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Hongkong & Shanghai Hotels Ltd/The reports 240% CAPEX growth while 1.7% Revenue decline

16/03/2016 • About Hongkong & Shanghai Hotels Ltd/The ($45) • By InTwits

Hongkong & Shanghai Hotels Ltd/The reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Hongkong & Shanghai Hotels Ltd/The has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 22.6%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 19.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 1,392 in 2015, 409 in 2014, 3,221 in 2013, 875 in 2012, 312 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 2.4%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.8x while industry average is -29.5x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Hongkong & Shanghai Hotels Ltd/The ($45) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue5,0095,1785,5085,8385,741-1.7%
EBITDA1,2101,2011,3041,5291,440-5.8%
Net Income2,2591,5551,7121,1461,000-12.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,9771,6911,054844773-8.4%
Short Term Debt1,0901,078550878186-78.8%
Long Term Debt3,2293,0964,9364,6036,00630.5%
Cash flow
Capex3128753,2214091,392240.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth6.4%3.4%6.4%6.0%-1.7%
EBITDA growth5.9%-0.7%8.6%17.3%-5.8%
EBITDA Margin24.2%23.2%23.7%26.2%25.1%-1.1%
Net Income Margin45.1%30.0%31.1%19.6%17.4%-2.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue6.2%16.9%58.5%7.0%24.2%17.2%
ROIC2.3%2.2%2.3%2.6%2.4%-0.3%
ROE7.5%4.8%5.0%3.2%2.8%-0.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.9x2.1x3.4x3.0x3.8x0.7x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased slightly on 1.7% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.2 pp from 9.1% to 10.3% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 2.2 pp from 19.6% to 17.4% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 24.2%. CAPEX/Revenue increased on 7.3 pp from 16.9% in 2012 to 24.2% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 29.9%.Battling declining revenue Hongkong & Shanghai Hotels Ltd/The invested a large share of EBITDA (96.7%) to CAPEX but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (2.36%) and ROE (2.77%). ROIC showed almost no change in 2015. ROE showed almost no change in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 3.8x and Debt / EBITDA is 4.3x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.7x from 3.0x to 3.8x in 2015. Debt surged on 13.0% in 2015 while cash decreased on 8.4% in 2015.

Management team


Hongkong & Shanghai Hotels Ltd/The's CEO is King Man Kwok "Clement". King Man Kwok "Clement" has 16 years tenure at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Lodging


Below you can find Hongkong & Shanghai Hotels Ltd/The benchmarking vs. other companies in Lodging industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Zhuhai Holdings Investment Group Ltd ($908)13.4%229.8%14.5%57.0%
Carrianna Group Holdings Co Ltd ($126)69.3%-36.2%35.4%-33.8%
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)24.6%23.7%17.2%24.6%
Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd ($296)35.9%13.8%11.7%-10.2%
Far East Consortium International Ltd/HK ($35)6.4%111.9%9.0%25.7%
 
Median (21 companies)26.4%18.2%13.8%0.7%-13.9%
Hongkong & Shanghai Hotels Ltd/The ($45)3.4%6.4%6.0%-1.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
SJM Holdings Ltd ($880)99.7%99.7%99.7%99.7%99.5%
Wynn Macau Ltd ($1128)97.6%97.9%98.3%98.5%
Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd ($296)70.9%77.1%75.6%76.8%70.9%
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)52.5%60.7%73.4%72.1%67.6%
Sino Hotels Holdings Ltd ($1221)69.7%71.3%70.4%68.9%65.8%
 
Median (16 companies)49.1%53.1%51.1%49.6%65.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)69.1%-23.9%65.2%49.9%40.4%
Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd ($296)38.7%44.9%46.4%46.9%43.1%
Sino Hotels Holdings Ltd ($1221)42.8%46.5%45.9%43.1%39.6%
Far East Consortium International Ltd/HK ($35)50.1%57.2%34.5%43.0%36.4%
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)49.2%49.8%50.1%42.8%45.3%
 
Median (21 companies)23.7%26.8%26.4%25.8%30.3%
Hongkong & Shanghai Hotels Ltd/The ($45)24.2%23.2%23.7%26.2%25.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Macau Legend Development Ltd ($1680)1.3%5.0%24.2%73.0%
Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd ($78)4.9%7.4%7.2%60.4%
Shangri-La Asia Ltd ($69)26.5%48.5%33.1%41.2%
Wynn Macau Ltd ($1128)3.2%5.2%11.0%28.2%
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)20.3%25.9%17.2%24.0%27.8%
 
Median (21 companies)6.5%6.3%8.9%13.2%12.5%
Hongkong & Shanghai Hotels Ltd/The ($45)6.2%16.9%58.5%7.0%24.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
MGM China Holdings Ltd ($2282)47.3%46.2%53.8%54.5%24.0%
Wynn Macau Ltd ($1128)66.1%53.9%42.3%29.9%
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ($27)14.7%25.2%30.0%27.5%10.2%
Sands China Ltd ($1928)14.5%14.2%24.4%26.7%15.8%
SJM Holdings Ltd ($880)26.2%29.7%31.0%24.8%8.6%
 
Median (21 companies)8.8%7.9%6.7%5.0%8.1%
Hongkong & Shanghai Hotels Ltd/The ($45)2.3%2.2%2.3%2.6%2.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd ($78)5.0x8.7x11.8x
Century City International Holdings Ltd ($355)-58.1x6.5x9.3x11.2x
Shangri-La Asia Ltd ($69)4.0x6.0x6.8x6.9x
Zhuhai Holdings Investment Group Ltd ($908)-3.7x-4.1x11.1x6.7x
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)3.5x3.7x5.2x5.5x
 
Median (20 companies)0.1x0.2x0.4x0.4x0.4x
Hongkong & Shanghai Hotels Ltd/The ($45)1.9x2.1x3.4x3.0x3.8x