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Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd Net Income surged on 58.0% in 2015 while EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 1.5 pp from 15.9% to 14.4%

22/03/2016 • About Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd ($175) • By InTwits

Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is relatively stable: 14.4% in 2015 vs. 15.9% in 2014 vs. 14.4% in 2011
  • Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 5.1%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 6.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 3,788 in 2015, 5,909 in 2014, 2,640 in 2013, 2,115 in 2012, 5,386 in 2011
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 15.0%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd ($175) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue20,96524,62828,70821,73830,13838.6%
Gross Profit3,8204,5595,7663,9635,47138.1%
SG&A2,3222,8023,3873,0233,74423.8%
EBITDA3,0223,5844,5263,4624,34625.5%
Net Income1,5432,0402,6631,4312,26158.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash3,0304,1895,4787,2039,16727.3%
Short Term Debt3,5222,2891,6101,05772-93.2%
Long Term Debt2,3701,37401,8201,9296.0%
Cash flow
Capex1,4291,1051,1211,0761,60348.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth4.3%17.5%16.6%-24.3%38.6%
EBITDA growth15.1%18.6%26.3%-23.5%25.5%
Gross Margin18.2%18.5%20.1%18.2%18.2%-0.1%
EBITDA Margin14.4%14.6%15.8%15.9%14.4%-1.5%
Net Income Margin7.4%8.3%9.3%6.6%7.5%0.9%
SG&A, % of revenue11.1%11.4%11.8%13.9%12.4%-1.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue6.8%4.5%3.9%5.0%5.3%0.4%
ROIC15.7%16.2%19.6%13.4%15.0%1.6%
ROE17.5%18.2%18.4%8.6%12.3%3.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.9x-0.1x-0.9x-1.2x-1.6x-0.4x

Revenue and profitability


Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd's Revenue jumped on 38.6% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 11.9 pp from 9.4% to -2.4% in 2015.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 1.5 pp from 13.9% to 12.4% in 2015.

Net Income marign increased slightly on 0.92 pp from 6.6% to 7.5% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 5.3%. CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 0.83 pp from 4.5% in 2012 to 5.3% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.7%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROIC (14.99%) and ROE (12.28%). ROIC increased slightly on 1.6 pp from 13.4% to 15.0% in 2015. ROE increased on 3.7 pp from 8.6% to 12.3% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -1.6x and Debt / EBITDA is 0.5x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.4x from -1.2x to -1.6x in 2015. Debt dropped on 30.5% in 2015 while cash jumped on 27.3% in 2015.

Management team


The company's CEO Gui Sheng Yue has spent 12 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Auto Manufacturers


Below you can find Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Auto Manufacturers industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Dongfeng Motor Group Co Ltd ($489)7.4%-95.4%511.9%123.0%
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd ($2238)25.6%18.0%45.2%18.9%
Great Wall Motor Co Ltd ($2333)30.9%43.1%31.7%10.2%
Dah Chong Hong Holdings Ltd ($1828)4.1%-12.0%10.0%-3.6%
Sinotruk Hong Kong Ltd ($3808)-7.7%-23.8%9.0%7.9%
 
Median (9 companies)-1.4%-4.2%9.0%7.9%-4.4%
Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd ($175)17.5%16.6%-24.3%38.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Great Wall Motor Co Ltd ($2333)22.2%24.1%25.9%25.0%
Sinotruk Hong Kong Ltd ($3808)15.6%14.9%16.7%16.9%
Qingling Motors Co Ltd ($1122)12.4%12.3%15.2%15.1%18.7%
Byd Co Ltd ($1211)14.8%11.6%13.4%13.8%
Dongfeng Motor Group Co Ltd ($489)20.1%5.8%12.6%13.0%
 
Median (9 companies)13.3%11.7%12.6%13.0%15.2%
Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd ($175)18.2%18.5%20.1%18.2%18.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Great Wall Motor Co Ltd ($2333)16.1%18.0%19.5%17.8%
Byd Co Ltd ($1211)11.3%10.2%9.6%12.0%
Qingling Motors Co Ltd ($1122)8.8%10.3%12.8%11.4%12.2%
Sinotruk Hong Kong Ltd ($3808)8.0%6.6%7.4%7.8%
Dah Chong Hong Holdings Ltd ($1828)4.8%4.7%4.6%4.2%3.8%
 
Median (9 companies)8.0%4.7%4.6%4.2%8.0%
Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd ($175)14.4%14.6%15.8%15.9%14.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd ($2238)20.4%22.7%10.1%15.7%
Brilliance China Automotive Holdings Ltd ($1114)4.8%8.9%10.1%13.4%
Great Wall Motor Co Ltd ($2333)12.9%10.7%13.0%12.0%
Byd Co Ltd ($1211)16.2%13.0%11.2%4.2%
Dongfeng Motor Group Co Ltd ($489)5.0%6.4%2.2%3.8%
 
Median (9 companies)4.8%6.4%2.5%3.8%1.6%
Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd ($175)6.8%4.5%3.9%5.0%5.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Great Wall Motor Co Ltd ($2333)22.9%27.7%32.2%25.5%
Wuling Motors Holdings Ltd ($305)6.2%7.2%7.7%10.0%
Dah Chong Hong Holdings Ltd ($1828)14.2%11.4%8.5%7.7%6.2%
Qingling Motors Co Ltd ($1122)5.5%4.5%5.7%5.1%5.8%
Sinotruk Hong Kong Ltd ($3808)5.7%2.5%3.5%3.9%
 
Median (9 companies)6.1%2.7%3.5%3.9%6.0%
Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd ($175)15.7%16.2%19.6%13.4%15.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd ($2238)13.2x
Byd Co Ltd ($1211)2.8x3.4x6.7x3.9x
Dah Chong Hong Holdings Ltd ($1828)1.5x1.5x2.8x3.8x3.3x
Dongfeng Motor Group Co Ltd ($489)-1.5x2.3x
Wuling Motors Holdings Ltd ($305)2.8x2.0x1.9x0.8x
 
Median (8 companies)2.1x2.0x2.2x1.6x0.0x
Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd ($175)0.9x-0.1x-0.9x-1.2x-1.6x