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North Mining Shares Co Ltd revenue dropped on 45.9% in 2015 and EBITDA Margin dropped on 268 pp from -7.7% to -276%

17/03/2016 • About North Mining Shares Co Ltd ($433) • By InTwits

North Mining Shares Co Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • North Mining Shares Co Ltd is a company in decline: 2015 revenue growth was -45.9%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -8.5%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -275.7%
  • North Mining Shares Co Ltd spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2011-2015 is 0.0%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was -127.2%0
  • North Mining Shares Co Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 41.5%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 21.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 238 in 2015, 268 in 2014, 20.5 in 2013, 80.2 in 2012, 67.7 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -18.4%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 15.7x while industry average is 2.3x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

North Mining Shares Co Ltd ($433) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue391.0369.7158.5454.9246.0-45.9%
Gross Profit121.828.722.255.820.2-63.8%
SG&A81.185.977.566.6101.452.2%
EBITDA-685.6-923.9262.3-35.2-678.21,828.8%
Net Income-487.5-852.5194.0-165.2-436.2164.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash24.3368.544.9102.2225.4120.4%
Short Term Debt59.994.6231.5171.2100.9-41.1%
Long Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Cash flow
Capex67.780.220.5267.8237.8-11.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth1.7%-5.5%-57.1%187.0%-45.9%
EBITDA growth-18.6%34.8%-128.4%-113.4%1,828.8%
Gross Margin31.1%7.8%14.0%12.3%8.2%-4.1%
EBITDA Margin-175.3%-249.9%165.5%-7.7%-275.7%-268.0%
Net Income Margin-124.7%-230.6%122.4%-36.3%-177.3%-141.0%
SG&A, % of revenue20.7%23.2%48.9%14.6%41.2%26.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue17.3%21.7%13.0%58.9%96.7%37.8%
ROIC-13.0%-21.6%3.4%-5.0%-18.4%-13.4%
ROE-14.0%-28.3%6.5%-4.7%-11.7%-7.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.7x0.0x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 45.9% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 7.1 pp from -14.1% to -6.9% in FY2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 4.1 pp from 12.3% to 8.2% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue jumped on 26.6 pp from 14.6% to 41.2% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 141 pp from -36.3% to -177% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 96.7% in 2015. CAPEX/Revenue surged on 75.0 pp from 21.7% in 2012 to 96.7% in 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 56.2%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-18.39%) and ROE (-11.70%). ROIC dropped on 13.4 pp from -5.0% to -18.4% in 2015. ROE decreased on 7.0 pp from -4.7% to -11.7% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 15.7x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in 2015. Debt dropped on 41.1% in 2015 while cash surged on 120% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Mining


Below you can find North Mining Shares Co Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Mining industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry Co Ltd ($3833)24.0%4.8%-44.7%303.0%
Huili Resources Group Ltd ($1303)-47.8%-33.6%-91.6%219.4%
China Kingstone Mining Holdings Ltd ($1380)4,275.3%-94.5%-55.6%155.2%
Ding He Mining Holdings Ltd ($705)31.6%29.9%43.8%89.8%
China Billion Resources Ltd ($274)-47.2%-78.6%-19.2%44.8%
 
Median (47 companies)36.5%5.4%2.4%-6.5%-7.5%
North Mining Shares Co Ltd ($433)-5.5%-57.1%187.0%-45.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Billion Resources Ltd ($274)20.3%71.4%47.2%73.4%
Sun International Resources Ltd ($8029)77.6%83.2%73.1%64.8%69.4%
China Polymetallic Mining Ltd ($2133)76.9%81.8%74.2%51.8%38.9%
China Precious Metal Resources Holdings Co Ltd ($1194)64.7%63.9%54.9%51.2%
Hengshi Mining Investments Ltd ($1370)54.6%32.4%55.3%50.1%
 
Median (47 companies)19.1%14.4%14.7%15.6%26.9%
North Mining Shares Co Ltd ($433)31.1%7.8%14.0%12.3%8.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Precious Metal Resources Holdings Co Ltd ($1194)73.1%70.0%64.6%59.6%
China Polymetallic Mining Ltd ($2133)-322.0%62.8%58.5%54.1%2.8%
G-Resources Group Ltd ($1051)54.5%53.4%
China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($2099)41.7%38.3%47.3%33.7%
Hengshi Mining Investments Ltd ($1370)45.7%22.8%52.0%45.4%
 
Median (47 companies)7.0%4.9%7.5%4.9%8.7%
North Mining Shares Co Ltd ($433)-175.3%-249.9%165.5%-7.7%-275.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Mongolia Energy Corp Ltd ($276)8,006.5%1,061.7%30,555.4%1,973.0%
Huili Resources Group Ltd ($1303)3.9%181.0%1,508.6%279.5%
Kaz Minerals ($847)19.8%36.6%136.5%168.8%168.7%
China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($2099)64.7%156.1%95.6%81.4%
IRC Ltd ($1029)129.7%102.1%70.6%82.5%
 
Median (47 companies)14.3%17.0%16.0%11.1%11.0%
North Mining Shares Co Ltd ($433)17.3%21.7%13.0%58.9%96.7%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Silver Group Ltd ($815)48.0%57.6%31.6%35.8%
Hengshi Mining Investments Ltd ($1370)153.0%50.1%60.1%20.7%
China Hongqiao Group Ltd ($1378)44.6%24.8%17.0%14.1%10.6%
China Nonferrous Mining Corp Ltd ($1258)10.9%14.7%10.8%11.8%
Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd ($98)3.8%7.6%8.8%11.7%
 
Median (48 companies)3.7%2.2%3.0%1.7%-0.1%
North Mining Shares Co Ltd ($433)-13.0%-21.6%3.4%-5.0%-18.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry Co Ltd ($3833)0.9x8.4x39.4x10.3x
MMG Ltd ($1208)-0.0x2.1x2.0x10.2x20.2x
China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd ($661)5.8x9.2x9.7x9.2x
Midas Holdings Ltd ($1021)1.4x4.3x6.5x8.7x8.0x
Lingbao Gold Co Ltd ($3330)3.5x5.3x8.3x
 
Median (27 companies)1.1x1.8x2.0x4.4x4.5x