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Speedy Global Holdings Ltd Debt jumped on 21.8% in 2015 while Revenue decreased on 3.1%

21/03/2016 • About Speedy Global Holdings Ltd ($540) • By InTwits

Speedy Global Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 3.9% in 2015, 4.6% in 2014, 3.7% in 2013, 8.0% in 2012, 10.2% in 2011
  • Speedy Global Holdings Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.2%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 11.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 34.8 in 2015, 8.0 in 2014, 10.6 in 2013, 13.0 in 2012, 4.1 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 6.2%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.6x while industry average is -21.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Speedy Global Holdings Ltd ($540) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue1,1681,0341,1851,2641,224-3.1%
Gross Profit202183144161135-16.2%
SG&A11610911997-18.5%
EBITDA11983445848-17.2%
Net Income84552124253.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash9382250413309-25.2%
Short Term Debt8459201395189-52.2%
Long Term Debt000129349,107.6%
Cash flow
Capex41311835338.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth5.8%-11.5%14.7%6.6%-3.1%
EBITDA growth211.3%-30.6%-47.2%33.4%-17.2%
Gross Margin17.3%17.7%12.1%12.7%11.0%-1.7%
EBITDA Margin10.2%8.0%3.7%4.6%3.9%-0.7%
Net Income Margin7.2%5.3%1.7%1.9%2.0%0.1%
SG&A, % of revenue11.2%9.2%9.4%7.9%-1.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.4%1.3%0.9%0.6%2.8%2.2%
ROIC59.9%39.8%12.3%9.3%6.2%-3.1%
ROE120.4%60.3%15.7%12.2%12.0%-0.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.1x-0.3x-1.1x-0.3x3.6x3.9x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 3.1% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.9 pp from 7.4% to 9.3% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 1.7 pp from 12.7% to 11.0% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 1.5 pp from 9.4% to 7.9% in 2015.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Speedy Global Holdings Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 2.8% in 2015. The company showed small growth in CAPEX/Revenue of 1.6 pp from 1.3% in 2012 to 2.8% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.5%.The company invested a big chunk of EBITDA (72.4%) to CAPEX which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (12.02%) while ROIC is low (6.18%). ROIC decreased on 3.1 pp from 9.3% to 6.2% in 2015. ROE showed almost no change in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 3.6x and Debt / EBITDA is 10.0x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 3.9x from -0.3x to 3.6x in 2015. Debt jumped on 21.8% in 2015 while cash dropped on 25.2% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Commercial Services


Below you can find Speedy Global Holdings Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Commercial Services industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Global Energy Resources International Group Ltd ($8192)429.3%-61.9%-27.8%2,912.9%
Dingyi Group Investment Ltd ($508)8.8%-95.9%1,361.2%-32.6%
China Smartpay Group Holdings Ltd ($8325)60.0%274.7%75.6%124.5%
Goldpac Group Ltd ($3315)52.3%64.4%36.8%10.8%
Wonderful Sky Financial Group Holdings Ltd ($1260)21.3%4.5%33.5%14.2%
 
Median (60 companies)21.4%8.9%4.7%9.4%6.7%
Speedy Global Holdings Ltd ($540)-11.5%14.7%6.6%-3.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
HC International Inc ($2280)84.7%87.5%91.9%92.5%
Fu Shou Yuan International Group Ltd ($1448)81.6%80.5%80.4%80.0%77.6%
China Communication Telecom Services Co Ltd ($8206)-56.6%61.6%58.6%69.1%70.2%
Dingyi Group Investment Ltd ($508)76.5%75.8%64.5%86.0%
Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd ($1052)67.1%66.2%66.8%62.8%65.2%
 
Median (56 companies)33.0%31.5%30.5%30.9%28.7%
Speedy Global Holdings Ltd ($540)17.3%17.7%12.1%12.7%11.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Shenzhen International Holdings Ltd ($152)69.3%60.2%65.8%97.1%
Shenzhen Expressway Co Ltd ($548)80.4%74.3%79.4%76.6%53.0%
Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd ($1052)74.3%78.3%74.5%74.0%71.6%
Anhui Expressway Co Ltd ($995)62.7%56.9%54.1%60.4%
Dragon Crown Group Holdings Ltd ($935)57.8%67.3%62.9%60.2%
 
Median (60 companies)17.1%16.9%14.2%11.1%8.1%
Speedy Global Holdings Ltd ($540)10.2%8.0%3.7%4.6%3.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Kai Yuan Holdings Ltd ($1215)16.8%3.9%7.0%59.8%
COSCO Pacific Ltd ($1199)111.3%96.6%66.6%43.3%
Finet Group Ltd ($8317)3.9%10.3%9.1%26.0%8.4%
HC International Inc ($2280)15.1%8.5%28.7%24.7%
Dragon Crown Group Holdings Ltd ($935)2.5%37.2%52.0%23.0%
 
Median (59 companies)4.0%3.4%4.5%4.8%2.6%
Speedy Global Holdings Ltd ($540)0.4%1.3%0.9%0.6%2.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Mega Expo Holdings Ltd ($1360)270.5%481.1%54.4%10.1%
China Packaging Holdings Development Ltd ($1439)50.0%52.0%46.6%34.1%
Wonderful Sky Financial Group Holdings Ltd ($1260)136.8%51.5%26.6%30.0%29.5%
PPS International Holdings Ltd ($8201)101.6%35.6%23.8%-13.7%
1010 Printing Group Ltd ($1127)14.4%13.5%20.8%17.8%19.9%
 
Median (60 companies)5.0%5.9%4.2%3.2%3.7%
Speedy Global Holdings Ltd ($540)59.9%39.8%12.3%9.3%6.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Dalian Port PDA Co Ltd ($2880)5.7x5.7x4.8x4.7x
Sichuan Expressway Co Ltd ($107)1.8x2.7x3.8x4.3x
Anxian Yuan China Holdings Ltd ($922)4.6x3.8x0.8x
Eagle Legend Asia Ltd ($936)4.3x4.0x4.0x3.3x6.2x
Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd ($1052)2.9x4.5x3.1x2.7x5.3x
 
Median (39 companies)-0.1x-0.0x-0.7x-1.0x-2.0x
Speedy Global Holdings Ltd ($540)-0.1x-0.3x-1.1x-0.3x3.6x