is 3.6x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.5x from 1.4x to 1.9x in 2015. Debt jumped on 19.6% in 2015 while cash decreased on 9.9% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Home Builders


Below you can find Modern Land China Co Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Home Builders industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Baoye Group Co Ltd ($2355)6.7%1.6%7.7%-3.6%
 
Median (1 company)6.7%1.6%7.7%-3.6%
Modern Land China Co Ltd ($1107)-37.7%76.5%17.6%55.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Baoye Group Co Ltd ($2355)8.3%8.5%6.9%6.2%6.8%
 
Median (1 company)8.3%8.5%6.9%6.2%6.8%
Modern Land China Co Ltd ($1107)42.8%44.4%39.5%40.6%30.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Baoye Group Co Ltd ($2355)7.3%7.6%5.6%5.1%5.5%
 
Median (1 company)7.3%7.6%5.6%5.1%5.5%
Modern Land China Co Ltd ($1107)33.4%39.8%29.4%30.7%23.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Baoye Group Co Ltd ($2355)1.3%1.3%1.3%0.9%0.9%
 
Median (1 company)1.3%1.3%1.3%0.9%0.9%
Modern Land China Co Ltd ($1107)5.5%5.9%3.2%0.4%0.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Baoye Group Co Ltd ($2355)18.3%17.7%12.4%11.2%11.7%
 
Median (1 company)18.3%17.7%12.4%11.2%11.7%
Modern Land China Co Ltd ($1107)28.6%20.5%21.4%16.4%14.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Baoye Group Co Ltd ($2355)-0.2x-0.6x-1.2x-1.4x-2.6x
 
Median (1 company)-0.2x-0.6x-1.2x-1.4x-2.6x
Modern Land China Co Ltd ($1107)1.7x0.4x-0.6x1.4x1.9x