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Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 10.9x from 49.3x to 38.4x in 2015 while EBITDA jumped on 89.3%

21/03/2016 • About Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337) • By InTwits

Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is 1.0%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 6.2% in 2015, 6.7% in 2014, 19.0% in 2013, -19.8% in 2012, 28.0% in 2011
  • Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.2%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 8.3%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 126 in 2015, 44.1 in 2014, 25.9 in 2013, 21.6 in 2012, 37.7 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 1.0%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 38.4x while industry average is 22.4x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue5,6781,7675,4482,8405,802104.3%
Gross Profit1,9394051,4467791,14446.8%
SG&A47441141769382919.6%
EBITDA1,588-3491,03719136289.3%
Net Income898-93835108220104.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,6458179225,0335,2073.5%
Short Term Debt2,0783,8731,7251,2277,795535.3%
Long Term Debt5,4062,9645,66613,21811,292-14.6%
Cash flow
Capex38222644126187.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth32.9%-68.9%208.4%-47.9%104.3%
EBITDA growth54.0%-122.0%-397.0%-81.6%89.3%
Gross Margin34.1%22.9%26.6%27.4%19.7%-7.7%
EBITDA Margin28.0%-19.8%19.0%6.7%6.2%-0.5%
Net Income Margin15.8%-53.1%0.6%3.8%3.8%0.0%
SG&A, % of revenue8.3%23.3%7.7%24.4%14.3%-10.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.7%1.2%0.5%1.6%2.2%0.6%
ROIC11.9%-3.2%7.3%0.5%1.0%0.5%
ROE18.6%-19.7%0.7%1.9%3.5%1.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA3.7x6.2x49.3x38.4x-10.9x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 104% in 2015. EBITDA Margin showed almost no change in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 7.7 pp from 27.4% to 19.7% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue dropped on 10.1 pp from 24.4% to 14.3% in 2015.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 2.2%. Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd showed small growth in CAPEX/Revenue of 0.96 pp from 1.2% in 2012 to 2.2% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.4%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (1.00%) and ROE (3.51%). ROIC increased slightly on 0.52 pp from 0.47% to 1.00% in 2015. ROE increased slightly on 1.6 pp from 1.9% to 3.5% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 38.4x and Debt / EBITDA is 52.8x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 10.9x from 49.3x to 38.4x in 2015. Debt surged on 32.1% in 2015 while cash increased on 3.5% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below you can find Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Real Estate industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Common Splendor International Health Industry Group Ltd ($286)-0.9%-0.5%1.9%4,120.2%
Landsea Green Properties Co Ltd ($106)-35.1%-51.2%3,097.3%188.5%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)-0.1%-27.5%-21.9%3,008.3%
Rivera Holdings Ltd ($281)197.1%-89.9%2,067.2%-92.7%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-94.0%-73.9%-49.8%1,922.5%
 
Median (173 companies)11.5%15.8%13.0%5.2%4.3%
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)-68.9%208.4%-47.9%104.3%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.9%96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)37.4%39.3%98.2%
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)71.1%79.0%95.2%97.9%99.9%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)91.5%94.4%96.6%96.7%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)29.8%22.8%92.9%95.2%62.7%
 
Median (155 companies)43.8%42.2%41.8%39.3%43.3%
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)34.1%22.9%26.6%27.4%19.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)24.0%-125.5%-2,995.7%1,685.3%-525.1%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)33.2%-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)340.9%356.2%91.6%195.5%397.4%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)73.6%105.3%133.1%143.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-5.9%-382.7%-1,024.0%126.8%
 
Median (173 companies)35.3%29.1%28.2%27.3%28.9%
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)28.0%-19.8%19.0%6.7%6.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%0.0%18.0%27,965.5%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)25.6%56.2%4,202.4%1,304.7%189.7%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)5.9%24.1%1,091.1%190.4%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)6.5%2.9%323.1%351.2%340.6%
Liu Chong Hing Investment Ltd ($194)9.4%18.5%6.1%269.7%0.9%
 
Median (174 companies)5.9%5.5%6.2%4.7%6.3%
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)0.7%1.2%0.5%1.6%2.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Rykadan Capital Ltd ($2288)17.2%-1.8%-2.6%48.4%-3.7%
Colour Life Services Group Co Ltd ($1778)44.2%47.9%29.3%14.5%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)0.2%-0.2%-1.1%22.1%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)39.0%19.2%17.6%18.7%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)18.0%18.4%15.1%18.5%15.4%
 
Median (177 companies)4.6%4.1%3.8%3.9%3.1%
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)11.9%-3.2%7.3%0.5%1.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Properties Group Ltd ($1838)16.9x43.0x21.4x1,523.0x
SRE Group Ltd ($1207)10.6x14.1x24.7x1,184.6x
Cheuk Nang Holdings Ltd ($131)53.2x177.3x901.7x
Tian An China Investment Co Ltd ($28)2.4x13.2x15.1x486.6x
Coastal Greenland Ltd ($1124)4.2x2.2x7.1x26.6x
 
Median (140 companies)2.1x2.3x2.7x2.9x2.6x
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)3.7x6.2x49.3x38.4x