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Hong Kong & China Gas Co Ltd reports 6.4% revenue decline in 2015 and 1.5 pp EBITDA Margin growth from 29.2% to 30.7%

18/03/2016 • About Hong Kong & China Gas Co Ltd ($3) • By InTwits

Hong Kong & China Gas Co Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is relatively stable: 30.7% in 2015 vs. 29.2% in 2014 vs. 31.1% in 2011
  • Hong Kong & China Gas Co Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 20.9%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 12.4%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 6,796 in 2015, 2,370 in 2014, 6,189 in 2013, 2,598 in 2012, 3,017 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 6.9%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 2.3x while industry average is 2.4x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Hong Kong & China Gas Co Ltd ($3) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue22,42724,92328,24631,61529,591-6.4%
EBITDA6,9867,4738,3569,2329,083-1.6%
Net Income6,1507,7126,8547,2117,4132.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash10,74911,9257,56012,05511,926-1.1%
Short Term Debt4,2216,4916,2227,0509,71237.8%
Long Term Debt21,62825,23024,40124,48423,363-4.6%
Cash flow
Capex4,6425,9065,2946,3656,356-0.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth15.7%11.1%13.3%11.9%-6.4%
EBITDA growth19.8%7.0%11.8%10.5%-1.6%
EBITDA Margin31.1%30.0%29.6%29.2%30.7%1.5%
Net Income Margin27.4%30.9%24.3%22.8%25.0%2.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue20.7%23.7%18.7%20.1%21.5%1.3%
ROIC8.0%7.3%7.4%7.5%6.9%-0.6%
ROE15.6%17.8%14.4%13.9%13.8%-0.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.2x2.6x2.8x2.1x2.3x0.2x

Revenue and profitability


Hong Kong & China Gas Co Ltd's Revenue decreased on 6.4% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.5 pp from 29.2% to 30.7% in 2015.

Net Income marign increased on 2.2 pp from 22.8% to 25.0% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Hong Kong & China Gas Co Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 21.5% in 2015. Hong Kong & China Gas Co Ltd showed decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 2.2 pp from 23.7% in 2012 to 21.5% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 20.1%.Battling declining revenue Hong Kong & China Gas Co Ltd invested a large share of EBITDA (70.0%) to CAPEX but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (13.85%) while ROIC is low (6.92%). ROIC decreased slightly on 0.59 pp from 7.5% to 6.9% in 2015. ROE showed almost no change in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 2.3x and Debt / EBITDA is 3.6x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.2x from 2.1x to 2.3x in 2015. Debt increased on 4.9% in 2015 while cash decreased slightly on 1.1% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Gas


Below we provide Hong Kong & China Gas Co Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Gas industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Gas Holdings Ltd ($384)19.4%-5.2%44.8%21.8%
China Resources Gas Group Ltd ($1193)52.3%-4.1%63.6%28.8%
ENN Energy Holdings Ltd ($2688)34.4%19.6%27.4%26.7%
China Oil & Gas Group Ltd ($603)67.2%11.4%31.7%19.5%
Towngas China Co Ltd ($1083)20.0%29.6%17.4%-2.1%
 
Median (8 companies)52.3%16.7%29.6%18.4%-2.1%
Hong Kong & China Gas Co Ltd ($3)11.1%13.3%11.9%-6.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Resources Gas Group Ltd ($1193)29.3%31.2%34.2%30.3%
ENN Energy Holdings Ltd ($2688)25.9%26.9%23.8%20.9%
China Gas Holdings Ltd ($384)18.3%19.0%21.0%20.3%20.4%
Binhai Investment Co Ltd ($2886)13.6%20.1%20.6%18.3%
Beijing Enterprises Holdings Ltd ($392)22.1%20.7%19.7%17.9%
 
Median (7 companies)21.2%20.7%21.0%18.3%20.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Towngas China Co Ltd ($1083)19.3%19.9%18.9%18.8%19.2%
ENN Energy Holdings Ltd ($2688)18.4%20.4%15.1%18.2%
China Resources Gas Group Ltd ($1193)18.2%16.2%17.4%17.7%
China Gas Holdings Ltd ($384)14.2%15.2%16.5%16.6%16.8%
China Oil & Gas Group Ltd ($603)17.6%21.5%21.2%16.0%
 
Median (8 companies)17.6%16.2%17.0%16.3%12.0%
Hong Kong & China Gas Co Ltd ($3)31.1%30.0%29.6%29.2%30.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Towngas China Co Ltd ($1083)21.1%31.3%25.7%26.2%26.4%
Binhai Investment Co Ltd ($2886)23.6%26.9%18.0%15.5%
China Oil & Gas Group Ltd ($603)17.1%15.0%18.3%15.4%
China Resources Gas Group Ltd ($1193)14.3%20.6%18.5%12.4%
China Gas Holdings Ltd ($384)12.2%9.4%13.7%12.3%12.3%
 
Median (8 companies)14.3%16.0%15.1%12.4%8.9%
Hong Kong & China Gas Co Ltd ($3)20.7%23.7%18.7%20.1%21.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
ENN Energy Holdings Ltd ($2688)13.1%14.3%11.7%16.4%
China Resources Gas Group Ltd ($1193)11.9%6.9%10.4%11.4%
Binhai Investment Co Ltd ($2886)7.6%12.2%12.2%10.9%
China Gas Holdings Ltd ($384)6.8%8.4%8.6%10.6%10.6%
China Oil & Gas Group Ltd ($603)14.0%13.7%13.2%7.6%
 
Median (9 companies)7.6%7.6%10.4%7.6%5.2%
Hong Kong & China Gas Co Ltd ($3)8.0%7.3%7.4%7.5%6.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Beijing Enterprises Holdings Ltd ($392)1.6x3.1x2.6x4.7x
Towngas China Co Ltd ($1083)3.6x3.5x3.7x4.1x4.5x
Binhai Investment Co Ltd ($2886)-0.4x3.4x2.8x3.5x
China Gas Holdings Ltd ($384)4.4x3.7x3.7x3.1x2.9x
China Oil & Gas Group Ltd ($603)-0.8x-0.0x1.0x2.8x
 
Median (7 companies)1.3x3.1x1.6x3.1x2.9x
Hong Kong & China Gas Co Ltd ($3)2.2x2.6x2.8x2.1x2.3x