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Amber Energy Ltd Net Income jumped on 129% in 2015 and EBITDA Margin surged on 24.4 pp from 11.7% to 36.1%

18/03/2016 • About Amber Energy Ltd ($90) • By InTwits

Amber Energy Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Amber Energy Ltd is a company in decline: 2015 revenue growth was -56.4%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -9.8%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 36.1% in 2015, 11.7% in 2014, 14.5% in 2013, 17.8% in 2012, 17.7% in 2011
  • Amber Energy Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 24.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 4.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 28.8 in 2015, 115 in 2014, 187 in 2013, 379 in 2012, 97.8 in 2011
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is at 8.6%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 5.2x while industry average is -0.5x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Amber Energy Ltd ($90) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue720.4614.4745.0894.3389.6-56.4%
SG&A26.024.9-4.4%
EBITDA127.8109.5108.0105.0140.834.1%
Net Income36.019.515.6-148.943.7-129.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash168.7155.260.2148.5150.01.0%
Short Term Debt244.0271.7220.0305.4224.9-26.4%
Long Term Debt310.8520.9528.8613.4653.46.5%
Cash flow
Capex97.8379.1186.9114.628.8-74.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth10.1%-14.7%21.2%20.1%-56.4%
EBITDA growth-2.3%-14.3%-1.3%-2.8%34.1%
EBITDA Margin17.7%17.8%14.5%11.7%36.1%24.4%
Net Income Margin5.0%3.2%2.1%-16.6%11.2%27.9%
SG&A, % of revenue2.9%6.4%3.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue13.6%61.7%25.1%12.8%7.4%-5.4%
ROIC7.6%5.4%4.6%3.6%8.6%5.0%
ROE7.0%3.6%2.8%-31.1%10.0%41.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA3.0x5.8x6.4x7.3x5.2x-2.2x

Revenue and profitability


Amber Energy Ltd's Revenue dropped on 56.4% in 2015. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin jumped on 24.4 pp from 11.7% to 36.1% in 2015.

SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 3.5 pp from 2.9% to 6.4% in 2015.

Net Income marign surged on 27.9 pp from -16.6% to 11.2% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 7.4%. Amber Energy Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 54.3 pp from 61.7% in 2012 to 7.4% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 15.1%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (8.58%) and ROE (10.00%). ROIC increased on 5.0 pp from 3.6% to 8.6% in 2015. ROE jumped on 41.0 pp from -31.1% to 10.0% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 5.2x and Debt / EBITDA is 6.2x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 2.2x from 7.3x to 5.2x in 2015. Debt decreased on 4.4% in 2015 while cash increased slightly on 1.0% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Electric


Below you can find Amber Energy Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Electric industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Tianjin Development Hldgs Ltd ($882)9.1%10.6%27.3%37.6%
CGN Meiya Power Holdings Co Ltd ($1811)23.4%11.2%30.8%-16.5%
Enerchina Holdings Ltd ($622)-15.4%6.8%28.5%-3.5%
CGN Power Co Ltd ($1816)10.7%-1.2%19.3%12.3%
Huadian Power International Corp Ltd ($1071)20.1%8.8%11.8%15.1%
 
Median (16 companies)18.5%8.8%11.3%4.8%-3.5%
Amber Energy Ltd ($90)-14.7%21.2%20.1%-56.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Power Assets Holdings Ltd ($6)60.5%60.0%63.5%85.6%99.4%
China Power New Energy Development Co Ltd ($735)57.1%73.3%70.8%72.0%
HK Electric Investments & HK Electric Investments Ltd ($2638)60.5%60.1%58.6%54.0%53.7%
CGN Power Co Ltd ($1816)48.3%46.5%46.9%48.6%47.9%
Huadian Power International Corp Ltd ($1071)8.9%27.1%
 
Median (8 companies)48.3%46.5%52.8%37.9%53.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Power Assets Holdings Ltd ($6)64.6%66.2%68.0%2,533.1%71.2%
Huaneng Renewables Corp Ltd ($958)110.2%94.0%80.5%91.3%93.1%
China Datang Corp Renewable Power Co Ltd ($1798)100.2%90.5%82.8%87.0%
HK Electric Investments & HK Electric Investments Ltd ($2638)72.8%72.6%77.6%73.3%71.7%
CGN Power Co Ltd ($1816)64.2%66.0%62.6%60.5%59.4%
 
Median (16 companies)25.3%30.3%36.4%38.2%59.4%
Amber Energy Ltd ($90)17.7%17.8%14.5%11.7%36.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Huaneng Renewables Corp Ltd ($958)240.9%163.4%124.0%217.8%171.9%
China Power New Energy Development Co Ltd ($735)21.5%82.2%80.1%119.5%
China Datang Corp Renewable Power Co Ltd ($1798)273.4%157.1%81.7%106.3%
CGN Power Co Ltd ($1816)78.4%47.5%57.2%94.5%50.0%
Huadian Fuxin Energy Corp Ltd ($816)78.6%62.2%54.3%91.8%
 
Median (16 companies)24.3%26.2%28.3%18.5%20.0%
Amber Energy Ltd ($90)13.6%61.7%25.1%12.8%7.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Power Assets Holdings Ltd ($6)5.4%5.5%6.1%46.5%0.7%
Huaneng Power International Inc ($902)4.0%7.3%10.3%11.3%
Huadian Power International Corp Ltd ($1071)2.7%5.0%8.4%10.4%
CLP Holdings Ltd ($2)7.8%7.0%4.8%8.5%12.8%
China Resources Power Holdings Co Ltd ($836)5.9%7.7%9.7%8.0%
 
Median (16 companies)4.6%5.2%6.8%6.7%5.1%
Amber Energy Ltd ($90)7.6%5.4%4.6%3.6%8.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Datang Corp Renewable Power Co Ltd ($1798)8.1x9.1x8.2x8.7x
CGN Power Co Ltd ($1816)4.7x6.5x6.7x7.8x8.4x
Huaneng Renewables Corp Ltd ($958)6.0x7.7x6.6x7.3x7.1x
Huadian Fuxin Energy Corp Ltd ($816)9.3x6.9x6.2x6.5x
China Power New Energy Development Co Ltd ($735)5.9x4.8x5.5x6.4x
 
Median (15 companies)5.9x5.6x5.5x4.6x6.1x
Amber Energy Ltd ($90)3.0x5.8x6.4x7.3x5.2x