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GF Securities Co Ltd EBITDA surged on 187% in 2015 and EBITDA Margin increased on 5.0 pp from 57.8% to 62.8%

18/03/2016 • About GF Securities Co Ltd ($1776) • By InTwits

GF Securities Co Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is expanding: 62.8% in 2015 vs. 57.8% in 2014 vs. 45.1% in 2011
  • GF Securities Co Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.8%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 7.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 548 in 2015, 1,287 in 2014, 1,797 in 2013, 1,975 in 2012, 1,325 in 2011
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is at 8.2%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 0.0x while industry average is -1.3x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

GF Securities Co Ltd ($1776) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue6,0086,9909,21516,12642,555163.9%
EBITDA2,7103,0634,7109,32626,738186.7%
Net Income2,0642,1912,8135,02313,201162.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash38,57936,37931,37467,199106,25058.1%
Short Term Debt19311,13214,78931,94631,266-2.1%
Long Term Debt0011,98029,03175,739160.9%
Cash flow
Capex26233823923539066.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth-42.0%16.3%31.8%75.0%163.9%
EBITDA growth-52.2%13.0%53.8%98.0%186.7%
EBITDA Margin45.1%43.8%51.1%57.8%62.8%5.0%
Net Income Margin34.3%31.4%30.5%31.1%31.0%-0.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.4%4.8%2.6%1.5%0.9%-0.5%
ROIC6.7%5.0%4.6%5.3%8.2%2.8%
ROE8.1%6.8%8.3%13.5%22.5%9.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA-14.2x-8.2x-1.0x-0.7x0.0x0.7x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 164% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 10.1 pp from 8.1% to -2.0% in 2015.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 0.92%. CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 3.9 pp from 4.8% in 2012 to 0.92% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.7%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (22.54%) while ROIC is low (8.16%). ROIC increased on 2.8 pp from 5.3% to 8.2% in 2015. ROE increased on 9.0 pp from 13.5% to 22.5% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 0.0x Net Debt / EBITDA and 4.0x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.7x from -0.7x to 0.028x in 2015. Debt surged on 75.5% in 2015 while cash jumped on 58.1% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Diversified Finan Serv


Below you can find GF Securities Co Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Diversified Finan Serv industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China New Energy Power Group Ltd ($1041)100.0%0.0%64,246.0%
ReOrient Group Ltd ($376)112.8%75.1%1,106.9%-90.8%
Global Strategic Group Ltd ($8007)-3.9%2.1%806.3%681.2%
AID Partners Capital Holdings Ltd ($8088)-38.7%0.9%-79.5%655.2%
Willie International Holdings Ltd ($273)543.9%
 
Median (63 companies)3.8%1.1%13.8%25.7%25.3%
GF Securities Co Ltd ($1776)16.3%31.8%75.0%163.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Roma Group Ltd ($8072)99.4%98.7%
Freeman Financial Corp Ltd ($279)97.1%52.3%99.3%98.5%
Chinese Strategic Holdings Ltd ($8089)97.9%99.1%97.9%97.0%96.6%
First China Financial Network Holdings Ltd ($8123)98.6%93.4%94.5%97.4%
Allied Group Ltd ($373)94.5%95.1%94.4%93.6%
 
Median (13 companies)80.8%64.2%75.1%88.2%91.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Styland Holdings Ltd ($211)68.6%198.6%91.5%161.0%17.9%
Roma Group Ltd ($8072)81.4%18.1%36.8%143.0%44.7%
First China Financial Network Holdings Ltd ($8123)-231.6%-329.2%-211.2%124.3%-25.5%
Willie International Holdings Ltd ($273)75.3%95.2%
Get Nice Holdings Ltd ($64)28.4%2.6%153.4%92.7%83.9%
 
Median (64 companies)28.9%14.7%35.6%45.4%29.5%
GF Securities Co Ltd ($1776)45.1%43.8%51.1%57.8%62.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd ($174)14.9%479.1%37.3%216.0%10.0%
China Assurance Finance Group Ltd ($8090)94.7%68.9%53.3%
Chinese Strategic Holdings Ltd ($8089)93.2%376.0%5.7%32.6%5.8%
AID Partners Capital Holdings Ltd ($8088)196.3%4.1%2.9%28.4%
Asian Capital Holdings Ltd ($8295)2.3%0.1%0.2%15.6%
 
Median (64 companies)2.3%1.9%1.7%1.1%1.6%
GF Securities Co Ltd ($1776)4.4%4.8%2.6%1.5%0.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
ReOrient Group Ltd ($376)-24.9%-45.6%-53.5%128.6%-2.8%
Roma Group Ltd ($8072)19.6%43.7%107.8%13.3%
Convoy Financial Holdings Ltd ($1019)31.1%3.4%39.3%47.3%
Willie International Holdings Ltd ($273)-28.1%-9.5%4.7%30.9%
Value Partners Group Ltd ($806)8.7%16.8%16.5%26.8%9.6%
 
Median (66 companies)4.6%3.4%4.0%4.7%3.4%
GF Securities Co Ltd ($1776)6.7%5.0%4.6%5.3%8.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Cash Financial Services Group Ltd ($510)-1.1x7.8x67.5x-4.3x
Far East Horizon Ltd ($3360)17.8x16.9x21.7x20.0x
Bright Smart Securities & Commodities Group Ltd ($1428)7.3x2.1x10.3x9.3x39.3x
China Cinda Asset Management Co Ltd ($1359)2.1x5.0x7.7x8.4x
Aeon Credit Service Asia Co Ltd ($900)6.3x5.2x6.0x6.9x5.5x
 
Median (46 companies)-1.1x-1.0x0.1x-0.0x-1.1x
GF Securities Co Ltd ($1776)-14.2x-8.2x-1.0x-0.7x0.0x