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China Eco-Farming Ltd revenue surged on 155% in 2015 and EBITDA Margin jumped on 38.8 pp from -114% to -75.0%

22/03/2016 • About China Eco-Farming Ltd ($8166) • By InTwits

China Eco-Farming Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China Eco-Farming Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -18.0%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -75.0%
  • China Eco-Farming Ltd spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2011-2015 is 0.0%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was -81.8%0
  • China Eco-Farming Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.5%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 4.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 1.5 in 2015, 4.2 in 2014, 0.14 in 2013, 0.13 in 2012, 0.079 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -18.0%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 32.6x while industry average is -2.5x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Eco-Farming Ltd ($8166) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue27.22320.79819.19423.38759.748155.5%
Gross Profit5.1112.7863.5420.4952.716448.7%
SG&A27.79039.95043.8%
EBITDA-10.021-17.072-24.419-26.613-44.83468.5%
Net Income-12.658-21.046-25.746-27.393-59.214116.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash0.6620.07914.55236.99536.871-0.3%
Short Term Debt31.32725.3506.3000.00010.332
Long Term Debt3.2000.0004.80616.97053.397214.7%
Cash flow
Capex0.0790.1280.1394.2391.491-64.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth17.0%-23.6%-7.7%21.8%155.5%
EBITDA growth-38.7%70.4%43.0%9.0%68.5%
Gross Margin18.8%13.4%18.5%2.1%4.5%2.4%
EBITDA Margin-36.8%-82.1%-127.2%-113.8%-75.0%38.8%
Net Income Margin-46.5%-101.2%-134.1%-117.1%-99.1%18.0%
SG&A, % of revenue118.8%66.9%-52.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.3%0.6%0.7%18.1%2.5%-15.6%
ROIC-62.7%-145.6%-164.6%-31.4%-18.0%13.4%
ROE-37.3%-32.5%4.7%

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 155% in 2015. Revenue growth happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin jumped on 38.8 pp from -114% to -75.0% in 2015.

Gross Margin increased on 2.4 pp from 2.1% to 4.5% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue dropped on 52.0 pp from 119% to 66.9% in 2015.

Net Income marign jumped on 18.0 pp from -117% to -99.1% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 2.5% in 2015. CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 1.9 pp from 0.62% in 2012 to 2.5% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 7.1%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-18.00%) and ROE (-32.52%). ROIC surged on 13.4 pp from -31.4% to -18.0% in 2015. ROE increased on 4.7 pp from -37.3% to -32.5% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 32.6x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in 2015. Debt jumped on 276% in 2015 while cash showed almost no change in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Software


Below you can find China Eco-Farming Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Software industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Pizu Group Holdings Ltd ($8053)40.3%-42.9%1,742.9%157.9%
China City Railway Transportation Technology Holdings Co Ltd ($1522)194.6%164.0%33.6%100.5%
China Mobile Games and Cultural Investment Ltd ($8081)-16.7%393.7%-6.6%92.2%
Epicurean and Co Ltd ($8213)177.0%185.7%62.6%22.0%
China Bio Cassava Holdings Ltd ($8129)-14.2%38.8%55.1%-19.7%
 
Median (33 companies)16.2%10.6%11.2%20.6%14.1%
China Eco-Farming Ltd ($8166)-23.6%-7.7%21.8%155.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Bio Cassava Holdings Ltd ($8129)90.2%90.4%97.4%98.4%98.3%
Chanjet Information Technology Co Ltd ($1588)91.9%89.2%91.3%92.4%91.4%
NetDragon Websoft Inc ($777)90.1%93.4%90.8%89.3%
China Mobile Games and Cultural Investment Ltd ($8081)19.4%6.5%45.3%84.8%
Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd ($268)70.1%65.0%75.3%82.5%81.5%
 
Median (32 companies)51.0%46.5%43.1%42.8%43.3%
China Eco-Farming Ltd ($8166)18.8%13.4%18.5%2.1%4.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Sinosoft Technology Group Ltd ($1297)55.5%62.6%54.9%57.2%59.0%
International Entertainment Corp ($1009)235.1%50.8%64.0%54.9%62.0%
China Binary Sale Technology Ltd ($8255)41.3%35.1%35.4%44.4%50.5%
Microsoft Corp ($4338)42.8%33.5%39.2%38.0%25.8%
Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd ($268)19.5%7.8%33.2%37.2%31.9%
 
Median (33 companies)12.0%9.8%11.1%9.1%9.8%
China Eco-Farming Ltd ($8166)-36.8%-82.1%-127.2%-113.8%-75.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
NetDragon Websoft Inc ($777)13.3%21.1%34.6%54.6%
TravelSky Technology Ltd ($696)5.8%8.9%21.7%18.1%
Kingsoft Corp Ltd ($3888)6.8%4.3%3.8%14.3%11.1%
Sing Lee Software Group Ltd ($8076)19.4%3.3%0.2%14.0%1.1%
Epicurean and Co Ltd ($8213)18.7%25.3%10.4%10.3%5.5%
 
Median (32 companies)2.0%1.4%2.5%3.5%1.7%
China Eco-Farming Ltd ($8166)0.3%0.6%0.7%18.1%2.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Binary Sale Technology Ltd ($8255)27.7%26.9%28.4%19.0%
Microsoft Corp ($4338)43.4%28.6%30.3%26.2%15.6%
Finsoft Corp ($8018)140.5%4.6%25.0%-5.6%
Sinosoft Technology Group Ltd ($1297)31.6%34.0%21.9%20.2%20.8%
Boyaa Interactive International Ltd ($434)100.4%75.3%21.3%20.0%
 
Median (33 companies)4.9%5.2%5.8%2.6%5.0%
China Eco-Farming Ltd ($8166)-62.7%-145.6%-164.6%-31.4%-18.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Pizu Group Holdings Ltd ($8053)346.1x-0.4x
Epicurean and Co Ltd ($8213)2.9x2.3x4.7x12.3x12.0x
Sing Lee Software Group Ltd ($8076)6.2x4.4x
China Technology Solar Power Holdings Ltd ($8111)7.4x3.3x0.2x
Chinasoft International Ltd ($354)-1.3x-0.7x0.7x1.5x0.7x
 
Median (22 companies)-1.0x-1.1x-1.7x-1.7x-0.4x