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China For You Group Co Ltd reports 1,597% EBITDA decline and 68.9 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 2.1% to -66.8%

22/03/2016 • About China For You Group Co Ltd ($572) • By InTwits

China For You Group Co Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China For You Group Co Ltd is a company in decline: 2015 revenue growth was -52.5%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -22.1%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -66.8%
  • China For You Group Co Ltd motivates its personel by high Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2011-2015 was 0.0%. On average EBITDA Margin was -12.1% for the sames years0
  • China For You Group Co Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 164.2%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 7.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 0.93 in 2015, 0 in 2014, 1.9 in 2013, 8.1 in 2012, 3.6 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -7.7%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 22.2x while industry average is 2.2x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China For You Group Co Ltd ($572) key annual financial indicators

mln. 201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue171.491.10.286.641.2-52.5%
Gross Profit32.111.330.013.1-56.1%
SG&A24.620.022.219.1-14.3%
EBITDA28.4-32.8-17.31.8-27.5-1,597.2%
Net Income189.7-105.3-68.23.4-47.6-1,493.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash27.013.90.156.398.174.2%
Short Term Debt0.00.00.00.0187.2
Long Term Debt9.110.60.00.00.0
Cash flow
Capex3.68.11.90.00.9
Ratios
Revenue growth19.6%-46.9%-99.7%36,225.6%-52.5%
EBITDA growth19.1%-215.6%-47.1%-110.6%-1,597.2%
Gross Margin18.7%12.4%34.6%31.9%-2.7%
EBITDA Margin16.5%-36.0%-7,269.8%2.1%-66.8%-68.9%
Net Income Margin110.7%-115.7%-28,616.9%3.9%-115.6%-119.6%
SG&A, % of revenue27.0%8,404.8%25.7%46.3%20.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.1%8.9%807.9%0.0%2.3%2.3%
ROIC15.0%-30.8%-35.4%4.1%-7.7%-11.8%
ROE-96.9%-18.7%-18.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.6x-30.7x30.7x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 52.5% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 0.60 pp from -19.8% to -19.2% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 2.7 pp from 34.6% to 31.9% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue jumped on 20.6 pp from 25.7% to 46.3% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 120 pp from 3.9% to -116% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 2.3% in 2015. The company's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 6.6 pp from 8.9% in 2012 to 2.3% in 2015.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-7.75%) and ROE (-18.71%). ROIC dropped on 11.8 pp from 4.1% to -7.7% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 22.2x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 30.7x from -30.7x to in 2015. Debt jumped while cash jumped on 74.2% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Packaging&Containers


Below you can find China For You Group Co Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Packaging&Containers industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Aluminum Cans Holdings Ltd ($6898)19.6%15.5%-5.0%189.1%
Zhengye International Holdings Co Ltd ($3363)10.5%6.8%16.4%18.6%
Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd ($794)10.7%-0.7%16.8%2.9%
Huajun Holdings Ltd ($377)11.2%3.3%3.4%10.4%
Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co Ltd ($468)35.7%10.8%23.8%3.3%
 
Median (17 companies)15.3%5.8%5.0%0.8%9.3%
China For You Group Co Ltd ($572)-46.9%-99.7%36,225.6%-52.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Huaxi Holdings Co Ltd ($1689)13.1%19.0%28.2%40.9%37.5%
Sheen Tai Holdings Grp Co Ltd ($1335)36.5%36.4%37.8%39.6%
Jin Cai Holdings Co Ltd ($1250)39.6%36.6%39.1%37.7%
Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd ($3366)30.2%34.3%36.5%32.8%31.4%
Kith Holdings Ltd ($1201)12.7%30.8%31.9%31.4%
 
Median (17 companies)18.4%19.9%19.8%21.1%21.3%
China For You Group Co Ltd ($572)18.7%12.4%34.6%31.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Sheen Tai Holdings Grp Co Ltd ($1335)35.5%31.9%32.2%32.1%
Jin Cai Holdings Co Ltd ($1250)35.7%33.2%26.1%27.6%
Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd ($3366)25.5%27.9%30.7%27.4%26.3%
Huaxi Holdings Co Ltd ($1689)7.8%14.5%21.2%27.1%29.1%
Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co Ltd ($468)24.1%25.9%23.1%21.6%
 
Median (18 companies)10.6%13.2%13.9%13.5%8.3%
China For You Group Co Ltd ($572)16.5%-36.0%-7,269.8%2.1%-66.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Aluminum Cans Holdings Ltd ($6898)1.3%6.9%9.5%20.7%
Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Ltd ($2314)13.5%19.7%13.7%13.1%17.1%
Hao Tian Development Group Ltd ($474)88.2%81.6%13.0%25.4%
CPMC Holdings Ltd ($906)13.7%16.7%19.7%8.6%9.2%
Jin Bao Bao Holdings Ltd ($1239)3.8%5.2%3.3%8.3%
 
Median (18 companies)5.6%6.1%4.8%4.7%5.5%
China For You Group Co Ltd ($572)2.1%8.9%807.9%0.0%2.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Huaxi Holdings Co Ltd ($1689)21.4%28.5%26.2%23.6%
Sheen Tai Holdings Grp Co Ltd ($1335)32.5%26.8%26.2%24.7%
China Aluminum Cans Holdings Ltd ($6898)14.8%19.7%14.6%20.2%
Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co Ltd ($468)19.6%20.2%18.9%15.7%
Jin Cai Holdings Co Ltd ($1250)38.7%35.3%18.4%15.4%
 
Median (18 companies)10.0%7.9%6.7%6.3%4.4%
China For You Group Co Ltd ($572)15.0%-30.8%-35.4%4.1%-7.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Zhengye International Holdings Co Ltd ($3363)4.0x6.2x6.4x7.8x
Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd ($3366)0.7x9.4x6.7x7.4x4.4x
Sino Haijing Holdings Ltd ($1106)4.7x6.4x6.1x6.2x
Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd ($794)-1.1x3.6x4.1x3.8x3.4x
Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Ltd ($2314)2.5x4.1x3.5x3.4x3.0x
 
Median (17 companies)0.7x1.0x0.6x0.7x3.0x
China For You Group Co Ltd ($572)-0.6x-30.7x