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Li & Fung Ltd reports 15.7% EBITDA decline and 2.4% Revenue decline

17/03/2016 • About Li & Fung Ltd ($494) • By InTwits

Li & Fung Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is relatively stable: 3.8% in 2015 vs. 4.4% in 2014 vs. 5.5% in 2011
  • Li & Fung Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.5%.
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 13.1%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 1.6x while industry average is 1.9x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Li & Fung Ltd ($494) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue20,03020,22219,02619,28818,831-2.4%
Gross Profit2,9862,8682,2192,1822,159-1.0%
SG&A2,1112,3631,4791,5381,5873.2%
EBITDA1,1001,082927843711-15.7%
Net Income681622755471451-4.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash426680460539342-36.4%
Short Term Debt1121189416396-41.2%
Long Term Debt1,3661,3551,3721,2711,3546.5%
Cash flow
Capex1131765975783.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth25.9%1.0%-5.9%1.4%-2.4%
EBITDA growth30.5%-1.6%-14.4%-9.0%-15.7%
Gross Margin14.9%14.2%11.7%11.3%11.5%0.2%
EBITDA Margin5.5%5.4%4.9%4.4%3.8%-0.6%
Net Income Margin3.4%3.1%4.0%2.4%2.4%-0.0%
SG&A, % of revenue10.5%11.7%7.8%8.0%8.4%0.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.6%0.9%0.3%0.4%0.4%0.0%
ROIC16.2%13.0%11.8%12.3%13.1%0.8%
ROE18.0%14.4%15.0%11.6%16.5%4.9%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.0x0.7x1.1x1.1x1.6x0.5x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 2.4% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 0.60 pp from 4.4% to 3.8% in 2015.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2015.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Li & Fung Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.41% in 2015. The company showed almost no change in CAPEX/Revenue from 2012 to 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 0.37%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROIC (13.07%) and ROE (16.51%). ROIC increased slightly on 0.76 pp from 12.3% to 13.1% in 2015. ROE increased on 4.9 pp from 11.6% to 16.5% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 1.6x and Debt / EBITDA is 2.0x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.5x from 1.1x to 1.6x in 2015. Debt increased slightly on 1.1% in 2015 while cash dropped on 36.4% in 2015.

Management team


Spencer Theodore Fung is a the company's CEO. Spencer Theodore Fung has spent 4 years at the company. Li & Fung Ltd's CFO Lam Sung Lai "Edward" has spent 6 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Distribution/Wholesale


Below you can find Li & Fung Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Distribution/Wholesale industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Forefront Group Ltd ($885)504.6%3,871.0%
China LNG Group Ltd ($931)-84.5%694.8%13.6%1,341.3%
Sheng Yuan Holdings Ltd ($851)-86.1%756.9%567.2%-2.1%
China Infrastructure Investment Ltd ($600)346.9%412.1%-50.9%557.9%
China-Hongkong Photo Products Holdings Ltd ($1123)24.9%9.0%81.2%12.2%
 
Median (37 companies)13.5%3.1%2.1%0.8%0.0%
Li & Fung Ltd ($494)1.0%-5.9%1.4%-2.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Goldin Financial Holdings Ltd ($530)67.0%75.3%71.7%74.8%73.8%
Forefront Group Ltd ($885)69.8%
YGM Trading Ltd ($375)67.1%66.5%67.4%64.0%62.5%
Goldlion Holdings Ltd ($533)57.3%56.4%54.1%55.7%
Sincere Watch Hong Kong Ltd ($444)34.2%35.6%39.7%38.8%38.3%
 
Median (33 companies)16.4%17.5%18.2%19.3%22.5%
Li & Fung Ltd ($494)14.9%14.2%11.7%11.3%11.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Goldin Financial Holdings Ltd ($530)-134.6%163.7%613.4%285.7%364.1%
China LNG Group Ltd ($931)195.2%95.1%76.4%97.9%
Forefront Group Ltd ($885)-2,113.8%-803.1%57.7%
China Infrastructure Investment Ltd ($600)-1,171.2%-274.9%120.0%52.0%
GA Holdings Ltd ($8126)-4.5%8.0%19.7%22.9%
 
Median (37 companies)2.2%2.1%1.9%4.6%2.1%
Li & Fung Ltd ($494)5.5%5.4%4.9%4.4%3.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
C Y Foundation Group Ltd ($1182)9.8%2.5%5.2%82.2%9.3%
Inspur International Ltd ($596)0.9%8.4%12.2%33.6%
SIS International Holdings ($529)0.2%13.4%31.8%14.8%49.8%
HKC International Holdings Ltd ($248)0.9%5.5%0.8%11.4%0.5%
Tan Chong International Ltd ($693)7.6%6.0%7.6%7.0%
 
Median (36 companies)1.5%1.4%1.8%1.7%1.6%
Li & Fung Ltd ($494)0.6%0.9%0.3%0.4%0.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China LNG Group Ltd ($931)2.2%8.4%7.4%87.0%
Yestar International Holdings Co Ltd ($2393)29.4%28.8%24.1%26.2%25.4%
Powerwell Pacific Holdings Ltd ($8265)27.8%6.4%6.4%23.6%
Forefront Group Ltd ($885)-37.7%-4.9%-11.0%19.5%
Sincere Watch Hong Kong Ltd ($444)46.4%51.7%27.7%14.6%5.5%
 
Median (38 companies)2.2%2.1%0.9%3.1%1.8%
Li & Fung Ltd ($494)16.2%13.0%11.8%12.3%13.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Sheng Yuan Holdings Ltd ($851)19.3x15.4x
Takson Holdings Ltd ($918)11.5x11.7x15.7x
Huiyin Household Appliances Holdings Co Ltd ($1280)10.1x10.9x
Pacific Andes International Holdings Ltd ($1174)4.9x5.1x9.1x7.8x
SIS International Holdings ($529)-62.1x-1.8x7.0x7.2x16.8x
 
Median (26 companies)-0.4x-0.3x-0.8x-0.1x0.1x
Li & Fung Ltd ($494)1.0x0.7x1.1x1.1x1.6x