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China SCE Property Holdings Ltd revenue jumped on 55.2% in 2015 while EBITDA Margin dropped on 13.1 pp from 39.3% to 26.2%

17/03/2016 • About China SCE Property Holdings Ltd ($1966) • By InTwits

China SCE Property Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China SCE Property Holdings Ltd is a growth stock: 2015 revenue growth was 55.2%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 20.9% at 2015 ROIC 10.9%
  • China SCE Property Holdings Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.5%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 7.3%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 130 in 2015, 17.6 in 2014, 596 in 2013, 313 in 2012, 130 in 2011
  • The company has business model with average profitability: ROIC is at 10.9%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China SCE Property Holdings Ltd ($1966) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue3,7703,6376,5886,88710,69055.2%
Gross Profit1,5431,2851,8452,4023,01125.3%
SG&A33536148659169918.2%
EBITDA1,6511,4292,1322,7062,8003.5%
Net Income7166728889011,16729.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,8872,2773,3003,5344,83536.8%
Short Term Debt1,4072,1122,4093,7003,8413.8%
Long Term Debt3,6744,8447,2908,52710,61224.4%
Cash flow
Capex13031359618130640.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth-8.7%-3.5%81.2%4.5%55.2%
EBITDA growth13.2%-13.4%49.3%26.9%3.5%
Gross Margin40.9%35.3%28.0%34.9%28.2%-6.7%
EBITDA Margin43.8%39.3%32.4%39.3%26.2%-13.1%
Net Income Margin19.0%18.5%13.5%13.1%10.9%-2.2%
SG&A, % of revenue8.9%9.9%7.4%8.6%6.5%-2.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue3.4%8.6%9.0%0.3%1.2%1.0%
ROIC17.2%10.8%12.6%12.5%10.9%-1.6%
ROE17.9%14.7%16.8%14.7%13.6%-1.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.9x3.3x3.0x3.2x3.4x0.2x

Revenue and profitability


China SCE Property Holdings Ltd's Revenue jumped on 55.2% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 15.0 pp from 29.0% to 14.0% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 6.7 pp from 34.9% to 28.2% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 2.0 pp from 8.6% to 6.5% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 2.2 pp from 13.1% to 10.9% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 1.2% in 2015. The company showed decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 7.4 pp from 8.6% in 2012 to 1.2% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.5%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (13.64%) while ROIC is low (10.92%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.6 pp from 12.5% to 10.9% in 2015. ROE decreased slightly on 1.0 pp from 14.7% to 13.6% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 3.4x and Debt / EBITDA is 5.2x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.2x from 3.2x to 3.4x in 2015. Debt jumped on 18.2% in 2015 while cash surged on 36.8% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below we provide China SCE Property Holdings Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Real Estate industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Common Splendor International Health Industry Group Ltd ($286)-0.9%-0.5%1.9%4,120.2%
Landsea Green Properties Co Ltd ($106)-91.1%-35.1%-51.2%3,097.3%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)-0.1%-27.5%-21.9%3,008.3%
Rivera Holdings Ltd ($281)222.2%197.1%-89.9%2,067.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-94.0%-73.9%-49.8%1,922.5%
 
Median (173 companies)12.2%15.8%13.0%5.2%4.2%
China SCE Property Holdings Ltd ($1966)-3.5%81.2%4.5%55.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.9%96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)37.4%39.3%98.2%
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)71.1%79.0%95.2%97.9%99.9%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)91.5%94.4%96.6%96.7%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)29.8%22.8%92.9%95.2%62.7%
 
Median (155 companies)43.8%42.2%41.8%39.3%48.3%
China SCE Property Holdings Ltd ($1966)40.9%35.3%28.0%34.9%28.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)24.0%-125.5%-2,995.7%1,685.3%-525.1%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)33.2%-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)340.9%356.2%91.6%195.5%397.4%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)73.6%105.3%133.1%143.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-5.9%-382.7%-1,024.0%126.8%
 
Median (173 companies)35.1%28.9%28.0%26.4%31.1%
China SCE Property Holdings Ltd ($1966)43.8%39.3%32.4%39.3%26.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%0.0%18.0%27,965.5%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)25.6%56.2%4,202.4%1,304.7%189.7%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)5.9%24.1%1,091.1%190.4%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)6.5%2.9%323.1%351.2%340.6%
Liu Chong Hing Investment Ltd ($194)9.4%18.5%6.1%269.7%0.9%
 
Median (174 companies)5.9%5.4%6.1%4.7%7.2%
China SCE Property Holdings Ltd ($1966)3.4%8.6%9.0%0.3%1.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Rykadan Capital Ltd ($2288)17.2%-1.8%-2.6%48.4%-3.7%
Colour Life Services Group Co Ltd ($1778)44.2%47.9%29.3%14.5%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)0.2%-0.2%-1.1%22.1%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)39.0%19.2%17.6%18.7%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)18.0%18.4%15.1%18.5%
 
Median (177 companies)4.6%4.0%3.8%3.8%3.0%
China SCE Property Holdings Ltd ($1966)17.2%10.8%12.6%12.5%10.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Properties Group Ltd ($1838)16.9x43.0x21.4x1,523.0x
SRE Group Ltd ($1207)10.6x14.1x24.7x1,184.6x
Cheuk Nang Holdings Ltd ($131)53.2x177.3x901.7x
Tian An China Investment Co Ltd ($28)2.4x13.2x15.1x486.6x
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)3.7x6.2x49.3x
 
Median (140 companies)2.1x2.2x2.7x2.9x2.4x
China SCE Property Holdings Ltd ($1966)1.9x3.3x3.0x3.2x3.4x