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Country Garden Holdings Co Ltd revenue surged on 33.9% in 2015 while EBITDA Margin decreased on 5.7 pp from 20.6% to 14.9%

15/03/2016 • About Country Garden Holdings Co Ltd ($2007) • By InTwits

Country Garden Holdings Co Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Country Garden Holdings Co Ltd is a growth stock: 2015 revenue growth was 33.9%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 34.4% at 2015 ROIC 10.1%
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: 14.9% in 2015 vs. 20.6% in 2014 vs. 28.5% in 2011
  • Country Garden Holdings Co Ltd has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 6.8%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 0.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 3,132 in 2015, 3,121 in 2014, 814 in 2013, 387 in 2012, 6,549 in 2011
  • The company has business model with average profitability: ROIC is at 10.1%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Country Garden Holdings Co Ltd ($2007) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue34,74841,89162,72584,549113,22333.9%
Gross Profit11,99615,34019,01122,05522,8633.7%
SG&A2,4483,7546,3377,5167,9195.4%
EBITDA9,90312,11513,28717,38816,833-3.2%
Net Income5,8136,8538,51410,2299,276-9.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash7,74411,80918,91018,76136,24193.2%
Short Term Debt6,4699,09612,43414,92922,77852.6%
Long Term Debt22,49727,81743,81546,13966,96645.1%
Cash flow
Capex2,8183,8965,3115,1062,617-48.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth34.7%20.6%49.7%34.8%33.9%
EBITDA growth36.6%22.3%9.7%30.9%-3.2%
Gross Margin34.5%36.6%30.3%26.1%20.2%-5.9%
EBITDA Margin28.5%28.9%21.2%20.6%14.9%-5.7%
Net Income Margin16.7%16.4%13.6%12.1%8.2%-3.9%
SG&A, % of revenue7.0%9.0%10.1%8.9%7.0%-1.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue8.1%9.3%8.5%6.0%2.3%-3.7%
ROIC16.9%15.9%13.2%13.7%10.1%-3.6%
ROE21.6%20.6%20.9%20.3%15.2%-5.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.1x2.1x2.8x2.4x3.2x0.7x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 33.9% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 6.7 pp from -2.4% to 4.4% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 5.9 pp from 26.1% to 20.2% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 1.9 pp from 8.9% to 7.0% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 3.9 pp from 12.1% to 8.2% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 2.3%. Country Garden Holdings Co Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 7.0 pp from 9.3% in 2012 to 2.3% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 5.6%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (15.21%) while ROIC is low (10.10%). ROIC decreased on 3.6 pp from 13.7% to 10.1% in 2015. ROE decreased on 5.1 pp from 20.3% to 15.2% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 3.2x Net Debt / EBITDA and 5.3x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.7x from 2.4x to 3.2x in 2015. Debt surged on 47.0% in 2015 while cash jumped on 93.2% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below you can find Country Garden Holdings Co Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Real Estate industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Common Splendor International Health Industry Group Ltd ($286)-0.9%-0.5%1.9%4,120.2%
Landsea Green Properties Co Ltd ($106)-91.1%-35.1%-51.2%3,097.3%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)-0.1%-27.5%-21.9%3,008.3%
Rivera Holdings Ltd ($281)222.2%197.1%-89.9%2,067.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-94.0%-73.9%-49.8%1,922.5%
 
Median (173 companies)12.6%15.4%13.0%5.0%3.9%
Country Garden Holdings Co Ltd ($2007)20.6%49.7%34.8%33.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.9%96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)37.4%39.3%98.2%
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)71.1%79.0%95.2%97.9%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)91.5%94.4%96.6%96.7%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)29.8%22.8%92.9%95.2%62.7%
 
Median (155 companies)43.8%42.2%41.8%39.3%50.8%
Country Garden Holdings Co Ltd ($2007)34.5%36.6%30.3%26.1%20.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)24.0%-125.5%-2,995.7%1,685.3%-525.1%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)33.2%-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)340.9%356.2%91.6%195.5%397.4%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)73.6%105.3%133.1%143.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-5.9%-382.7%-1,024.0%126.8%
 
Median (173 companies)35.3%29.1%28.2%27.3%34.5%
Country Garden Holdings Co Ltd ($2007)28.5%28.9%21.2%20.6%14.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%0.0%18.0%27,965.5%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)25.6%56.2%4,202.4%1,304.7%189.7%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)5.9%24.1%1,091.1%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)6.5%2.9%323.1%351.2%340.6%
Liu Chong Hing Investment Ltd ($194)9.4%18.5%6.1%269.7%0.9%
 
Median (174 companies)5.8%5.4%6.1%4.6%7.2%
Country Garden Holdings Co Ltd ($2007)8.1%9.3%8.5%6.0%2.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Rykadan Capital Ltd ($2288)17.2%-1.8%-2.6%48.4%-3.7%
Colour Life Services Group Co Ltd ($1778)44.2%47.9%29.3%14.5%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)0.2%-0.2%-1.1%22.1%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)39.0%19.2%17.6%18.7%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)18.0%18.4%15.1%18.5%
 
Median (177 companies)4.6%4.0%3.8%3.8%3.0%
Country Garden Holdings Co Ltd ($2007)16.9%15.9%13.2%13.7%10.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Properties Group Ltd ($1838)16.9x43.0x21.4x1,523.0x
SRE Group Ltd ($1207)10.6x14.1x24.7x1,184.6x
Cheuk Nang Holdings Ltd ($131)53.2x177.3x901.7x
Tian An China Investment Co Ltd ($28)2.4x13.2x15.1x486.6x
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)3.7x6.2x49.3x
 
Median (140 companies)2.1x2.4x2.7x3.0x2.0x
Country Garden Holdings Co Ltd ($2007)2.1x2.1x2.8x2.4x3.2x