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China Outfitters Holdings Ltd EBITDA dropped on 49.0% in 2015 and Revenue decreased on 7.5%

21/03/2016 • About China Outfitters Holdings Ltd ($1146) • By InTwits

China Outfitters Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: 14.6% in 2015 vs. 26.5% in 2014 vs. 43.9% in 2011
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 14.6% in 2015, 26.5% in 2014, 38.2% in 2013, 42.0% in 2012, 43.9% in 2011
  • China Outfitters Holdings Ltd has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 5.1%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 4.4%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 50.4 in 2015, 97.1 in 2014, 118 in 2013, 14.2 in 2012, 15.9 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 6.0%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Outfitters Holdings Ltd ($1146) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue1,2481,4081,2471,0941,013-7.5%
Gross Profit9501,054927766665-13.1%
SG&A41951950550855910.1%
EBITDA547591476290148-49.0%
Net Income408460384204105-48.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,035379347190165-13.2%
Short Term Debt000647360-44.3%
Long Term Debt00000
Cash flow
Capex16141189750-48.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth37.1%12.8%-11.4%-12.3%-7.5%
EBITDA growth43.7%8.0%-19.5%-39.1%-49.0%
Gross Margin76.1%74.9%74.3%70.0%65.7%-4.2%
EBITDA Margin43.9%42.0%38.2%26.5%14.6%-11.9%
Net Income Margin32.7%32.7%30.8%18.6%10.4%-8.3%
SG&A, % of revenue33.5%36.9%40.5%46.4%55.2%8.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.3%1.0%9.4%8.9%5.0%-3.9%
ROIC39.9%29.5%21.5%12.1%6.0%-6.1%
ROE34.7%25.4%18.9%11.0%6.4%-4.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA-1.9x-0.6x-0.7x1.6x1.3x-0.3x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 7.5% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 11.9 pp from 26.5% to 14.6% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 4.2 pp from 70.0% to 65.7% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 8.8 pp from 46.4% to 55.2% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 8.3 pp from 18.6% to 10.4% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 5.0% in 2015. The company showed CAPEX/Revenue growth of 4.0 pp from 1.0% in 2012 to 5.0% in 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 7.8%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (5.99%) and ROE (6.44%). ROIC decreased on 6.1 pp from 12.1% to 6.0% in 2015. ROE decreased on 4.5 pp from 11.0% to 6.4% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 1.3x and Debt / EBITDA is 2.4x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.3x from 1.6x to 1.3x in 2015. Debt dropped on 44.3% in 2015 while cash dropped on 13.2% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Apparel


Below you can find China Outfitters Holdings Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Apparel industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Ares Asia Ltd ($645)144.2%14.7%
Texhong Textile Group Ltd ($2678)6.8%12.1%27.2%1.0%
Win Hanverky Holdings Ltd ($3322)11.5%-7.5%-0.3%21.1%
Symphony Holdings Ltd/Hong Kong ($1223)-94.0%46.8%20.4%33.1%
L & A International Holdings Ltd/ Hong Kong ($8387)33.1%27.9%7.9%20.4%
 
Median (47 companies)20.2%5.2%2.6%5.0%-0.9%
China Outfitters Holdings Ltd ($1146)12.8%-11.4%-12.3%-7.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Prada SpA ($1913)67.8%71.5%72.1%73.8%71.8%
C.banner International Holdings Ltd ($1028)63.5%63.3%62.0%63.4%61.1%
S Culture International Holdings Ltd ($1255)62.8%64.7%63.7%62.9%61.9%
Crocodile Garments ($122)65.5%64.7%60.7%60.4%62.1%
Symphony Holdings Ltd/Hong Kong ($1223)15.4%38.5%42.3%59.6%75.6%
 
Median (46 companies)24.0%24.4%23.0%23.4%26.9%
China Outfitters Holdings Ltd ($1146)76.1%74.9%74.3%70.0%65.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
HOSA International Ltd ($2200)46.3%44.4%42.2%37.6%26.7%
Prada SpA ($1913)25.9%29.6%31.7%31.7%26.8%
China Lilang Ltd ($1234)26.7%26.3%26.9%29.4%30.6%
Cabbeen Fashion Ltd ($2030)16.0%25.0%29.7%28.4%29.0%
Fuguiniao Co Ltd ($1819)22.2%24.5%26.1%26.7%27.9%
 
Median (47 companies)10.4%9.5%8.9%5.6%5.8%
China Outfitters Holdings Ltd ($1146)43.9%42.0%38.2%26.5%14.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Prada SpA ($1913)9.2%9.7%10.6%15.3%10.2%
Symphony Holdings Ltd/Hong Kong ($1223)14.9%136.9%70.3%13.5%28.5%
Mascotte Holdings Ltd ($136)0.4%74.2%45.0%12.2%0.6%
Addchance Holdings Ltd ($3344)12.2%8.6%9.3%10.9%
Active Group Holdings Ltd ($1096)1.3%17.4%3.5%10.7%
 
Median (47 companies)1.9%2.2%3.0%2.0%1.5%
China Outfitters Holdings Ltd ($1146)1.3%1.0%9.4%8.9%5.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Prada SpA ($1913)24.6%32.1%37.4%34.0%21.9%
Sitoy Group Holdings Ltd ($1023)62.1%39.3%28.7%31.8%22.0%
HOSA International Ltd ($2200)44.2%34.6%32.0%28.2%16.5%
Miko International Holdings Ltd ($1247)75.1%60.9%48.8%27.3%
Cabbeen Fashion Ltd ($2030)25.7%32.3%32.9%26.5%27.0%
 
Median (47 companies)11.5%8.6%6.7%3.2%4.6%
China Outfitters Holdings Ltd ($1146)39.9%29.5%21.5%12.1%6.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
High Fashion International Ltd ($608)4.9x16.7x27.7x11.2x
Citychamp Watch & Jewellery Group Ltd ($256)-0.9x0.6x0.4x2.6x
S Culture International Holdings Ltd ($1255)0.8x1.4x0.7x2.4x158.1x
UKF Holdings Ltd ($1468)0.9x1.2x-3.2x2.4x0.4x
Texhong Textile Group Ltd ($2678)3.9x1.4x1.3x2.3x1.4x
 
Median (33 companies)-0.7x-0.3x-0.7x-0.3x-0.1x
China Outfitters Holdings Ltd ($1146)-1.9x-0.6x-0.7x1.6x1.3x