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Guangdong Yueyun Transportation Co Ltd-H reports 89.0% CAPEX growth while 12.0% Revenue decline

18/03/2016 • About Guangdong Yueyun Transportation Co Ltd-H ($3399) • By InTwits

Guangdong Yueyun Transportation Co Ltd-H reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Guangdong Yueyun Transportation Co Ltd-H has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 7.0%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 8.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 897 in 2015, 475 in 2014, 493 in 2013, 356 in 2012, 413 in 2011
  • The company has business model with average profitability: ROIC is at 10.6%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Guangdong Yueyun Transportation Co Ltd-H ($3399) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue6,7916,5056,1199,8178,644-12.0%
Gross Profit8378428129831,24126.3%
SG&A61366456761777826.1%
EBITDA48643452370986321.8%
Net Income1257313620326631.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash2,2361,2631,7181,7741,9349.0%
Short Term Debt7529091,1291,018490-51.9%
Long Term Debt1373683863001,030243.3%
Cash flow
Capex41335649347589789.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth11.7%-4.2%-5.9%60.4%-12.0%
EBITDA growth82.7%-10.8%20.5%35.5%21.8%
Gross Margin12.3%13.0%13.3%10.0%14.4%4.3%
EBITDA Margin7.2%6.7%8.5%7.2%10.0%2.8%
Net Income Margin1.8%1.1%2.2%2.1%3.1%1.0%
SG&A, % of revenue9.0%10.2%9.3%6.3%9.0%2.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue6.1%5.5%8.1%4.8%10.4%5.5%
ROIC8.9%5.6%7.2%9.6%10.6%1.0%
ROE8.3%4.4%9.5%12.8%15.0%2.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA-2.8x0.0x-0.4x-0.6x-0.5x0.2x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 12.0% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.8 pp from 7.2% to 10.0% in 2015.

Gross Margin increased on 4.3 pp from 10.0% to 14.4% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 2.7 pp from 6.3% to 9.0% in 2015.

Net Income marign increased slightly on 1.0 pp from 2.1% to 3.1% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 10.4%. Guangdong Yueyun Transportation Co Ltd-H's CAPEX/Revenue increased on 4.9 pp from 5.5% in 2012 to 10.4% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 7.8%.Guangdong Yueyun Transportation Co Ltd-H has spent a lot to CAPEX (104% of EBITDA) which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (15.05%) while ROIC is low (10.60%). ROIC increased slightly on 0.98 pp from 9.6% to 10.6% in 2015. ROE increased on 2.2 pp from 12.8% to 15.0% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -0.5x and Debt / EBITDA is 1.8x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.2x from -0.6x to -0.5x in 2015. Debt surged on 15.3% in 2015 while cash increased on 9.0% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Transportation


Below you can find Guangdong Yueyun Transportation Co Ltd-H benchmarking vs. other companies in Transportation industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Frontier Services Group Ltd ($500)-90.5%-10.8%-49.9%1,021.1%
China Best Group Holding Ltd ($370)333.1%202.4%-53.6%459.4%
Tianjin Port Development Holdings Ltd ($3382)9.8%8.7%24.9%51.9%
CIG Yangtze Ports PLC ($8233)17.9%30.6%23.5%0.1%
Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics Co Ltd ($1292)15.9%10.9%27.9%15.0%
 
Median (28 companies)9.8%7.2%4.6%5.1%-6.2%
Guangdong Yueyun Transportation Co Ltd-H ($3399)-4.2%-5.9%60.4%-12.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
CIG Yangtze Ports PLC ($8233)51.0%51.3%44.8%46.6%48.7%
Frontier Services Group Ltd ($500)80.7%83.8%65.9%44.8%
Qinhuangdao Port Co Ltd ($3369)43.2%43.1%42.4%43.3%
Chu Kong Shipping Enterprise Group Co Ltd ($560)21.5%23.1%25.1%24.1%
Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings Ltd ($306)17.6%18.9%20.4%22.7%26.8%
 
Median (25 companies)18.7%12.5%9.8%10.3%3.1%
Guangdong Yueyun Transportation Co Ltd-H ($3399)12.3%13.0%13.3%10.0%14.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Qinhuangdao Port Co Ltd ($3369)45.3%46.0%44.6%46.5%
MTR Corp Ltd ($66)49.1%42.7%37.6%45.2%41.6%
CIG Yangtze Ports PLC ($8233)29.9%30.2%27.6%38.5%39.5%
Great Harvest Maeta Group Holdings Ltd ($3683)61.3%56.3%18.7%32.6%-8.5%
China Shipping Development Co Ltd ($1138)24.7%12.5%3.0%24.7%
 
Median (29 companies)16.5%10.0%7.4%9.1%7.8%
Guangdong Yueyun Transportation Co Ltd-H ($3399)7.2%6.7%8.5%7.2%10.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Noble Century Investment Holdings Ltd ($2322)0.0%296.6%1.4%
Frontier Services Group Ltd ($500)5.4%6.3%3.6%63.3%
China Shipping Development Co Ltd ($1138)68.9%55.8%34.0%54.9%
Courage Marine Group Ltd ($1145)78.9%235.0%37.7%50.4%9.2%
Qinhuangdao Port Co Ltd ($3369)47.2%57.9%35.8%46.3%
 
Median (29 companies)11.8%10.3%10.4%7.4%12.3%
Guangdong Yueyun Transportation Co Ltd-H ($3399)6.1%5.5%8.1%4.8%10.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics Co Ltd ($1292)34.2%21.1%20.9%19.1%
ASR Logistics Holdings Ltd ($1803)79.6%54.7%38.9%13.4%
CIG Yangtze Ports PLC ($8233)4.3%4.9%5.7%11.0%11.1%
Kerry Logistics Network Ltd ($636)11.3%12.0%13.4%10.5%
Qinhuangdao Port Co Ltd ($3369)9.3%9.8%9.6%9.3%
 
Median (29 companies)5.0%3.2%2.8%3.2%2.2%
Guangdong Yueyun Transportation Co Ltd-H ($3399)8.9%5.6%7.2%9.6%10.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Jinhui Holdings Co Ltd ($137)2.8x5.0x4.2x17.5x19.6x
China Shipping Development Co Ltd ($1138)7.2x20.2x92.8x12.8x
Tianjin Binhai Teda Logistics Group Corp Ltd ($8348)-0.5x9.7x9.3x9.5x-1.8x
China COSCO Holdings Co Ltd ($1919)18.8x9.0x
AMS Public Transport Holdings Ltd ($77)0.7x1.2x11.6x7.7x4.5x
 
Median (22 companies)0.5x1.9x1.9x1.6x3.6x
Guangdong Yueyun Transportation Co Ltd-H ($3399)-2.8x0.0x-0.4x-0.6x-0.5x