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Beijing Capital Land Ltd Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 37.3x from 11.7x to 49.1x in 2015 and Revenue surged on 58.0%

18/03/2016 • About Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868) • By InTwits

Beijing Capital Land Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Beijing Capital Land Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is 0.8%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 4.0% in 2015, 16.9% in 2014, 20.0% in 2013, 17.2% in 2012, 23.8% in 2011
  • Beijing Capital Land Ltd has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 7.2%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 7.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 557 in 2015, 39.3 in 2014, 45.9 in 2013, 18.3 in 2012, 287 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 0.8%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 49.1x while industry average is 22.9x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue6,7078,12810,2529,41314,87358.0%
Gross Profit2,0921,9402,6962,3561,793-23.9%
SG&A5766908191,10935.5%
EBITDA1,5991,3972,0501,590588-63.0%
Net Income9551,1111,5221,6902,07923.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash8,3528,61711,34513,89719,93743.5%
Short Term Debt4,8423,4988,16111,6249,807-15.6%
Long Term Debt8,13415,07712,71720,94838,98686.1%
Cash flow
Capex4167995477491,02737.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth18.5%21.2%26.1%-8.2%58.0%
EBITDA growth8.8%-12.6%46.8%-22.5%-63.0%
Gross Margin31.2%23.9%26.3%25.0%12.1%-13.0%
EBITDA Margin23.8%17.2%20.0%16.9%4.0%-12.9%
Net Income Margin14.2%13.7%14.8%18.0%14.0%-4.0%
SG&A, % of revenue7.1%6.7%8.7%7.5%-1.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue6.2%9.8%5.3%8.0%6.9%-1.0%
ROIC7.5%5.2%5.9%3.3%0.8%-2.5%
ROE17.5%16.7%18.6%19.0%17.0%-2.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.9x7.1x4.6x11.7x49.1x37.3x

Revenue and profitability


Beijing Capital Land Ltd's Revenue jumped on 58.0% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.9 pp from 5.5% to 8.4% in 2015.

Gross Margin dropped on 13.0 pp from 25.0% to 12.1% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 1.2 pp from 8.7% to 7.5% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 4.0 pp from 18.0% to 14.0% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 6.9%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 2.9 pp from 9.8% in 2012 to 6.9% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 6.7%.Beijing Capital Land Ltd has spent a lot to CAPEX (175% of EBITDA) to secure its growth.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (17.00%) while ROIC is low (0.83%). ROIC decreased on 2.5 pp from 3.3% to 0.83% in 2015. ROE decreased slightly on 2.0 pp from 19.0% to 17.0% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 49.1x Net Debt / EBITDA and 83.0x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 37.3x from 11.7x to 49.1x in 2015. Debt jumped on 49.8% in 2015 while cash surged on 43.5% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below we provide Beijing Capital Land Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Real Estate industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Common Splendor International Health Industry Group Ltd ($286)-0.9%-0.5%1.9%4,120.2%
Landsea Green Properties Co Ltd ($106)-91.1%-35.1%-51.2%3,097.3%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)-0.1%-27.5%-21.9%3,008.3%
Rivera Holdings Ltd ($281)197.1%-89.9%2,067.2%-92.7%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-94.0%-73.9%-49.8%1,922.5%
 
Median (173 companies)11.5%15.4%13.0%5.2%4.3%
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)21.2%26.1%-8.2%58.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.9%96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)37.4%39.3%98.2%
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)71.1%79.0%95.2%97.9%99.9%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)91.5%94.4%96.6%96.7%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)29.8%22.8%92.9%95.2%62.7%
 
Median (155 companies)43.8%42.2%41.8%39.3%43.8%
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)31.2%23.9%26.3%25.0%12.1%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)24.0%-125.5%-2,995.7%1,685.3%-525.1%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)33.2%-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)340.9%356.2%91.6%195.5%397.4%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)73.6%105.3%133.1%143.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-5.9%-382.7%-1,024.0%126.8%
 
Median (173 companies)35.3%29.1%28.2%27.3%29.1%
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)23.8%17.2%20.0%16.9%4.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%0.0%18.0%27,965.5%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)25.6%56.2%4,202.4%1,304.7%189.7%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)5.9%24.1%1,091.1%190.4%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)6.5%2.9%323.1%351.2%340.6%
Liu Chong Hing Investment Ltd ($194)9.4%18.5%6.1%269.7%0.9%
 
Median (174 companies)5.8%5.4%6.2%4.6%6.8%
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)6.2%9.8%5.3%8.0%6.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Rykadan Capital Ltd ($2288)17.2%-1.8%-2.6%48.4%-3.7%
Colour Life Services Group Co Ltd ($1778)44.2%47.9%29.3%14.5%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)0.2%-0.2%-1.1%22.1%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)39.0%19.2%17.6%18.7%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)18.0%18.4%15.1%18.5%15.4%
 
Median (177 companies)4.6%4.0%3.8%3.9%3.0%
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)7.5%5.2%5.9%3.3%0.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Properties Group Ltd ($1838)16.9x43.0x21.4x1,523.0x
SRE Group Ltd ($1207)10.6x14.1x24.7x1,184.6x
Cheuk Nang Holdings Ltd ($131)53.2x177.3x901.7x
Tian An China Investment Co Ltd ($28)2.4x13.2x15.1x486.6x
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)3.7x6.2x49.3x
 
Median (140 companies)2.1x2.2x2.7x2.9x2.7x
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)2.9x7.1x4.6x11.7x49.1x