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Billion Industrial Holdings Ltd reports 67.1% CAPEX growth while 13.3% Revenue decline

18/03/2016 • About Billion Industrial Holdings Ltd ($2299) • By InTwits

Billion Industrial Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 11.1% in 2015, 8.5% in 2014, 10.5% in 2013, 17.0% in 2012, 19.8% in 2011
  • Billion Industrial Holdings Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 14.9%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 6.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 449 in 2015, 269 in 2014, 790 in 2013, 1,422 in 2012, 1,569 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 3.9%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.5x while industry average is 2.0x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Billion Industrial Holdings Ltd ($2299) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue6,0546,0926,1536,3015,461-13.3%
Gross Profit1,3241,1087275865910.8%
SG&A299313356364314-13.7%
EBITDA1,1991,03564853960612.4%
Net Income904750358204202-0.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,093644220882519-41.2%
Short Term Debt4841,1191,9733,0652,640-13.9%
Long Term Debt23521181716-3.8%
Cash flow
Capex1,5691,42279026944967.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth40.5%0.6%1.0%2.4%-13.3%
EBITDA growth79.9%-13.7%-37.3%-16.9%12.4%
Gross Margin21.9%18.2%11.8%9.3%10.8%1.5%
EBITDA Margin19.8%17.0%10.5%8.5%11.1%2.5%
Net Income Margin14.9%12.3%5.8%3.2%3.7%0.5%
SG&A, % of revenue4.9%5.1%5.8%5.8%5.8%-0.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue25.9%23.4%12.8%4.3%8.2%4.0%
ROIC23.2%13.7%6.1%3.3%3.9%0.5%
ROE24.2%14.2%6.8%3.9%3.9%-0.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.3x0.5x2.7x4.1x3.5x-0.6x

Revenue and profitability


Billion Industrial Holdings Ltd's Revenue dropped on 13.3% in 2015. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.5 pp from 8.5% to 11.1% in 2015.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 1.5 pp from 9.3% to 10.8% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2015.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 8.2%. Billion Industrial Holdings Ltd showed big decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 15.1 pp from 23.4% in 2012 to 8.2% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 8.4%.Battling declining revenue the company invested a large share of EBITDA (74.1%) to CAPEX but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (3.86%) and ROE (3.88%). ROIC increased slightly on 0.53 pp from 3.3% to 3.9% in 2015. ROE showed almost no change in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 3.5x Net Debt / EBITDA and 4.4x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.6x from 4.1x to 3.5x in 2015. Debt dropped on 13.8% in 2015 while cash dropped on 41.2% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Chemicals


Below we provide Billion Industrial Holdings Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Chemicals industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Bestway International Holdings Ltd ($718)-25.4%-62.1%330.3%238.4%
Jilin Qifeng Chemical Fiber Co Ltd ($549)39.7%-33.6%5.5%29.1%
China XLX Fertiliser Ltd ($1866)7.0%0.6%28.0%13.9%
Century Sunshine Group Holdings Ltd ($509)49.2%68.7%32.0%26.4%
Landing International Development Ltd ($582)2.1%15.9%23.3%10.4%
 
Median (31 companies)31.3%2.1%10.1%1.4%-0.6%
Billion Industrial Holdings Ltd ($2299)0.6%1.0%2.4%-13.3%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Huabao International Holdings Ltd ($336)74.3%70.5%69.1%70.8%69.9%
China Flavors & Fragrances Co Ltd ($3318)41.3%46.8%48.6%47.8%48.9%
Smartac Group China Holdings Ltd ($395)17.3%-1.8%11.2%40.4%
Bracell Ltd ($1768)40.1%30.5%37.3%37.3%38.4%
Yingde Gases Group Co Ltd ($2168)34.2%31.7%31.0%32.1%
 
Median (31 companies)19.8%19.5%18.5%17.7%22.6%
Billion Industrial Holdings Ltd ($2299)21.9%18.2%11.8%9.3%10.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Huabao International Holdings Ltd ($336)66.4%63.8%59.1%60.0%58.3%
Bracell Ltd ($1768)30.1%22.3%30.8%38.2%35.9%
Yingde Gases Group Co Ltd ($2168)32.3%29.4%29.8%32.3%
China First Chemical Holdings Ltd ($2121)29.7%26.6%30.0%29.6%
Century Sunshine Group Holdings Ltd ($509)15.5%24.2%28.1%27.6%
 
Median (31 companies)15.2%13.2%14.5%13.8%13.4%
Billion Industrial Holdings Ltd ($2299)19.8%17.0%10.5%8.5%11.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Landing International Development Ltd ($582)27.9%7.2%29.6%419.5%247.4%
China Zenith Chemical Group Ltd ($362)36.8%147.3%55.7%67.4%152.2%
Smartac Group China Holdings Ltd ($395)22.5%14.0%4.7%49.3%
China Flavors & Fragrances Co Ltd ($3318)16.4%15.8%20.1%42.4%35.8%
Bracell Ltd ($1768)24.4%22.3%64.3%35.4%11.7%
 
Median (31 companies)8.3%7.2%8.3%5.9%7.0%
Billion Industrial Holdings Ltd ($2299)25.9%23.4%12.8%4.3%8.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Huabao International Holdings Ltd ($336)34.6%28.7%25.2%26.2%23.3%
Tiande Chemical Holdings Ltd ($609)24.4%26.2%29.4%20.7%20.6%
Century Sunshine Group Holdings Ltd ($509)3.5%11.3%15.9%16.4%
Fufeng Group Ltd ($546)13.9%9.6%10.8%11.6%10.3%
Yingde Gases Group Co Ltd ($2168)14.7%10.6%11.5%11.5%
 
Median (31 companies)7.8%6.9%8.1%5.9%6.5%
Billion Industrial Holdings Ltd ($2299)23.2%13.7%6.1%3.3%3.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals Co Ltd ($2198)2.4x2.2x4.6x18.1x
China XLX Fertiliser Ltd ($1866)2.4x2.6x5.1x5.8x5.1x
Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd ($1047)4.8x11.7x5.3x5.4x5.3x
Jilin Qifeng Chemical Fiber Co Ltd ($549)4.3x14.1x6.5x5.3x
Sinofert Holdings Ltd ($297)4.3x2.9x32.4x5.0x
 
Median (24 companies)1.5x1.9x2.1x1.4x0.3x
Billion Industrial Holdings Ltd ($2299)-0.3x0.5x2.7x4.1x3.5x